Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 1, 2003

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $20.1000 (1.01%) ($19.9000 - $20.1900) on Mon. Dec. 1, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $20.1000(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)    OIH(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.87(1.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.6(2.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.76(1.72%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2003	18.78	19.76	19.6	19.87			20.1(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	12	11	0.51	54%	0.11	28.7	1.35%	0	1.1	54	0
2	Nov_28_2003	18.76	19.74	19.6	19.71			19.9(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	12	-17	0.1	54%	0.16	23	1.35%	0	0.5	46	0
3	Nov_26_2003	18.73	19.72	19.55	19.55			19.83(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	-10000	6	-42	0.18	54%	0.05	13.6	1.34%	0	0.4	44	0
4	Nov_25_2003	18.72	19.71	19.58	19.47			19.75(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	9	-48	0.28	54%	0.11	8.2	1.34%	0	0.1	46	0
5	Nov_24_2003	18.7	19.7	19.58	19.36			19.77(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-13	-10000	5	-68	0.52	54%	0.05	-4.3	1.34%	0	0.2	47	0

6	Nov_21_2003	18.69	19.7	19.57	19.3			19.28(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-6	-89	0.18	51%	0.11	-15.7	1.31%	0	-1.1	36	0
7	Nov_20_2003	18.67	19.67	19.65	19.38			19.12(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-14	-74	0.35	51%	0.05	-13.9	1.31%	0	-1.6	44	0
8	Nov_19_2003	18.66	19.68	19.75	19.56			19.42(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-12	-42	0.63	53%	0.16	-6	1.3%	0	-0.8	49	0
9	Nov_18_2003	18.63	19.69	19.81	19.71			19.21(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-10	-10000	-8	-14	0.4	56%	0.11	4.3	1.3%	0	-1.5	45	0
10	Nov_17_2003	18.61	19.72	19.88	19.81			19.45(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-2	-10000	-5	7	0.66	56%	0.11	17.8	1.34%	0	-0.9	50	0

11	Nov_14_2003	18.59	19.73	19.88	19.88			19.72(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-5	36	0.35	58%	0.16	24.2	1.32%	0	-0	64	0
12	Nov_13_2003	18.56	19.72	19.95	19.95			19.99(-0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-10000	-2	59	0.45	60%	0.16	28.7	1.31%	0	0.9	72	0
13	Nov_12_2003	18.53	19.7	19.91	19.97			20.16(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	2	73	0.3	61%	0.16	38.2	1.3%	0	1.5	66	0
14	Nov_11_2003	18.5	19.67	19.86	19.94			19.74(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	17	-10000	-2	72	0.17	59%	0.11	43	1.29%	0	0.2	57	0
15	Nov_10_2003	18.48	19.66	19.85	19.97			19.79(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-10000	-5	73	0.33	59%	0.16	49.3	1.29%	0	0.5	50	0

16	Nov_7_2003	18.45	19.65	19.79	20.03			20.05(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	7	77	0.19	61%	0.11	59.9	1.28%	0	1.4	57	0
17	Nov_6_2003	18.43	19.63	19.69	19.94			20.13(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	8	59	0.42	61%	0.16	59.4	1.27%	0	1.9	63	0
18	Nov_5_2003	18.4	19.59	19.61	19.84			19.97(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	5	35	0.19	58%	0.11	65.6	1.28%	0	1.5	53	0
19	Nov_4_2003	18.38	19.55	19.55	19.77			19.91(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	5	22	0.44	58%	0.16	76.3	1.32%	0	1.6	53	0
20	Nov_3_2003	18.35	19.53	19.53	19.7			20.08(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	17	-10000	15	22	0.61	58%	0.16	96.5	1.32%	0	2.5	58	0

21	Oct_31_2003	18.32	19.49	19.48	19.51			19.62(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	-10000	10	-4	0.71	55%	0.11	94.2	1.3%	0	0.7	50	0
22	Oct_30_2003	18.3	19.47	19.46	19.39			19.6(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	4	-25	0.49	55%	0.11	74.6	1.3%	0	0.5	51	0
23	Oct_29_2003	18.28	19.42	19.46	19.34			19.62(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	2	-26	0.21	55%	0.16	62.3	1.3%	0	0.7	55	0
24	Oct_28_2003	18.25	19.38	19.47	19.31			19.59(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-8	-10000	-2	-24	0.35	55%	0.11	48	1.31%	0	0.6	57	0
25	Oct_27_2003	18.23	19.32	19.46	19.34			19.13(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-9	-21	0.24	52%		38.1	1.28%	0	-0.5	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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