Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 25, 2019

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $26.5700 (0.42%) ($26.5400 - $26.8200) on Mon. Feb. 25, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $26.5700(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(93%)    XLI(91%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    VT(87%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    VXX(-25%)    UUP(-20%)    VIXM(-19%)    XHB(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.53(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.32(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.14(1.64%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   19.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2019	25.63	26.14	26.32	26.53			26.57(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	2	51	33.83	56%	-0.04	62.2	1.36%	0	1.5	58	1.2
2	Feb_22_2019	25.64	26.11	26.23	26.5			26.46(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	6	46	26.34	56%	-0.08	71.8	1.36%	0	1.3	58	1.6
3	Feb_21_2019	25.66	26.08	26.17	26.39			26.5(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	3	32	46.62	56%	-0.04	69	1.37%	0	1.6	61	1.3
4	Feb_20_2019	25.67	26.04	26.12	26.33			26.64(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	6	30	27.51	52%	-0.04	81.3	1.37%	0	2.4	63	1.6
5	Feb_19_2019	25.68	25.99	26.06	26.22			26.47(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	8	25	23.87	52%	-0.12	101.2	1.4%	0	2.2	64	1

6	Feb_15_2019	25.71	25.96	26.02	26.08			26.43(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	10	-10000	8	15	46.88	54%	-0.04	134.2	1.39%	0	2.5	60	1.5
7	Feb_14_2019	25.72	25.92	26.02	25.93			25.89(-1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	-10000	1	-0	44.2	50%	-0.08	154.5	1.37%	0	-0.2	47	1
8	Feb_13_2019	25.74	25.9	25.98	25.91			26.2(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	2	-10000	2	0	42.97	50%	-0.08	154.5	1.38%	0	1.5	61	1.3
9	Feb_12_2019	25.76	25.83	25.96	25.88			26.13(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	1	-10000	1	1	37.65	47%	-0.08	114.3	1.38%	0	1	61	1.5
10	Feb_11_2019	25.78	25.77	25.93	25.87			25.75(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-10000	-5	-0	53.12	45%	-0.12	94.4	1.39%	0	-0.1	54	1.3

11	Feb_8_2019	25.81	25.71	25.95	25.96			25.67(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-4	7	54.91	45%	-0.12	84.4	1.39%	0	-0.1	41	1.3
12	Feb_7_2019	25.84	25.65	25.98	26.03			25.8(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-2	22	80.4	47%	-0.12	84.8	1.39%	0	0.3	58	1.1
13	Feb_6_2019	25.87	25.59	25.99	26.06			26.06(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	-10000	1	31	51.54	47%	-0.08	83.1	1.4%	0	0.8	68	1.7
14	Feb_5_2019	25.89	25.51	25.96	26.04			26.09(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	3	44	39.1	49%	-0.08	80.5	1.4%	0	0.9	77	1.8
15	Feb_4_2019	25.91	25.42	25.92	25.99			26.16(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	16	-10000	3	56	30.36	49%	-0.08	80.3	1.41%	0	1.1	81	1.9

16	Feb_1_2019	25.93	25.33	25.9	25.94			26.05(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	19	-10000	1	74	42.92	49%	-0.04	81.6	1.41%	0	1	82	1.4
17	Jan_31_2019	25.94	25.2	25.85	25.93			25.94(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	2	93	64.02	51%	-0.08	74.5	1.41%	0	1	82	1.4
18	Jan_30_2019	25.96	25.11	25.8	25.9			25.98(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	29	-10000	3	107	62.08	53%	-0.08	82.5	1.42%	0	1.1	83	1.1
19	Jan_29_2019	25.98	25	25.7	25.85			25.83(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	1	112	29.44	53%	-0.12	88.8	1.44%	0	1.1	83	0.5
20	Jan_28_2019	26.01	24.89	25.59	25.83			25.92(-0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	29	-10000	-1	118	66.89	53%	-0.08	88.8	1.44%	0	1.3	86	0.6

21	Jan_25_2019	26.03	24.78	25.46	25.84			26(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	-10000	4	128	63.14	52%	-0.08	89.9	1.45%	0	1.5	88	1.1
22	Jan_24_2019	26.05	24.64	25.3	25.76			25.79(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	37	-10000	4	137	25.5	50%	-0.12	86.2	1.46%	0	1.4	91	0.8
23	Jan_23_2019	26.08	24.47	25.17	25.68			25.73(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	9	138	44.07	50%	-0.08	75.5	1.5%	0	1.6	74	0.6
24	Jan_22_2019	26.1	24.33	25.03	25.51			25.7(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	11	134	79.65	48%	-0.11	65.2	1.5%	0	1.8	76	0.5
25	Jan_18_2019	26.13	24.2	24.88	25.31			26(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	-10000	16	130	58.4	46%		44.1	1.51%	0	2	83	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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