Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $22.0191 (1.73%) ($21.7307 - $22.0672) on Thu. Dec. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $22.0191(1.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-9%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.57(2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.49(2.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.86(5.56%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 4.75% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2016	19.1	20.86	21.49	21.57			22.02(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	23	-10000	8	68	120.09	66%	0.21	67.2	1.11%	0	1.2	76	0
2	Nov_30_2016	19.06	20.7	21.39	21.47			21.64(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	23	-10000	4	78	98.84	65%	0.21	60.6	1.09%	0	0.9	81	0
3	Nov_29_2016	19.02	20.57	21.39	21.42			21.36(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-10000	-1	122	74.65	63%	0.16	57.5	1.08%	0	0.7	85	0
4	Nov_28_2016	18.99	20.45	21.35	21.42			21.3(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	-10000	0	179	99.79	63%	0.21	56.9	1.08%	0	0.8	85	0
5	Nov_25_2016	18.95	20.34	21.31	21.43			21.55(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	63	-10000	4	240	33.11	66%	0.26	57	1.07%	0	1.1	92	0

6	Nov_23_2016	18.9	20.22	21.23	21.38			21.52(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	81	-10000	9	296	101.95	66%	0.21	58.3	1.06%	0	1.2	90	0
7	Nov_22_2016	18.86	20.09	21.09	21.28			21.39(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	81	-10000	1	319	98.29	66%	0.16	57.8	1.06%	0	1.2	90	0
8	Nov_21_2016	18.83	19.96	20.89	21.27			21.38(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	85	-10000	1	337	71.94	66%	0.21	60.6	1.06%	0	1.3	86	0
9	Nov_18_2016	18.79	19.84	20.68	21.26			21.31(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	95	-10000	8	356	92.34	66%	0.16	64.7	1.06%	0	1.4	83	0
10	Nov_17_2016	18.76	19.71	20.44	21.17			21.31(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	94	-10000	10	345	98.54	66%	0.21	67	1.06%	0	1.6	82	0

11	Nov_16_2016	18.72	19.59	20.19	21.06			21.02(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	97	-10000	17	337	117.89	64%	0.21	71	1.05%	0	1.6	79	0
12	Nov_15_2016	18.68	19.48	19.97	20.87			21.33(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	111	-10000	41	320	122.75	67%	0.27	70.1	1.03%	0	2.2	85	0
13	Nov_14_2016	18.63	19.34	19.72	20.44			21.35(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	94	-10000	41	254	261.73	67%	0.22	63.4	1.03%	0	2.6	86	0
14	Nov_11_2016	18.59	19.19	19.47	20.02			20.84(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	80	-10000	43	192	134.95	64%	0.16	56.6	1%	0	2.7	83	0
15	Nov_10_2016	18.56	19.08	19.27	19.6			20.78(3.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.4	63	-10000	42	124	241.64	64%	0.16	44.7	1%	0	3.5	83	0

16	Nov_9_2016	18.53	18.96	19.09	19.2			20.04(4.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.8	37	-10000	29	61	268.94	57%	0.11	32.3	0.9%	0	3.6	77	0
17	Nov_8_2016	18.51	18.89	18.98	18.95			19.22(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	9	-10000	9	10	63.29	46%	0.11	13.3	0.74%	0	1.9	63	0
18	Nov_7_2016	18.49	18.87	18.95	18.89			19.21(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	6	-10000	7	1	59	46%	0.05	10.6	0.74%	0	2.1	69	0
19	Nov_4_2016	18.48	18.87	18.92	18.84			18.74(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-7	-1	64.89	44%	0.11	18.9	0.71%	0	-0.9	62	0
20	Nov_3_2016	18.46	18.86	18.94	18.89			18.8(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-9	21	53.46	44%	0.05	42	0.71%	0	-0.5	59	0

21	Nov_2_2016	18.45	18.86	18.95	18.95			18.78(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	6	-10000	-9	49	66.53	44%	0.05	75.4	0.72%	0	-0.7	62	0
22	Nov_1_2016	18.44	18.87	18.96	18.95			18.9(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	18	-10000	0	72	62.76	44%	0.05	84.8	0.73%	0	0.2	57	0
23	Oct_31_2016	18.43	18.85	18.95	18.95			18.98(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	0	73	38.58	44%	0.05	78.9	0.72%	0	0.8	59	0
24	Oct_28_2016	18.42	18.83	18.91	19.01			19.01(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	4	60	55.75	44%	0.05	82.2	0.72%	0	1.1	50	0
25	Oct_27_2016	18.41	18.81	18.88	18.98			19.1(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	4	48	45.55	44%		65.1	0.72%	0	1.5	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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