Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 1, 2003

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $18.6800 (2.19%) ($18.3000 - $18.7000) on Wed. Oct. 1, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $18.6800(2.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(14%)    OIH(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

Resistance Level   $18.98
5 Day Moving Average   $18.51(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.85(-0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.98(-1.58%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.95% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_1_2003	17.73	18.98	18.85	18.51			18.68(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	-10000	1	-63	0.62	56%	0.11	-12.3	1.46%	0	-0.8	48	0
2	Sep_30_2003	17.71	19	18.91	18.5			18.28(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-16	-61	0.44	54%	0.11	-2.6	1.44%	0	-2	46	0
3	Sep_29_2003	17.69	19.03	19.02	18.71			18.7(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-8	-34	0.3	57%	0.17	25.4	1.41%	0	-1	42	0
4	Sep_26_2003	17.66	19.02	19.04	18.81			18.4(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-23	-10000	-17	-39	0.39	57%	0.11	35.9	1.41%	0	-1.8	35	0
5	Sep_25_2003	17.64	19.03	19.1	19.04			18.5(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-15	-10000	-15	-14	0.68	57%	0.11	57.6	1.42%	0	-1.5	43	0

6	Sep_24_2003	17.62	19.02	19.15	19.25			18.64(-3.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-5	-10000	-9	8	0.61	57%	0.17	74.4	1.42%	0	-1	43	0
7	Sep_23_2003	17.59	19	19.17	19.25			19.3(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	0	22	0.29	59%	0.17	76.9	1.35%	0	0.7	55	0
8	Sep_22_2003	17.56	18.95	19.16	19.37			19.19(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	-10000	5	32	0.41	59%	0.17	73	1.38%	0	0.5	57	0
9	Sep_19_2003	17.53	18.9	19.18	19.3			19.56(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	10	47	0.26	62%	0.23	72	1.36%	0	1.4	68	0
10	Sep_18_2003	17.49	18.83	19.13	19.17			19.54(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	9	47	0.44	62%	0.23	75.6	1.36%	0	1.5	69	0

11	Sep_17_2003	17.45	18.75	19.1	19.05			19.27(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	9	52	0.31	60%	0.23	75.7	1.36%	0	1.1	68	0
12	Sep_16_2003	17.41	18.69	19.07	18.93			19.3(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	1	53	0.21	63%	0.17	77.7	1.36%	0	1.3	70	0
13	Sep_15_2003	17.38	18.62	19.03	18.92			18.82(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-10	67	0.27	60%	0.23	86.1	1.35%	0	0.4	67	0
14	Sep_12_2003	17.34	18.56	19	19.05			18.93(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-10000	-3	93	0.29	57%	0.17	85.9	1.38%	0	0.7	66	0
15	Sep_11_2003	17.31	18.48	18.95	19.09			18.91(1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-4	104	0.31	57%	0.23	84	1.38%	0	0.7	65	0

16	Sep_10_2003	17.27	18.4	18.89	19.15			18.69(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	27	-10000	-5	121	0.56	57%	0.17	84.2	1.38%	0	0.5	65	0
17	Sep_9_2003	17.24	18.34	18.85	19.22			19.26(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	6	144	0.49	61%	0.23	83.8	1.33%	0	1.4	76	0
18	Sep_8_2003	17.2	18.23	18.73	19.14			19.47(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	-10000	17	143	0.47	61%	0.12	75.9	1.34%	0	1.8	84	0
19	Sep_5_2003	17.18	18.1	18.59	18.93			19.12(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	-10000	12	135	0.53	59%	0.23	66	1.33%	0	1.5	86	0
20	Sep_4_2003	17.14	18	18.5	18.78			19.22(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	46	-10000	15	139	0.39	63%	0.29	57.1	1.33%	0	1.9	90	0

21	Sep_3_2003	17.09	17.89	18.37	18.59			19.04(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	42	-10000	13	127	0.69	63%	0.23	49.3	1.37%	0	1.9	89	0
22	Sep_2_2003	17.05	17.79	18.27	18.42			18.84(2.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	-10000	13	124	0.44	63%	0.41	41.6	1.36%	0	1.9	87	0
23	Aug_29_2003	16.98	17.73	18.17	18.26			18.44(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	5	122	0.29	60%	0.24	38	1.34%	0	1.4	87	0
24	Aug_28_2003	16.94	17.68	18.07	18.2			18.38(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	3	126	0.54	60%	0.24	35	1.34%	0	1.5	87	0
25	Aug_27_2003	16.9	17.63	17.97	18.16			18.27(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	-10000	4	131	0.2	63%		37.3	1.34%	0	1.5	85	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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