Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 27, 2004

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $20.0500 (0.6%) ($19.8900 - $20.1400) on Thu. May. 27, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $20.0500(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.82(1.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.64(2.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.64(2.09%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.02% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040627

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_27_2004	20.53	19.64	19.64	19.82			20.05(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	9	29	0.95	47%	-0.05	-51	1.18%	0	2.1	61	0
2	May_26_2004	20.54	19.62	19.6	19.72			19.93(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	8	14	0.34	47%	-0.05	-81.4	1.18%	0	1.5	55	0
3	May_25_2004	20.55	19.63	19.58	19.63			19.97(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	7	-10000	9	1	0.28	47%	-0.05	-73.5	1.18%	0	1.3	52	0
4	May_24_2004	20.56	19.64	19.55	19.53			19.6(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	7	-14	0.22	45%	-0.05	-63.9	1.16%	0	-0.1	47	0
5	May_21_2004	20.57	19.69	19.55	19.45			19.57(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	2	-27	0.18	43%	-0.05	-56	1.16%	0	-0.3	53	0

6	May_20_2004	20.58	19.74	19.54	19.43			19.51(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	-4	-28	0.15	43%	-0.05	-46.6	1.17%	0	-0.6	55	0
7	May_19_2004	20.59	19.79	19.56	19.47			19.52(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	-4	-25	0.44	42%	-0.05	-42	1.17%	0	-0.7	43	0
8	May_18_2004	20.6	19.82	19.59	19.51			19.43(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-6	-27	0.33	42%	-0.05	-43.5	1.18%	0	-1	35	0
9	May_17_2004	20.61	19.84	19.61	19.58			19.24(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-5	-35	0.68	44%	-0.05	-46.4	1.18%	0	-1.5	26	0
10	May_14_2004	20.62	19.9	19.61	19.64			19.45(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-3	-50	0.67	44%	-0.05	-50.5	1.19%	0	-1.2	27	0

11	May_13_2004	20.63	19.93	19.61	19.67			19.72(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	1	-76	0.37	45%	-0.05	-58.1	1.19%	0	-0.6	27	0
12	May_12_2004	20.64	19.96	19.65	19.66			19.72(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	-2	-95	0.41	45%	0	-62.6	1.19%	0	-0.6	35	0
13	May_11_2004	20.64	20	19.68	19.68			19.78(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10000	2	-95	0.38	45%	0	-64	1.19%	0	-0.5	43	0
14	May_10_2004	20.64	20.04	19.74	19.68			19.52(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	0	-88	0.43	43%	-0.05	-66.5	1.18%	0	-1.2	46	0
15	May_7_2004	20.65	20.1	19.84	19.66			19.6(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	-10000	4	-84	0.42	43%	0	-69.9	1.18%	0	-1.2	40	0

16	May_6_2004	20.65	20.16	19.95	19.61			19.7(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	-2	-78	0.48	46%	0	-69.7	1.19%	0	-1.1	46	0
17	May_5_2004	20.65	20.21	20.02	19.63			19.79(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-10000	-6	-72	0.73	46%	0	-63.5	1.22%	0	-1	44	0
18	May_4_2004	20.65	20.26	20.06	19.7			19.69(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-10000	-12	-75	0.6	44%	0	-52.8	1.22%	0	-1.3	39	0
19	May_3_2004	20.65	20.33	20.09	19.85			19.5(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-16	-70	0.39	44%	-0.05	-34.7	1.25%	0	-1.9	36	0
20	Apr_30_2004	20.66	20.4	20.18	20.05			19.39(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-30	-10000	-21	-57	0.52	44%	0	-14.4	1.24%	0	-2.5	31	0

21	Apr_29_2004	20.66	20.45	20.26	20.32			19.8(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-10000	-11	-33	0.47	46%	0	8.1	1.21%	0	-2	36	0
22	Apr_28_2004	20.66	20.48	20.31	20.46			20.1(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-7	-10000	-2	-20	0.74	46%	0.05	31.1	1.2%	0	-1.2	40	0
23	Apr_27_2004	20.65	20.49	20.35	20.48			20.45(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	-10000	10	-21	0.27	46%	0	47.3	1.2%	0	-0.1	42	0
24	Apr_26_2004	20.65	20.48	20.36	20.36			20.51(-1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	2	-51	0.21	48%	0.05	50	1.21%	0	0.1	39	0
25	Apr_23_2004	20.64	20.46	20.38	20.33			20.76(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-5	-10000	11	-54	0.5	48%		47.4	1.23%	0	0.9	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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