Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 27, 2018

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $23.6000 (1.2%) ($22.7116 - $23.6000) on Thu. Dec. 27, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $23.6000(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(93%)    XLI(90%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    VT(87%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    VXX(-26%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-19%)    DIA(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.42(-43.14%)
Resistance Level   $24.51
5 Day Moving Average   $23.06(2.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.45(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.51(-3.71%)
To recent high   -15.8%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 5.34% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_27_2018	26.67	24.51	23.45	23.06			23.6(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-34	-10000	2	-140	98.01	39%	-0.19	-58.4	1.49%	0	-0.7	29	-1.9
2	Dec_26_2018	26.72	24.64	23.53	23.03			23.32(4.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-46	-10000	-5	-167	108.13	38%	-0.22	-56.5	1.48%	0	-0.9	23	-1.7
3	Dec_24_2018	26.78	24.79	23.63	23.12			22.31(-2.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-71	-10000	-19	-226	71.75	32%	-0.19	-55.3	1.34%	0	-1.7	3	-2.5
4	Dec_21_2018	26.83	24.98	23.87	23.42			22.79(-2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-71	-10000	-17	-233	118.5	33%	-0.19	-57.5	1.33%	0	-1.7	7	-2.4
5	Dec_20_2018	26.88	25.15	24.09	23.68			23.26(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-71	-10000	-14	-240	107.02	36%	-0.19	-56.2	1.31%	0	-1.5	11	-2

6	Dec_19_2018	26.93	25.3	24.3	23.9			23.46(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-70	-10000	-13	-242	129.33	38%	-0.15	-57.8	1.32%	0	-1.6	11	-1.4
7	Dec_18_2018	26.97	25.46	24.53	24.11			23.76(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-62	-10000	-7	-228	90.84	38%	-0.15	-56.9	1.34%	0	-1.6	22	-1.7
8	Dec_17_2018	27.01	25.61	24.84	24.23			23.85(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-10000	-9	-211	101.18	38%	-0.15	-58.5	1.34%	0	-1.7	23	-1.9
9	Dec_14_2018	27.05	25.75	25.13	24.38			24.09(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-10000	-10	-186	66.82	38%	-0.15	-61.1	1.34%	0	-1.7	34	-1.4
10	Dec_13_2018	27.09	25.86	25.38	24.55			24.33(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-10000	-14	-165	67.23	38%	-0.15	-66	1.34%	0	-1.7	34	-0.8

11	Dec_12_2018	27.13	25.98	25.64	24.78			24.51(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-10000	-15	-133	86.75	37%	-0.11	-67	1.34%	0	-1.8	35	-1.2
12	Dec_11_2018	27.16	26.08	25.84	25.03			24.37(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-53	-10000	-30	-120	92.31	37%	-0.11	-65.8	1.34%	0	-2.3	29	-1.5
13	Dec_10_2018	27.19	26.22	26.05	25.55			24.61(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-38	-10000	-25	-76	101.12	37%	-0.11	-52.1	1.33%	0	-2.6	30	-1.8
14	Dec_7_2018	27.22	26.35	26.19	25.99			24.95(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-26	-10000	-20	-45	86.74	38%	-0.07	-31	1.32%	0	-2.7	33	-2.4
15	Dec_6_2018	27.24	26.46	26.32	26.34			25.44(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-16	-10000	-17	-14	134.69	40%	-0.11	-5.3	1.31%	0	-2.3	44	-1.3

16	Dec_4_2018	27.27	26.53	26.39	26.63			25.8(-4.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-2	-10000	-6	10	110.92	41%	-0.04	25.8	1.29%	0	-1.8	42	-0.8
17	Dec_3_2018	27.28	26.58	26.48	26.74			26.97(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	8	33	65.33	45%	0	54.8	1.17%	0	1.1	57	1.7
18	Nov_30_2018	27.28	26.54	26.43	26.62			26.8(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	12	17	45.44	44%	0	61.4	1.17%	0	0.7	46	1.1
19	Nov_29_2018	27.28	26.51	26.41	26.43			26.66(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	8	-16	43.66	44%	0	54.4	1.17%	0	0.4	41	0.7
20	Nov_28_2018	27.28	26.49	26.36	26.31			26.89(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-2	-10000	12	-44	61.38	44%	0	58.8	1.17%	0	1.1	45	1

21	Nov_27_2018	27.28	26.43	26.36	26.13			26.39(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-21	-10000	-3	-75	47.17	43%	0	43.8	1.14%	0	-0.1	45	0.6
22	Nov_26_2018	27.28	26.39	26.32	26.18			26.37(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-10000	-3	-75	50.17	43%	0	33.3	1.15%	0	-0	47	0.4
23	Nov_23_2018	27.28	26.33	26.37	26.23			25.84(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-10	-62	24.25	40%	-0.04	20.4	1.12%	0	-0.9	47	-0.7
24	Nov_21_2018	27.29	26.32	26.51	26.38			26.05(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-2	-26	48.62	40%	0	18	1.11%	0	-0.4	50	-0.4
25	Nov_20_2018	27.29	26.28	26.62	26.41			26.03(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-7	-7	103.78	40%		6.5	1.11%	0	-0.4	52	-1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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