Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $25.7565 (0.3%) ($25.6988 - $25.7946) on Tue. Nov. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.67% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $25.7565(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(92%)    XLI(89%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    VT(87%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-18%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Resistance Level   $25.82
5 Day Moving Average   $25.63(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.59(0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.82(-0.25%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2017	24.85	25.82		25.63			25.76(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	6	-67	35.97	65%	0.04	-29.5	0.67%	0	-0.2	39	0
2	Nov_20_2017	24.84	25.84	25.59	25.58			25.68(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-10000	4	-86	35.23	65%	0.08	-24.1	0.67%	0	-0.6	38	0
3	Nov_17_2017	24.82	25.86	25.63	25.55			25.56(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-23	-10000	1	-93	41.94	59%	0.08	-23.1	0.67%	0	-1.1	31	0
4	Nov_16_2017	24.8	25.88	25.69	25.54			25.59(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10000	1	-93	53.65	59%	0.04	-16.3	0.71%	0	-1.1	29	0
5	Nov_15_2017	24.79	25.89	25.75	25.53			25.58(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	-2	-94	64.95	59%	0.12	-15	0.71%	0	-1.2	28	0

6	Nov_14_2017	24.76	25.9	25.79	25.55			25.51(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-6	-95	54.1	62%	0.08	-13	0.71%	0	-1.5	34	0
7	Nov_13_2017	24.74	25.91	25.84	25.6			25.52(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-10000	-13	-95	50.58	62%	0.08	-11.5	0.72%	0	-1.6	30	0
8	Nov_10_2017	24.72	25.92	25.9	25.72			25.48(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-10000	-15	-73	53.21	57%	0.08	3.1	0.73%	0	-1.8	37	0
9	Nov_9_2017	24.7	25.92	25.97	25.86			25.56(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-22	-10000	-14	-44	94.53	57%	0.08	14.6	0.76%	0	-1.5	38	0
10	Nov_8_2017	24.68	25.93	26.04	26			25.65(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-8	-10000	-8	-6	55.84	57%	0.08	28	0.76%	0	-1.2	51	0

11	Nov_7_2017	24.66	25.93	26.08	26.08			25.78(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-10000	-4	17	70.33	57%	0.08	41.9	0.76%	0	-0.7	55	0
12	Nov_6_2017	24.64	25.94	26.13	26.12			26.14(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	2	46	33.64	61%	0.12	51.6	0.74%	0	0.8	70	0
13	Nov_3_2017	24.61	25.92	26.11	26.12			26.17(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	0	53	42.39	61%	0.08	53.8	0.74%	0	1	65	0
14	Nov_2_2017	24.59	25.89	26.1	26.1			26.27(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	1	69	51.1	61%	0.12	66.3	0.74%	0	1.7	72	0
15	Nov_1_2017	24.56	25.86	26.05	26.1			26.03(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	0	73	40.92	61%	0.08	75.3	0.73%	0	0.7	68	0

16	Oct_31_2017	24.54	25.84	26.02	26.09			25.99(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-4	72	39.89	61%	0.12	83.1	0.74%	0	0.7	59	0
17	Oct_30_2017	24.51	25.82	25.98	26.13			26.06(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	1	78	48.16	61%	0.08	100	0.74%	0	1	58	0
18	Oct_27_2017	24.49	25.79	25.95	26.12			26.17(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	3	80	56.69	61%	0.12	104	0.74%	0	1.5	65	0
19	Oct_26_2017	24.46	25.74	25.88	26.09			26.19(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	9	73	41.83	61%	0.16	105.7	0.74%	0	1.7	61	0
20	Oct_25_2017	24.42	25.69	25.82	26			26.04(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	7	52	68.65	63%	0.12	101.9	0.75%	0	1.3	59	0

21	Oct_24_2017	24.39	25.65	25.78	25.93			26.2(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	12	50	61.26	63%	0.12	87.6	0.75%	0	1.8	71	0
22	Oct_23_2017	24.36	25.58	25.73	25.81			26.01(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	6	33	43.56	63%	0.16	76.8	0.75%	0	1.3	62	0
23	Oct_20_2017	24.32	25.52	25.7	25.75			26.03(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	10	29	56.08	63%	0.12	75.2	0.75%	0	1.5	65	0
24	Oct_19_2017	24.29	25.46	25.7	25.65			25.73(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	4	23	34.67	61%	0.12	75.4	0.74%	0	0.8	65	0
25	Oct_18_2017	24.26	25.42	25.66	25.61			25.71(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	0	31	52.2	61%		78.3	0.74%	0	0.8	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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