Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 17, 2003

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $19.2700 (-0.16%) ($19.1900 - $19.4300) on Wed. Sep. 17, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $19.2700(-0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)    OIH(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.05(1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.1(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.75(2.77%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   13.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2003	17.45	18.75	19.1	19.05			19.27(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	9	52	0.31	60%	0.23	75.7	1.36%	0	1.1	68	0
2	Sep_16_2003	17.41	18.69	19.07	18.93			19.3(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	1	53	0.21	63%	0.17	77.7	1.36%	0	1.3	70	0
3	Sep_15_2003	17.38	18.62	19.03	18.92			18.82(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-10	67	0.27	60%	0.23	86.1	1.35%	0	0.4	67	0
4	Sep_12_2003	17.34	18.56	19	19.05			18.93(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-10000	-3	93	0.29	57%	0.17	85.9	1.38%	0	0.7	66	0
5	Sep_11_2003	17.31	18.48	18.95	19.09			18.91(1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-4	104	0.31	57%	0.23	84	1.38%	0	0.7	65	0

6	Sep_10_2003	17.27	18.4	18.89	19.15			18.69(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	27	-10000	-5	121	0.56	57%	0.17	84.2	1.38%	0	0.5	65	0
7	Sep_9_2003	17.24	18.34	18.85	19.22			19.26(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	6	144	0.49	61%	0.23	83.8	1.33%	0	1.4	76	0
8	Sep_8_2003	17.2	18.23	18.73	19.14			19.47(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	-10000	17	143	0.47	61%	0.12	75.9	1.34%	0	1.8	84	0
9	Sep_5_2003	17.18	18.1	18.59	18.93			19.12(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	-10000	12	135	0.53	59%	0.23	66	1.33%	0	1.5	86	0
10	Sep_4_2003	17.14	18	18.5	18.78			19.22(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	46	-10000	15	139	0.39	63%	0.29	57.1	1.33%	0	1.9	90	0

11	Sep_3_2003	17.09	17.89	18.37	18.59			19.04(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	42	-10000	13	127	0.69	63%	0.23	49.3	1.37%	0	1.9	89	0
12	Sep_2_2003	17.05	17.79	18.27	18.42			18.84(2.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	-10000	13	124	0.44	63%	0.41	41.6	1.36%	0	1.9	87	0
13	Aug_29_2003	16.98	17.73	18.17	18.26			18.44(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	5	122	0.29	60%	0.24	38	1.34%	0	1.4	87	0
14	Aug_28_2003	16.94	17.68	18.07	18.2			18.38(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	3	126	0.54	60%	0.24	35	1.34%	0	1.5	87	0
15	Aug_27_2003	16.9	17.63	17.97	18.16			18.27(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	-10000	4	131	0.2	63%	0.24	37.3	1.34%	0	1.5	85	0

16	Aug_26_2003	16.86	17.59	17.87	18.16			18.15(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	0	128	0.38	63%	0.18	34.8	1.38%	0	1.4	81	0
17	Aug_25_2003	16.83	17.56	17.79	18.11			18.05(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	-10000	3	133	0.37	63%	0.24	37.4	1.39%	0	1.3	72	0
18	Aug_22_2003	16.79	17.54	17.7	18.07			18.16(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	12	123	0.33	63%	0.18	44.5	1.38%	0	1.7	58	0
19	Aug_21_2003	16.76	17.52	17.58	17.92			18.19(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	15	92	0.31	63%	0.18	37.5	1.38%	0	1.9	62	0
20	Aug_20_2003	16.73	17.47	17.46	17.74			18.02(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	12	54	0.54	63%	0.24	24	1.38%	0	1.7	57	0

21	Aug_19_2003	16.69	17.45	17.36	17.59			18.12(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	15	-10000	12	25	0.5	58%	0.06	6	1.38%	0	2.3	61	0
22	Aug_18_2003	16.68	17.42	17.26	17.44			17.88(2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	10	-10000	14	-4	0.33	58%	0.06	-20.1	1.45%	0	1.8	53	0
23	Aug_15_2003	16.67	17.38	17.23	17.27			17.37(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	6	-33	0.27	54%	0.06	-58	1.41%	0	-0	37	0
24	Aug_14_2003	16.66	17.39	17.24	17.2			17.3(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	5	-50	0	54%	0.06	-76.1	1.42%	0	-0.4	36	0
25	Aug_13_2003	16.65	17.4	17.27	17.14			17.3(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	4	-54	0.26	54%		-75.2	1.42%	0	-0.4	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.