Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 23, 2003

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $16.1400 (0.12%) ($16.0100 - $16.2000) on Fri. May. 23, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $16.1400(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)    OIH(50%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.01(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.26(-0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.14(0%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2003	15.57	16.14	16.26	16.01			16.14(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-5	-28	0.3	67%	0.06	34.6	1.61%	0	0	53	0
2	May_22_2003	15.56	16.1	16.28	16.08			16.12(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-8	-15	2.75	67%	0.13	40	1.63%	0	0.1	52	0
3	May_21_2003	15.54	16.08	16.27	16.19			15.95(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10000	-7	1	0.94	67%	0.06	57.4	1.65%	0	-0.4	56	0
4	May_20_2003	15.53	16.07	16.31	16.29			15.93(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-9	28	1.82	67%	0.06	74.1	1.67%	0	-0.4	59	0
5	May_19_2003	15.52	16.05	16.35	16.41			15.9(-3.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	6	-10000	-10	54	0.96	67%	0.06	87.7	1.7%	0	-0.3	54	0

6	May_16_2003	15.51	16.02	16.38	16.55			16.5(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	3	93	1.13	76%	0.26	101.4	1.57%	0	1.1	67	0
7	May_15_2003	15.47	15.95	16.34	16.51			16.65(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	12	110	0.68	76%	0.19	104.9	1.58%	0	1.5	74	0
8	May_14_2003	15.44	15.87	16.25	16.36			16.48(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	2	90	0.54	76%	0.26	96.7	1.6%	0	1.3	65	0
9	May_13_2003	15.4	15.78	16.17	16.33			16.54(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	3	86	0.71	76%	0.26	90.7	1.62%	0	1.5	62	0
10	May_12_2003	15.36	15.68	16.09	16.29			16.57(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	8	90	0.5	76%	0.26	78.6	1.65%	0	1.6	66	0

11	May_9_2003	15.32	15.57	15.99	16.19			16.32(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	4	86	0.37	76%	0.26	67.5	1.67%	0	1.3	68	0
12	May_8_2003	15.28	15.49	15.9	16.14			15.88(-2.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	1	85	0.61	73%	0.13	61	1.63%	0	0.7	63	0
13	May_7_2003	15.26	15.42	15.87	16.12			16.34(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	37	-10000	12	110	0	82%	0.26	52.3	1.53%	0	1.5	76	0
14	May_6_2003	15.22	15.34	15.81	15.97			16.34(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	-10000	9	111	1.16	82%	0.33	49.9	1.56%	0	1.7	77	0
15	May_5_2003	15.17	15.26	15.72	15.86			16.05(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	6	121	0.93	81%	0.26	0	1.57%	0	1.5	78	0

16	May_2_2003	15.13	15.2	15.63	15.78			16.09(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	13	130	0.58	81%	0.27	0	1.6%	0	1.7	79	0
17	May_1_2003	15.09	15.14	15.54	15.62			15.76(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	2	122	0.48	79%	0.27	0	1.6%	0	1.3	73	0
18	Apr_30_2003	15.05	15.1	15.45	15.59			15.61(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	31	-10000	-2	128	0.51	79%	0.13	0	1.63%	0	1.2	73	0
19	Apr_29_2003	15.03	15.05	15.38	15.61			15.79(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	5	138	0.59	79%	0.27	0	1.63%	0	1.7	67	0
20	Apr_28_2003	14.99	15.05	15.24	15.55			15.63(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	7	3	0.5	79%	0.27	0	1.67%	0	37.2	62	0

21	Apr_25_2003	14.95	15.05	15.12	15.46			15.31(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2	-10000	2	1	0.79	76%	0.13	0	1.67%	0	38.3	58	0
22	Apr_24_2003	14.93	15.05	15.05	15.43			15.6(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	11	4	0.39	85%	0.27	0	1.63%	0	39	59	0
23	Apr_23_2003	14.89	15.05	14.93	15.29			15.74(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	15	6	0.98	85%	0.4	0	1.64%	0	41.4	61	0
24	Apr_22_2003	14.83	15.05	14.83	15.1			15.48(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	17	7	0.83	84%	0.27	0	1.67%	0	48.4	68	0
25	Apr_21_2003	14.79	15.05	14.76	14.89			15.15(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	12	5	1.52	80%		0	1.66%	0	56.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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