Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 28, 2003

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $18.3800 (0.6%) ($18.1200 - $18.4500) on Thu. Aug. 28, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $18.3800(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)    OIH(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.2(0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.07(1.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.68(3.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_28_2003	16.94	17.68	18.07	18.2			18.38(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	3	126	0.54	60%	0.24	35	1.34%	0	1.5	87	0
2	Aug_27_2003	16.9	17.63	17.97	18.16			18.27(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	-10000	4	131	0.2	63%	0.24	37.3	1.34%	0	1.5	85	0
3	Aug_26_2003	16.86	17.59	17.87	18.16			18.15(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	0	128	0.38	63%	0.18	34.8	1.38%	0	1.4	81	0
4	Aug_25_2003	16.83	17.56	17.79	18.11			18.05(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	-10000	3	133	0.37	63%	0.24	37.4	1.39%	0	1.3	72	0
5	Aug_22_2003	16.79	17.54	17.7	18.07			18.16(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	12	123	0.33	63%	0.18	44.5	1.38%	0	1.7	58	0

6	Aug_21_2003	16.76	17.52	17.58	17.92			18.19(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	15	92	0.31	63%	0.18	37.5	1.38%	0	1.9	62	0
7	Aug_20_2003	16.73	17.47	17.46	17.74			18.02(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	12	54	0.54	63%	0.24	24	1.38%	0	1.7	57	0
8	Aug_19_2003	16.69	17.45	17.36	17.59			18.12(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	15	-10000	12	25	0.5	58%	0.06	6	1.38%	0	2.3	61	0
9	Aug_18_2003	16.68	17.42	17.26	17.44			17.88(2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	10	-10000	14	-4	0.33	58%	0.06	-20.1	1.45%	0	1.8	53	0
10	Aug_15_2003	16.67	17.38	17.23	17.27			17.37(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	6	-33	0.27	54%	0.06	-58	1.41%	0	-0	37	0

11	Aug_14_2003	16.66	17.39	17.24	17.2			17.3(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	5	-50	0	54%	0.06	-76.1	1.42%	0	-0.4	36	0
12	Aug_13_2003	16.65	17.4	17.27	17.14			17.3(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	4	-54	0.26	54%	0	-75.2	1.42%	0	-0.4	49	0
13	Aug_12_2003	16.65	17.43	17.28	17.09			17.33(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	2	-66	0.22	54%	0.06	-74.7	1.42%	0	-0.3	43	0
14	Aug_11_2003	16.64	17.47	17.31	17.07			17.07(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-10000	-10	-73	0.44	53%	0.06	-73.5	1.42%	0	-1.2	41	0
15	Aug_8_2003	16.63	17.52	17.38	17.19			16.99(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-8	-43	0.33	52%	0	-64.9	1.46%	0	-1.6	49	0

16	Aug_7_2003	16.63	17.57	17.45	17.29			17.01(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-9	-26	0.45	52%	0	-52.8	1.5%	0	-1.8	42	0
17	Aug_6_2003	16.63	17.61	17.5	17.41			17.06(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-8	-10000	-6	-13	0.64	54%	0.06	-41.5	1.5%	0	-1.8	44	0
18	Aug_5_2003	16.62	17.67	17.56	17.49			17.22(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7	-10000	-6	-11	0.33	54%	0.06	-22.4	1.51%	0	-1.5	37	0
19	Aug_4_2003	16.61	17.72	17.59	17.57			17.66(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-2	-12	0.34	57%	0.06	1.2	1.48%	0	-0.2	41	0
20	Aug_1_2003	16.6	17.72	17.59	17.6			17.51(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-3	-28	1.21	59%	0.06	18.4	1.49%	0	-0.8	39	0

21	Jul_31_2003	16.59	17.72	17.55	17.64			17.6(0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	3	-30	1.23	59%	0.06	25.4	1.5%	0	-0.5	42	0
22	Jul_30_2003	16.58	17.72	17.54	17.6			17.48(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-2	-43	0.2	59%	0.06	33.7	1.5%	0	-0.9	46	0
23	Jul_29_2003	16.57	17.74	17.6	17.63			17.61(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10000	1	-41	0.85	59%	0.06	39.1	1.51%	0	-0.4	41	0
24	Jul_28_2003	16.56	17.71	17.64	17.61			17.78(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	9	-43	0.95	61%	0.12	32.3	1.5%	0	0.2	42	0
25	Jul_25_2003	16.54	17.68	17.67	17.49			17.75(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	3	-60	0.35	59%		16.2	1.52%	0	0.2	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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