Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 18, 2003

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $19.5400 (1.4%) ($19.1400 - $19.6000) on Thu. Sep. 18, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $19.5400(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)    OIH(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.17(1.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.13(2.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.83(3.77%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20031018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2003	17.49	18.83	19.13	19.17			19.54(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	9	47	0.44	62%	0.23	75.6	1.36%	0	1.5	69	0
2	Sep_17_2003	17.45	18.75	19.1	19.05			19.27(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	9	52	0.31	60%	0.23	75.7	1.36%	0	1.1	68	0
3	Sep_16_2003	17.41	18.69	19.07	18.93			19.3(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	1	53	0.21	63%	0.17	77.7	1.36%	0	1.3	70	0
4	Sep_15_2003	17.38	18.62	19.03	18.92			18.82(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-10	67	0.27	60%	0.23	86.1	1.35%	0	0.4	67	0
5	Sep_12_2003	17.34	18.56	19	19.05			18.93(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-10000	-3	93	0.29	57%	0.17	85.9	1.38%	0	0.7	66	0

6	Sep_11_2003	17.31	18.48	18.95	19.09			18.91(1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-4	104	0.31	57%	0.23	84	1.38%	0	0.7	65	0
7	Sep_10_2003	17.27	18.4	18.89	19.15			18.69(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	27	-10000	-5	121	0.56	57%	0.17	84.2	1.38%	0	0.5	65	0
8	Sep_9_2003	17.24	18.34	18.85	19.22			19.26(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	6	144	0.49	61%	0.23	83.8	1.33%	0	1.4	76	0
9	Sep_8_2003	17.2	18.23	18.73	19.14			19.47(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	-10000	17	143	0.47	61%	0.12	75.9	1.34%	0	1.8	84	0
10	Sep_5_2003	17.18	18.1	18.59	18.93			19.12(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	-10000	12	135	0.53	59%	0.23	66	1.33%	0	1.5	86	0

11	Sep_4_2003	17.14	18	18.5	18.78			19.22(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	46	-10000	15	139	0.39	63%	0.29	57.1	1.33%	0	1.9	90	0
12	Sep_3_2003	17.09	17.89	18.37	18.59			19.04(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	42	-10000	13	127	0.69	63%	0.23	49.3	1.37%	0	1.9	89	0
13	Sep_2_2003	17.05	17.79	18.27	18.42			18.84(2.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	-10000	13	124	0.44	63%	0.41	41.6	1.36%	0	1.9	87	0
14	Aug_29_2003	16.98	17.73	18.17	18.26			18.44(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	5	122	0.29	60%	0.24	38	1.34%	0	1.4	87	0
15	Aug_28_2003	16.94	17.68	18.07	18.2			18.38(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	3	126	0.54	60%	0.24	35	1.34%	0	1.5	87	0

16	Aug_27_2003	16.9	17.63	17.97	18.16			18.27(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	-10000	4	131	0.2	63%	0.24	37.3	1.34%	0	1.5	85	0
17	Aug_26_2003	16.86	17.59	17.87	18.16			18.15(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	0	128	0.38	63%	0.18	34.8	1.38%	0	1.4	81	0
18	Aug_25_2003	16.83	17.56	17.79	18.11			18.05(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	-10000	3	133	0.37	63%	0.24	37.4	1.39%	0	1.3	72	0
19	Aug_22_2003	16.79	17.54	17.7	18.07			18.16(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	12	123	0.33	63%	0.18	44.5	1.38%	0	1.7	58	0
20	Aug_21_2003	16.76	17.52	17.58	17.92			18.19(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	15	92	0.31	63%	0.18	37.5	1.38%	0	1.9	62	0

21	Aug_20_2003	16.73	17.47	17.46	17.74			18.02(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	12	54	0.54	63%	0.24	24	1.38%	0	1.7	57	0
22	Aug_19_2003	16.69	17.45	17.36	17.59			18.12(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	15	-10000	12	25	0.5	58%	0.06	6	1.38%	0	2.3	61	0
23	Aug_18_2003	16.68	17.42	17.26	17.44			17.88(2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	10	-10000	14	-4	0.33	58%	0.06	-20.1	1.45%	0	1.8	53	0
24	Aug_15_2003	16.67	17.38	17.23	17.27			17.37(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	6	-33	0.27	54%	0.06	-58	1.41%	0	-0	37	0
25	Aug_14_2003	16.66	17.39	17.24	17.2			17.3(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	5	-50	0	54%		-76.1	1.42%	0	-0.4	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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