Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 14, 2003

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $18.0900 (0.44%) ($18.0400 - $18.4500) on Mon. Jul. 14, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $18.0900(0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)    OIH(50%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.05(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.8(1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.57(2.96%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   25.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.22% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2003	16.4	17.57	17.8	18.05			18.09(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	1	110	0.49	69%	0.12	59.5	1.49%	0	1.3	65	0
2	Jul_11_2003	16.38	17.51	17.71	18.04			18.01(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	8	105	0.35	69%	0.12	59	1.5%	0	1.3	56	0
3	Jul_10_2003	16.36	17.48	17.63	17.93			17.76(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	22	-10000	1	84	1.01	69%	0.12	54.4	1.5%	0	0.8	53	0
4	Jul_9_2003	16.34	17.45	17.55	17.91			18.18(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	13	75	1.18	69%	0.18	52.9	1.46%	0	2	57	0
5	Jul_8_2003	16.31	17.4	17.44	17.74			18.2(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	-10000	18	45	0.78	69%	0.18	48.9	1.49%	0	2.5	60	0

6	Jul_7_2003	16.28	17.34	17.33	17.51			18.06(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	13	-10000	14	10	0.74	69%	0.18	35.4	1.5%	0	2.6	59	0
7	Jul_3_2003	16.25	17.29	17.26	17.33			17.46(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	4	-8	0.76	67%	0.06	26.8	1.44%	0	0.8	59	0
8	Jul_2_2003	16.24	17.28	17.27	17.28			17.67(2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	6	-10000	11	-8	0.8	70%	0.19	36.1	1.43%	0	1.9	54	0
9	Jul_1_2003	16.21	17.27	17.26	17.14			17.31(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	4	-22	0.6	68%	0.06	32	1.5%	0	0.2	50	0
10	Jun_30_2003	16.2	17.25	17.27	17.09			17.07(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-2	-23	0.56	68%	0.12	30.8	1.51%	0	-0.8	49	0

11	Jun_27_2003	16.18	17.24	17.31	17.11			17.12(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10000	-6	-13	0.5	68%	0.06	48.1	1.52%	0	-0.5	55	0
12	Jun_26_2003	16.17	17.23	17.3	17.19			17.25(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-5	-7	1.61	68%	0.12	65.6	1.53%	0	0.1	52	0
13	Jun_25_2003	16.15	17.21	17.32	17.25			16.93(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-11	-2	0.6	67%	0.06	80.4	1.52%	0	-1	43	0
14	Jun_24_2003	16.14	17.2	17.36	17.4			17.1(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-6	18	0.6	67%	0.12	98.3	1.53%	0	-0.3	45	0
15	Jun_23_2003	16.12	17.18	17.37	17.48			17.17(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-4	36	1.71	67%	0.12	117.2	1.54%	0	-0	58	0

16	Jun_20_2003	16.1	17.13	17.36	17.53			17.52(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10000	8	51	0.39	70%	0.12	95.5	1.52%	0	1	64	0
17	Jun_19_2003	16.08	17.06	17.33	17.43			17.54(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	3	41	0.4	70%	0.19	73	1.53%	0	1.1	62	0
18	Jun_18_2003	16.05	16.99	17.31	17.39			17.67(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	5	52	0.44	70%	0.19	60.3	1.54%	0	1.4	68	0
19	Jun_17_2003	16.02	16.9	17.27	17.32			17.5(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	5	58	1.13	70%	0.19	48.3	1.55%	0	1.2	67	0
20	Jun_16_2003	15.99	16.82	17.21	17.26			17.42(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	7	58	2.06	70%	0.19	37.3	1.57%	0	1.2	68	0

21	Jun_13_2003	15.96	16.77	17.21	17.16			17(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-3	59	1.47	68%	0.13	34.9	1.55%	0	0.5	70	0
22	Jun_12_2003	15.94	16.75	17.15	17.16			17.38(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	21	-10000	0	85	0.98	72%	0.19	45.4	1.53%	0	1.3	79	0
23	Jun_11_2003	15.91	16.71	17.09	17.2			17.3(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	24	-10000	-2	102	0.46	72%	0.13	49.1	1.54%	0	1.3	81	0
24	Jun_10_2003	15.89	16.67	17.02	17.22			17.19(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	35	-10000	5	125	0.57	72%	0.19	54.8	1.56%	0	1.2	80	0
25	Jun_9_2003	15.86	16.63	16.96	17.15			16.95(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	34	-10000	2	131	1.17	72%		59.1	1.57%	0	0.7	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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