Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $23.7583 (0.16%) ($23.3899 - $23.7873) on Wed. Jun. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $23.7583(0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(92%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-17%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.55(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.18(2.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.94(3.57%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2017	23.1	22.94	23.18	23.55			23.76(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10000	17	121	117.61	53%	0.09	40.8	0.94%	0	2.1	70	0
2	Jun_13_2017	23.08	22.9	23.06	23.36			23.72(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	-10000	19	87	94.98	53%	0.04	32.5	0.94%	0	2.3	69	0
3	Jun_12_2017	23.07	22.86	22.95	23.15			23.59(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	-10000	15	56	86.64	53%	0.04	19.1	0.94%	0	2.4	71	0
4	Jun_9_2017	23.06	22.82	22.88	22.99			23.55(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	21	-10000	15	37	133.22	53%	0.09	-0.9	0.94%	0	2.9	71	0
5	Jun_8_2017	23.04	22.79	22.8	22.83			23.11(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	10	-10000	6	21	77.99	49%	0.04	-30.1	0.91%	0	1.7	69	0

6	Jun_7_2017	23.03	22.78	22.8	22.77			22.85(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	6	25	83.05	46%	0	-39.8	0.9%	0	0.4	67	0
7	Jun_6_2017	23.03	22.79	22.77	22.71			22.67(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-1	7	60.4	46%	0	-47	0.89%	0	-0.6	40	0
8	Jun_5_2017	23.03	22.81	22.78	22.72			22.77(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-2	-10000	-2	-0	44.06	46%	0	-40.9	0.89%	0	-0.2	44	0
9	Jun_2_2017	23.03	22.82	22.76	22.74			22.73(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3	-10000	-3	-2	83.7	43%	0	-29.3	0.89%	0	-0.4	48	0
10	Jun_1_2017	23.03	22.84	22.74	22.77			22.82(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	-1	-8	81.19	49%	0	-21.9	0.91%	0	-0.1	47	0

11	May_31_2017	23.03	22.86	22.7	22.78			22.54(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-7	-29	115.88	43%	0	-20.8	0.9%	0	-1.4	38	0
12	May_30_2017	23.03	22.88	22.75	22.85			22.73(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-3	-10000	1	-14	46.58	40%	0	-18.8	0.89%	0	-0.7	43	0
13	May_26_2017	23.03	22.89	22.75	22.84			22.89(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	5	-15	42.6	47%	0.04	-20.7	0.96%	0	0	44	0
14	May_25_2017	23.02	22.88	22.75	22.79			22.9(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	8	-28	49.36	47%	0	-19.6	0.97%	0	0.1	44	0
15	May_24_2017	23.02	22.89	22.77	22.7			22.86(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-10000	9	-47	60	47%	0	-24	0.98%	0	-0.1	42	0

16	May_23_2017	23.02	22.9	22.79	22.6			22.87(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-20	-10000	-4	-68	65.58	47%	0	-19.8	0.98%	0	-0.1	43	0
17	May_22_2017	23.02	22.92	22.8	22.64			22.69(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-5	-62	79.18	47%	0	1	0.98%	0	-1	45	0
18	May_19_2017	23.02	22.92	22.83	22.7			22.63(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-4	-50	69.78	47%	0	15.2	0.97%	0	-1.3	43	0
19	May_18_2017	23.02	22.93	22.88	22.74			22.44(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-9	-40	101.66	47%	0	25.7	0.97%	0	-2	43	0
20	May_17_2017	23.02	22.94	22.96	22.84			22.35(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-16	-10000	-13	-25	141.19	47%	0	39.4	0.98%	0	-2.4	35	0

21	May_16_2017	23.02	22.95	23.04	22.99			23.08(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	-10000	2	2	51.53	54%	0	49.5	0.89%	0	0.5	47	0
22	May_15_2017	23.02	22.91	23.04	22.97			23.01(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-10000	-2	-8	52.19	54%	0	40.7	0.89%	0	0.4	44	0
23	May_12_2017	23.02	22.89	23.04	22.99			22.84(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-5	-7	55.79	58%	0	38.6	0.9%	0	-0.2	48	0
24	May_11_2017	23.02	22.87	23.02	23.04			22.93(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-5	11	77.27	58%	0	28.2	0.91%	0	0.2	66	0
25	May_10_2017	23.02	22.85	23.03	23.09			23.08(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	0	29	51.19	58%		27.9	0.91%	0	0.7	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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