Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $24.6276 (0%) ($24.5011 - $24.6471) on Wed. Aug. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $24.6276(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(92%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-17%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.43(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.36(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.3(1.35%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 0.62% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170902

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_2_2017	23.33	24.3	24.36	24.43			24.63(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.3	15	-10000	6	40	43.34	77%	0.04	51.6	0.76%	0	2.2	58	0
2	Aug_1_2017	23.32	24.28	24.31	24.38			24.63(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	9	-10000	2	28	43.32	77%	0.04	74.1	0.76%	0	2.5	63	0
3	Jul_31_2017	23.31	24.27	24.26	24.36			24.41(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	3	26	43.04	75%	0	122.4	0.76%	0	1.2	60	0
4	Jul_28_2017	23.31	24.25	24.26	24.33			24.24(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	3	15	43.74	70%	0	144.9	0.76%	0	-0.1	46	0
5	Jul_27_2017	23.31	24.24	24.24	24.3			24.24(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	3	-10000	2	7	67.83	70%	0.04	151.9	0.77%	0	0	44	0

6	Jul_26_2017	23.3	24.22	24.25	24.28			24.37(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	4	8	56.09	70%	0	133.3	0.77%	0	0.9	55	0
7	Jul_25_2017	23.3	24.18	24.23	24.24			24.54(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	7	-10000	10	-3	75.79	70%	0.04	87.9	0.76%	0	1.6	52	0
8	Jul_24_2017	23.29	24.12	24.19	24.15			24.24(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	1	-29	26.36	72%	0	57.4	0.76%	0	0.5	44	0
9	Jul_21_2017	23.29	24.08	24.2	24.14			24.13(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-7	-10000	-2	-22	43.89	67%	0	40.6	0.8%	0	0.2	56	0
10	Jul_20_2017	23.29	24.04	24.22	24.16			24.13(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-5	-9	40.16	70%	0	34	0.82%	0	0.3	55	0

11	Jul_19_2017	23.29	24.01	24.23	24.21			24.14(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-1	9	48.26	70%	0	32.9	0.84%	0	0.3	61	0
12	Jul_18_2017	23.29	23.99	24.25	24.21			24.13(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	-10000	0	36	63.21	67%	0.04	33.5	0.84%	0	0.4	69	0
13	Jul_17_2017	23.28	23.98	24.28	24.22			24.17(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-4	61	43.26	70%	0	37.3	0.85%	0	0.5	72	0
14	Jul_14_2017	23.28	23.95	24.26	24.26			24.25(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	-10000	-2	87	61.74	70%	0.04	41.5	0.87%	0	0.8	76	0
15	Jul_13_2017	23.27	23.92	24.24	24.28			24.36(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	-10000	3	113	48.88	66%	0	50.3	0.88%	0	1.2	76	0

16	Jul_12_2017	23.27	23.89	24.2	24.25			24.21(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	-4	116	47.82	66%	0.04	61.3	0.89%	0	0.9	68	0
17	Jul_11_2017	23.26	23.86	24.13	24.29			24.13(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-10000	-5	119	49.86	66%	0.04	79.5	0.9%	0	0.7	60	0
18	Jul_10_2017	23.25	23.84	24.06	24.34			24.35(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	7	123	55.02	66%	0	94.7	0.89%	0	1.4	59	0
19	Jul_7_2017	23.25	23.79	23.96	24.27			24.37(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	7	105	59.43	66%	0.04	106.3	0.89%	0	1.7	64	0
20	Jul_6_2017	23.24	23.73	23.85	24.2			24.21(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10000	7	87	98.35	66%	0.04	106.3	0.89%	0	1.4	61	0

21	Jul_5_2017	23.23	23.66	23.78	24.13			24.39(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	17	74	78.1	66%	0.04	96.8	0.89%	0	2	62	0
22	Jul_3_2017	23.22	23.58	23.7	23.95			24.36(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	19	46	61.45	66%	0.04	73.6	0.89%	0	1.9	62	0
23	Jun_30_2017	23.21	23.5	23.64	23.75			24(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	15	21	72.75	65%	0.04	62.4	0.87%	0	1.3	59	0
24	Jun_29_2017	23.2	23.44	23.6	23.6			24.02(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	-10000	13	-2	119.18	65%	0.09	49.1	0.89%	0	1.4	61	0
25	Jun_28_2017	23.18	23.38	23.56	23.46			23.86(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	-10000	8	-12	90.1	67%		38.9	0.89%	0	1.1	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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