Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $18.5561 (-0.79%) ($18.5250 - $18.7193) on Wed. Aug. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $18.5561(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    XLI(86%)    VT(85%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-9%)    IGOV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.59(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.47(0.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.41(0.79%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2016	17.91	18.41	18.47	18.59			18.56(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	4	35	27.25	56%	0.06	113.6	1.2%	0	1	62	0
2	Aug_9_2016	17.9	18.39	18.45	18.55			18.7(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-10000	10	32	26.19	56%	0.06	126.8	1.2%	0	2.1	62	0
3	Aug_8_2016	17.89	18.36	18.41	18.44			18.69(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	8	-10000	6	15	36.57	56%	0.06	123	1.2%	0	2.1	63	0
4	Aug_5_2016	17.88	18.32	18.38	18.37			18.66(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	6	-10000	6	5	41.87	56%	0.06	106.1	1.2%	0	1.9	63	0
5	Aug_4_2016	17.87	18.28	18.35	18.31			18.32(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-10000	-2	-4	25.48	54%	0.11	77.8	1.18%	0	0.2	53	0

6	Aug_3_2016	17.85	18.24	18.35	18.31			18.36(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-0	-10000	0	-1	27.22	52%	0.06	66.2	1.19%	0	0.4	54	0
7	Aug_2_2016	17.84	18.2	18.34	18.33			18.18(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-4	4	32.26	52%	0.06	63.6	1.19%	0	-0.1	56	0
8	Aug_1_2016	17.83	18.16	18.36	18.37			18.33(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-1	17	32.01	52%	0.06	76.4	1.19%	0	0.5	66	0
9	Jul_29_2016	17.82	18.13	18.37	18.37			18.38(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	0	29	44.22	52%	0.06	82.4	1.2%	0	0.7	79	0
10	Jul_28_2016	17.81	18.1	18.36	18.38			18.41(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	12	-10000	2	43	26.81	52%	0.11	76.7	1.2%	0	0.9	83	0

11	Jul_27_2016	17.79	18.05	18.35	18.38			18.37(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	0	60	41.19	52%	0.06	69.8	1.21%	0	0.9	88	0
12	Jul_26_2016	17.78	17.99	18.32	18.36			18.38(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	21	-10000	1	79	28.01	52%	0.11	54.8	1.21%	0	1	89	0
13	Jul_25_2016	17.76	17.91	18.3	18.36			18.36(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	0	98	30.14	52%	0.06	37.3	1.21%	0	0.9	89	0
14	Jul_22_2016	17.75	17.85	18.26	18.35			18.4(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	3	107	19.08	52%	0.06	32.1	1.21%	0	1.1	73	0
15	Jul_21_2016	17.74	17.84	18.2	18.32			18.28(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	-1	106	29.67	52%	0.11	37.5	1.21%	0	0.9	67	0

16	Jul_20_2016	17.72	17.81	18.13	18.33			18.38(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	4	110	25.85	52%	0.06	41.3	1.22%	0	1.2	76	0
17	Jul_19_2016	17.71	17.77	18.04	18.28			18.35(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	4	115	25	52%	0.17	43.1	1.22%	0	1.3	81	0
18	Jul_18_2016	17.68	17.74	17.95	18.24			18.34(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10000	8	131	31.64	52%	0.11	41.7	1.23%	0	1.4	85	0
19	Jul_15_2016	17.66	17.69	17.88	18.15			18.28(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	8	133	50.94	52%	0.11	34.5	1.23%	0	1.4	68	0
20	Jul_14_2016	17.64	17.66	17.82	18.06			18.31(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	-10000	15	115	54.46	52%	0.11	24.2	1.23%	0	1.7	50	0

21	Jul_13_2016	17.62	17.62	17.74	17.89			18.14(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	30	-10000	12	83	46.61	55%	0.11	3.5	1.23%	0	1.5	54	0
22	Jul_12_2016	17.6	17.58	17.63	17.76			18.14(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	13	46	44.73	55%	0.11	-17.6	1.26%	0	1.7	53	0
23	Jul_11_2016	17.58	17.56	17.49	17.61			17.91(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	4	-4	34.57	53%	0.11	-39	1.26%	0	1.1	53	0
24	Jul_8_2016	17.56	17.55	17.41	17.56			17.81(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	1	-23	44.95	53%	0.06	-47.5	1.26%	0	0.8	53	0
25	Jul_7_2016	17.55	17.57	17.43	17.55			17.48(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-10000	0	-12	53.4	48%		-50	1.24%	0	-0.3	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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