Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $16.2353 (-0.38%) ($16.1200 - $16.5197) on Wed. Jan. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $16.2353(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    XLI(86%)    VT(85%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-11%)    IGOV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $7.75(-52.26%)
Resistance Level   $17.01
5 Day Moving Average   $16.2(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.35(-0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.01(-4.55%)
To recent high   -14.4%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 4.53% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2016	17.92	17.01	16.35	16.2			16.24(-0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	-10000	2	-136	62.72	36%	-0.11	-68	1.31%	0	-1	26	0
2	Jan_26_2016	17.94	17.12	16.43	16.18			16.3(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-10000	-3	-164	51.97	36%	-0.11	-60.9	1.31%	0	-1	24	0
3	Jan_25_2016	17.96	17.22	16.5	16.21			16.03(-2.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-54	-10000	-9	-190	64.16	33%	-0.06	-58.9	1.29%	0	-1.4	20	0
4	Jan_22_2016	17.97	17.35	16.6	16.3			16.36(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-60	-10000	-9	-212	48.2	37%	-0.06	-59.3	1.28%	0	-1.2	19	0
5	Jan_21_2016	17.98	17.44	16.68	16.39			16.07(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-67	-10000	-12	-233	74.33	35%	-0.11	-56.7	1.27%	0	-1.6	12	0

6	Jan_20_2016	18	17.55	16.85	16.52			16.14(-1.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-74	-10000	-19	-239	87.48	35%	-0.06	-54.6	1.28%	0	-1.7	11	0
7	Jan_19_2016	18.01	17.64	17.04	16.72			16.46(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-63	-10000	-10	-223	68.06	36%	-0.06	-52.4	1.26%	0	-1.6	18	0
8	Jan_15_2016	18.02	17.75	17.19	16.83			16.47(-2.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-63	-10000	-10	-222	76.66	40%	-0.11	-53.7	1.25%	0	-1.9	18	0
9	Jan_14_2016	18.04	17.86	17.37	16.94			16.84(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-58	-10000	-7	-210	77.39	42%	0	-52.4	1.26%	0	-1.6	21	0
10	Jan_13_2016	18.04	17.94	17.53	17.02			16.7(-2.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-65	-10000	-19	-201	101.97	42%	-0.06	-52.1	1.26%	0	-2	24	0

11	Jan_12_2016	18.05	18.01	17.73	17.23			17.14(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-10000	-17	-165	65.5	45%	0	-55.3	1.22%	0	-1.6	34	0
12	Jan_11_2016	18.05	18.05	17.86	17.41			17.01(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-10000	-18	-130	57.67	45%	-0.06	-59.6	1.21%	0	-2.1	36	0
13	Jan_8_2016	18.06	18.12	18.01	17.6			16.99(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-45	-10000	-25	-105	67.45	45%	-0.11	-59.1	1.21%	0	-2.6	29	0
14	Jan_7_2016	18.08	18.2	18.16	17.87			17.26(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-35	-10000	-23	-71	74.74	47%	-0.06	-59.9	1.2%	0	-2.8	28	0
15	Jan_6_2016	18.09	18.26	18.27	18.12			17.76(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-21	-10000	-16	-35	62.75	51%	-0.11	-60.6	1.15%	0	-1.9	41	0

16	Jan_5_2016	18.11	18.31	18.27	18.29			18.03(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6	-10000	-8	-1	42.32	56%	-0.06	-46.6	1.14%	0	-1.2	54	0
17	Jan_4_2016	18.12	18.36	18.31	18.37			17.96(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-4	-10000	-9	11	75.86	56%	-0.11	-33.1	1.17%	0	-1.6	53	0
18	Dec_31_2015	18.14	18.38	18.36	18.47			18.32(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-3	32	48.05	59%	-0.06	-27	1.14%	0	-0.2	50	0
19	Dec_30_2015	18.15	18.4	18.39	18.5			18.5(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	5	51	15.71	61%	-0.06	-22.4	1.13%	0	0.4	53	0
20	Dec_29_2015	18.16	18.4	18.37	18.45			18.63(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	11	43	30.9	61%	0	-22.1	1.14%	0	0.7	51	0

21	Dec_28_2015	18.16	18.42	18.31	18.34			18.44(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	10	5	13.6	57%	-0.11	-32.7	1.13%	0	0.1	44	0
22	Dec_24_2015	18.18	18.44	18.26	18.24			18.46(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	1	-41	11.25	59%	-0.05	-42.9	1.18%	0	0.1	41	0
23	Dec_23_2015	18.19	18.45	18.24	18.23			18.47(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-15	-10000	-4	-48	33	59%	0	-43.9	1.18%	0	0.1	50	0
24	Dec_22_2015	18.19	18.46	18.22	18.27			18.26(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-2	-54	46.38	58%	-0.05	-36.3	1.17%	0	-0.6	43	0
25	Dec_21_2015	18.2	18.49	18.24	18.29			18.09(0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-13	-10000	3	-60	41.21	58%		-30.9	1.18%	0	-1.2	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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