Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 29, 2004

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $19.8000 (-1.49%) ($19.6100 - $20.1600) on Thu. Apr. 29, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $19.8000(-1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(78%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $20.45
5 Day Moving Average   $20.32(-2.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.26(-2.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.45(-3.18%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2004	20.66	20.45	20.26	20.32			19.8(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-10000	-11	-33	0.47	46%	0	8.1	1.21%	0	-2	36	0
2	Apr_28_2004	20.66	20.48	20.31	20.46			20.1(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-7	-10000	-2	-20	0.74	46%	0.05	31.1	1.2%	0	-1.2	40	0
3	Apr_27_2004	20.65	20.49	20.35	20.48			20.45(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	-10000	10	-21	0.27	46%	0	47.3	1.2%	0	-0.1	42	0
4	Apr_26_2004	20.65	20.48	20.36	20.36			20.51(-1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	2	-51	0.21	48%	0.05	50	1.21%	0	0.1	39	0
5	Apr_23_2004	20.64	20.46	20.38	20.33			20.76(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-5	-10000	11	-54	0.5	48%	0.05	47.4	1.23%	0	0.9	46	0

6	Apr_22_2004	20.63	20.43	20.37	20.19			20.49(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-15	-10000	3	-69	0.79	46%	0	37.6	1.22%	0	0.2	53	0
7	Apr_21_2004	20.63	20.38	20.39	20.15			20.18(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-6	-69	0.52	44%	0	21	1.2%	0	-0.5	53	0
8	Apr_20_2004	20.63	20.35	20.46	20.22			19.88(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-10000	-11	-52	0.26	42%	0	18	1.19%	0	-1.1	46	0
9	Apr_19_2004	20.63	20.33	20.57	20.35			20.32(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-8	-16	0.26	45%	0.05	21.2	1.16%	0	-0	53	0
10	Apr_16_2004	20.62	20.33	20.63	20.45			20.09(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10000	-11	16	0.31	47%	-0.05	22.9	1.16%	0	-0.5	55	0

11	Apr_15_2004	20.63	20.31	20.63	20.58			20.28(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-7	42	0.7	47%	0	33.5	1.17%	0	-0.1	56	0
12	Apr_14_2004	20.63	20.3	20.67	20.66			20.52(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-6	72	0.26	50%	0.05	40.3	1.16%	0	0.5	71	0
13	Apr_13_2004	20.62	20.27	20.65	20.73			20.54(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-10000	-8	102	0.5	48%	0.05	39.3	1.17%	0	0.6	73	0
14	Apr_12_2004	20.61	20.23	20.63	20.83			20.8(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	-10000	-2	141	0.27	51%	0.15	40.5	1.18%	0	1.2	78	0
15	Apr_8_2004	20.58	20.2	20.55	20.85			20.75(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	44	-10000	7	155	0.34	52%	0.1	37.3	1.19%	0	1.2	67	0

16	Apr_7_2004	20.56	20.15	20.49	20.77			20.71(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	-10000	9	147	0.72	52%	0.05	22.9	1.22%	0	1.2	60	0
17	Apr_6_2004	20.55	20.11	20.37	20.66			20.84(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	9	121	0.26	52%	0.1	8.2	1.22%	0	1.7	59	0
18	Apr_5_2004	20.53	20.08	20.23	20.55			21.06(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	-10000	13	99	0.44	55%	0.05	-4.4	1.22%	0	2.4	66	0
19	Apr_2_2004	20.52	20.04	20.07	20.39			20.88(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	-10000	13	70	1.48	55%	0.05	-23.7	1.25%	0	2.2	66	0
20	Apr_1_2004	20.51	20.02	19.95	20.22			20.37(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	4	35	0.45	52%	0	-34.9	1.21%	0	0.9	52	0

21	Mar_31_2004	20.51	20.05	19.91	20.17			20.16(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	11	37	0.45	52%	0.05	-35.3	1.22%	0	0.3	56	0
22	Mar_30_2004	20.5	20.07	19.9	20.03			20.29(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	14	24	0.67	52%	0	-40.6	1.21%	0	0.5	54	0
23	Mar_29_2004	20.5	20.1	19.86	19.86			20.26(1.3%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	8	-10000	14	-11	0.4	54%	0	-46	1.21%	0	0.3	47	0
24	Mar_26_2004	20.5	20.13	19.8	19.69			20(-0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-10000	4	-51	0.87	52%	0	-51.9	1.22%	0	-0.3	44	0
25	Mar_25_2004	20.5	20.16	19.81	19.64			20.12(3.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-17	-10000	2	-73	0.73	52%		-54.2	1.22%	0	-0.1	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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