Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $25.6490 (-0.38%) ($25.5904 - $25.8151) on Mon. Oct. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $25.6490(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(92%)    XLI(89%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    VT(86%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-18%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.63(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.41(0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.99(2.64%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 2.28% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20171109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2017	24.07	24.99	25.41	25.63			25.65(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	-10000	4	135	31.34	63%	0.12	91.7	0.74%	0	1.2	83	0
2	Oct_6_2017	24.04	24.9	25.33	25.59			25.75(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	9	145	66.08	63%	0.12	81.9	0.74%	0	1.4	89	0
3	Oct_5_2017	24.01	24.79	25.24	25.5			25.72(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-10000	11	149	61.26	63%	0.17	68.5	0.75%	0	1.4	91	0
4	Oct_4_2017	23.97	24.67	25.16	25.39			25.45(-0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	45	-10000	8	155	39.28	61%	0.08	59.7	0.74%	0	1.2	90	0
5	Oct_3_2017	23.95	24.58	25.09	25.32			25.57(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	-10000	17	168	48.06	64%	0.13	55.8	0.74%	0	1.5	92	0

6	Oct_2_2017	23.92	24.48	25	25.16			25.48(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	-10000	14	155	52.77	64%	0.08	49.4	0.76%	0	1.6	92	0
7	Sep_29_2017	23.9	24.4	24.9	25.03			25.27(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	-10000	9	153	42.74	63%	0.13	46.3	0.75%	0	1.5	93	0
8	Sep_28_2017	23.87	24.34	24.79	24.95			25.15(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	-10000	6	160	37.72	65%	0.08	45.6	0.76%	0	1.5	94	0
9	Sep_27_2017	23.85	24.28	24.69	24.89			25.11(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	-10000	6	177	65.92	65%	0.08	45.3	0.78%	0	1.6	95	0
10	Sep_26_2017	23.83	24.22	24.6	24.83			24.81(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	49	-10000	2	188	46.81	63%	0.08	42.6	0.77%	0	1.2	75	0

11	Sep_25_2017	23.81	24.17	24.54	24.81			24.82(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	57	-10000	7	206	39.77	63%	0.08	44.3	0.77%	0	1.4	76	0
12	Sep_22_2017	23.79	24.13	24.44	24.74			24.85(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	-10000	14	194	42.31	63%	0.04	45.6	0.77%	0	1.6	61	0
13	Sep_21_2017	23.78	24.09	24.31	24.61			24.88(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	-10000	16	156	51.05	63%	0.08	41.8	0.78%	0	1.9	62	0
14	Sep_20_2017	23.76	24.05	24.15	24.46			24.82(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	38	-10000	14	109	70.6	63%	0.08	31.8	0.78%	0	2.1	62	0
15	Sep_19_2017	23.74	24.01	24.03	24.33			24.67(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	-10000	10	78	58.44	65%	0.08	21.8	0.79%	0	2.1	62	0

16	Sep_18_2017	23.72	23.97	23.91	24.23			24.49(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	14	51	44.01	65%	0.08	6.8	0.79%	0	1.9	58	0
17	Sep_15_2017	23.7	23.94	23.87	24.1			24.2(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	16	29	59.25	63%	0.04	-8.3	0.78%	0	1	50	0
18	Sep_14_2017	23.69	23.92	23.84	23.95			24.13(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	19	2	47.16	63%	0.04	-28.6	0.78%	0	0.8	50	0
19	Sep_13_2017	23.68	23.93	23.82	23.77			24.18(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-1	-10000	11	-35	51.05	63%	0.04	-51.4	0.78%	0	1	51	0
20	Sep_12_2017	23.67	23.94	23.79	23.67			24.14(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-6	-10000	12	-61	66.35	63%	0.04	-61.5	0.79%	0	0.7	48	0

21	Sep_11_2017	23.66	23.95	23.77	23.56			23.86(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-25	-10000	-4	-88	73.31	61%	0.04	-75.2	0.77%	0	-0.3	50	0
22	Sep_8_2017	23.65	23.96	23.79	23.6			23.45(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-13	-78	68.64	63%	0.04	-81	0.78%	0	-1.8	39	0
23	Sep_7_2017	23.64	23.99	23.86	23.72			23.24(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-26	-10000	-16	-56	87.67	61%	0.04	-81.4	0.78%	0	-2.8	34	0
24	Sep_6_2017	23.63	24.06	23.95	23.87			23.64(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14	-10000	-7	-35	77.59	67%	0.08	-76	0.76%	0	-1.7	31	0
25	Sep_5_2017	23.61	24.11	24	23.93			23.59(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-15	-10000	-9	-34	96.58	67%		-71	0.76%	0	-2.2	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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