Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sat. Jun. 7, 2003

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $17.2000 (-0.98%) ($17.1600 - $17.8500) on Sat. Jun. 7, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.56% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $17.2000(-0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.78% (StdDev 1.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.13(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.89(1.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.6(3.61%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   19.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.59% (three month std-dev: 1.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_6_2003	15.84	16.6	16.89	17.13			17.2(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	4	126	0.85	72%	0.19	61	1.56%	0	1.4	63	0
2	Jun_5_2003	15.81	16.53	16.79	17.08			17.37(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	36	-10000	10	113	0.51	72%	0.25	59.6	1.57%	0	2	62	0
3	Jun_4_2003	15.77	16.48	16.64	16.95			17.37(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	-10000	11	87	2.52	72%	0.25	65.4	1.58%	0	2.3	65	0
4	Jun_3_2003	15.73	16.42	16.5	16.81			16.86(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	18	-10000	5	56	0	70%	0.13	73.6	1.55%	0	1.3	56	0
5	Jun_2_2003	15.71	16.38	16.4	16.75			16.86(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	11	37	0.69	70%	0.19	77.4	1.57%	0	1.5	55	0

6	May_30_2003	15.68	16.34	16.36	16.61			16.95(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	13	23	1.42	70%	0.19	78.9	1.58%	0	2	62	0
7	May_29_2003	15.65	16.28	16.32	16.44			16.71(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	12	17	0.73	70%	0.19	69.6	1.59%	0	1.4	67	0
8	May_28_2003	15.62	16.23	16.29	16.29			16.67(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	-10000	12	1	0.94	70%	0.13	51.8	1.61%	0	1.4	55	0
9	May_27_2003	15.6	16.18	16.27	16.14			16.56(2.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	4	-10000	10	-15	0.7	70%	0.19	43.2	1.63%	0	1.2	53	0
10	May_23_2003	15.57	16.14	16.26	16.01			16.14(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-5	-28	0.3	67%	0.06	34.6	1.61%	0	0	53	0

11	May_22_2003	15.56	16.1	16.28	16.08			16.12(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-8	-15	2.75	67%	0.13	40	1.63%	0	0.1	52	0
12	May_21_2003	15.54	16.08	16.27	16.19			15.95(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10000	-7	1	0.94	67%	0.06	57.4	1.65%	0	-0.4	56	0
13	May_20_2003	15.53	16.07	16.31	16.29			15.93(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-9	28	1.82	67%	0.06	74.1	1.67%	0	-0.4	59	0
14	May_19_2003	15.52	16.05	16.35	16.41			15.9(-3.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	6	-10000	-10	54	0.96	67%	0.06	87.7	1.7%	0	-0.3	54	0
15	May_16_2003	15.51	16.02	16.38	16.55			16.5(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	3	93	1.13	76%	0.26	101.4	1.57%	0	1.1	67	0

16	May_15_2003	15.47	15.95	16.34	16.51			16.65(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	12	110	0.68	76%	0.19	104.9	1.58%	0	1.5	74	0
17	May_14_2003	15.44	15.87	16.25	16.36			16.48(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	2	90	0.54	76%	0.26	96.7	1.6%	0	1.3	65	0
18	May_13_2003	15.4	15.78	16.17	16.33			16.54(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	3	86	0.71	76%	0.26	90.7	1.62%	0	1.5	62	0
19	May_12_2003	15.36	15.68	16.09	16.29			16.57(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	8	90	0.5	76%	0.26	78.6	1.65%	0	1.6	66	0
20	May_9_2003	15.32	15.57	15.99	16.19			16.32(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	4	86	0.37	76%	0.26	67.5	1.67%	0	1.3	68	0

21	May_8_2003	15.28	15.49	15.9	16.14			15.88(-2.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	1	85	0.61	73%	0.13	61	1.63%	0	0.7	63	0
22	May_7_2003	15.26	15.42	15.87	16.12			16.34(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	37	-10000	12	110	0	82%	0.26	52.3	1.53%	0	1.5	76	0
23	May_6_2003	15.22	15.34	15.81	15.97			16.34(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	-10000	9	111	1.16	82%	0.33	49.9	1.56%	0	1.7	77	0
24	May_5_2003	15.17	15.26	15.72	15.86			16.05(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	6	121	0.93	81%	0.26	0	1.57%	0	1.5	78	0
25	May_2_2003	15.13	15.2	15.63	15.78			16.09(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	13	130	0.58	81%		0	1.6%	0	1.7	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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