Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $17.2270 (-0.04%) ($17.0578 - $17.2270) on Tue. Mar. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $17.2270(-0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    XLI(86%)    VT(85%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-10%)    IGOV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.09(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.06(0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.68(3.28%)
To recent high   -7.7%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 2.7% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2016	17.5	16.68	17.06	17.09			17.23(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	5	85	61.52	43%	-0.06	81.9	1.57%	0	1.2	77	0
2	Mar_14_2016	17.51	16.62	17.01	17.02			17.23(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	2	88	44.96	43%	-0.06	82.6	1.6%	0	1.4	76	0
3	Mar_11_2016	17.52	16.55	16.92	16.99			17.29(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	2	84	64.41	42%	-0.06	76.8	1.6%	0	1.6	67	0
4	Mar_10_2016	17.53	16.44	16.83	16.96			16.85(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-10000	-3	87	77.35	39%	-0.11	55.8	1.58%	0	0.8	66	0
5	Mar_9_2016	17.55	16.38	16.77	17			16.87(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-2	98	48.67	38%	-0.06	51.2	1.58%	0	0.9	67	0

6	Mar_8_2016	17.56	16.32	16.7	17.02			16.84(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	2	100	76.92	37%	-0.06	47.4	1.59%	0	1	63	0
7	Mar_7_2016	17.57	16.27	16.63	17			17.12(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	14	108	39.2	38%	-0.06	39.9	1.58%	0	1.6	73	0
8	Mar_4_2016	17.58	16.21	16.55	16.82			17.13(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	-10000	11	98	57.44	41%	-0.06	26.9	1.59%	0	1.8	76	0
9	Mar_3_2016	17.59	16.16	16.45	16.67			17.06(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	33	-10000	11	100	62.26	40%	0	21.6	1.63%	0	2	82	0
10	Mar_2_2016	17.59	16.12	16.35	16.52			16.94(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	-10000	13	95	73	39%	-0.06	12.9	1.63%	0	2.1	68	0

11	Mar_1_2016	17.6	16.07	16.27	16.34			16.76(3.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	-10000	11	84	81.42	40%	-0.06	-0.9	1.63%	0	2	65	0
12	Feb_29_2016	17.61	16.06	16.19	16.2			16.21(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-10000	-3	73	57.55	37%	-0.11	-4.4	1.56%	0	0.5	59	0
13	Feb_26_2016	17.63	16.08	16.15	16.24			16.39(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	5	75	81.31	37%	-0.06	2.7	1.56%	0	0.9	53	0
14	Feb_25_2016	17.64	16.07	16.03	16.18			16.27(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	2	41	71.25	37%	-0.11	0.9	1.57%	0	0.6	48	0
15	Feb_24_2016	17.66	16.06	15.96	16.16			16.05(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-2	24	72.32	37%	-0.06	0	1.55%	0	-0	48	0

16	Feb_23_2016	17.67	16.06	15.93	16.19			16.09(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	2	20	58.13	37%	-0.11	0.4	1.55%	0	0.1	48	0
17	Feb_22_2016	17.69	16.06	15.89	16.17			16.38(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	-10000	10	0	42.57	38%	-0.06	-6.3	1.54%	0	0.9	44	0
18	Feb_19_2016	17.7	16.07	15.85	16.05			16.13(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	7	-10000	18	-27	74.32	37%	-0.06	-22.3	1.52%	0	0.2	39	0
19	Feb_18_2016	17.71	16.07	15.85	15.84			16.13(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	8	-58	64.58	38%	-0.06	-45.5	1.52%	0	0.2	48	0
20	Feb_17_2016	17.72	16.06	15.86	15.74			16.22(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-12	-10000	9	-73	64.86	38%	-0.06	-66.5	1.55%	0	0.4	49	0

21	Feb_16_2016	17.73	16.07	15.85	15.63			16(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-20	-10000	5	-95	79.2	38%	-0.06	-80	1.53%	0	-0.2	46	0
22	Feb_12_2016	17.74	16.09	15.9	15.57			15.75(4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10000	-6	-97	97.19	36%	-0.11	-91.3	1.52%	0	-0.9	47	0
23	Feb_11_2016	17.76	16.15	15.99	15.64			15.11(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-39	-10000	-21	-94	126.27	31%	-0.11	-84.7	1.41%	0	-2.6	31	0
24	Feb_10_2016	17.78	16.23	16.11	15.88			15.59(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-10000	-11	-54	65.67	33%	-0.11	-98.5	1.37%	0	-1.9	44	0
25	Feb_9_2016	17.8	16.31	16.18	16			15.67(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-8	-33	137.23	33%		-95.3	1.37%	0	-1.8	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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