Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 13, 2004

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $21.4200 (-1.43%) ($21.2900 - $21.7900) on Tue. Jan. 13, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $21.4200(-1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.5(-0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.12(1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.58(4.08%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 3.21% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2004	19.62	20.58	21.12	21.5			21.42(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	-10000	4	177	1.14	55%	0.15	70.4	1.17%	0	1.3	78	0
2	Jan_12_2004	19.59	20.5	21.03	21.45			21.73(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	57	-10000	12	193	0.44	57%	0.2	71	1.16%	0	1.9	86	0
3	Jan_9_2004	19.55	20.41	20.86	21.3			21.4(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	-10000	15	178	0.52	55%	0.15	69.6	1.15%	0	1.7	76	0
4	Jan_8_2004	19.52	20.31	20.73	21.12			21.69(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	59	-10000	22	168	1.88	58%	0.21	62.4	1.13%	0	2.5	86	0
5	Jan_7_2004	19.48	20.2	20.56	20.86			21.27(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	47	-10000	16	139	0.51	55%	0.15	52.4	1.11%	0	2.3	83	0

6	Jan_6_2004	19.45	20.12	20.42	20.68			21.17(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	39	-10000	12	120	0.46	55%	0.21	43.9	1.11%	0	2.4	83	0
7	Jan_5_2004	19.41	20.05	20.29	20.54			20.98(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	-10000	16	101	0.67	55%	0.15	40.6	1.11%	0	2.6	71	0
8	Jan_2_2004	19.38	20.01	20.19	20.36			20.48(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	8	75	0.27	56%	0.31	40.7	1.13%	0	1.7	64	0
9	Dec_31_2003	19.32	19.98	20.12	20.27			20.38(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	5	68	0.35	59%	0.16	39.2	1.13%	0	1.6	71	0
10	Dec_30_2003	19.29	19.96	20.06	20.21			20.41(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	9	69	0.38	55%	0.16	39.2	1.16%	0	1.9	73	0

11	Dec_29_2003	19.26	19.94	19.99	20.11			20.44(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	19	-10000	9	50	0.62	57%	0.21	47.3	1.2%	0	2.3	60	0
12	Dec_26_2003	19.22	19.91	19.94	20			20.08(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	8	-10000	-1	34	0.31	55%	0.26	61.1	1.2%	0	0.9	55	0
13	Dec_24_2003	19.17	19.89	19.92	20.01			20.04(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	5	32	0.95	50%	0.16	72.2	1.2%	0	0.8	46	0
14	Dec_23_2003	19.14	19.88	19.88	19.95			20.08(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	4	15	0.53	50%	0.1	78	1.27%	0	1.1	52	0
15	Dec_22_2003	19.12	19.86	19.88	19.9			19.92(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	4	-4	0.38	48%	0.16	82.6	1.27%	0	0.4	48	0

16	Dec_19_2003	19.09	19.83	19.81	19.85			19.89(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-1	-17	1.03	48%	0.1	52.8	1.29%	0	0.3	46	0
17	Dec_18_2003	19.07	19.8	19.81	19.86			20.1(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	2	-15	0.68	50%	0.16	29	1.29%	0	1.2	53	0
18	Dec_17_2003	19.04	19.77	19.8	19.83			19.77(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	-10000	3	-13	0.28	47%	0.11	12.9	1.28%	0	0	50	0
19	Dec_16_2003	19.02	19.74	19.82	19.79			19.8(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-10000	5	-13	0.79	51%	0.11	-0.7	1.28%	0	0.2	52	0
20	Dec_15_2003	19	19.74	19.84	19.72			19.7(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-2	-20	0.89	51%	0.11	-11.8	1.32%	0	-0.1	50	0

21	Dec_12_2003	18.98	19.74	19.88	19.75			19.95(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	2	-10000	2	2	0.2	51%	0.16	-13.8	1.31%	0	0.8	65	0
22	Dec_11_2003	18.95	19.72	19.87	19.73			19.93(1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	-4	13	0.37	51%	0.11	-18.4	1.31%	0	0.7	67	0
23	Dec_10_2003	18.93	19.73	19.86	19.78			19.56(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-6	29	0.52	45%	0.11	-10.8	1.3%	0	-0.5	55	0
24	Dec_9_2003	18.91	19.74	19.89	19.86			19.45(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	6	-10000	-8	48	0.36	45%	0.11	-6.4	1.35%	0	-0.9	57	0
25	Dec_8_2003	18.89	19.76	19.92	19.97			19.88(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-10000	-3	73	0.32	50%		-0.7	1.33%	0	0.4	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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