Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $18.8921 (1.02%) ($18.8196 - $19.0755) on Fri. Nov. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $18.8921(1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.71(0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.6(1.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.29(3.29%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2015	18.33	18.29	18.6	18.71			18.89(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	7	66	69.5	48%	-0.05	62.1	1.46%	0	1.5	71	0
2	Nov_5_2015	18.34	18.23	18.55	18.61			18.7(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	1	62	36.75	48%	0	63.9	1.45%	0	1.2	68	0
3	Nov_4_2015	18.34	18.19	18.51	18.6			18.62(-0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-10000	-1	69	32.58	48%	0	72.4	1.45%	0	1.2	69	0
4	Nov_3_2015	18.34	18.15	18.44	18.61			18.68(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	6	85	34.51	48%	0	79.9	1.45%	0	1.4	76	0
5	Nov_2_2015	18.34	18.09	18.39	18.53			18.65(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	4	85	59.73	48%	-0.05	83.4	1.45%	0	1.6	71	0

6	Oct_30_2015	18.35	18.05	18.32	18.47			18.4(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-10000	-1	83	51.07	48%	0	88.9	1.44%	0	1	64	0
7	Oct_29_2015	18.35	18	18.28	18.48			18.66(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	6	95	39.38	49%	-0.05	84.8	1.43%	0	1.7	70	0
8	Oct_28_2015	18.36	17.93	18.2	18.4			18.69(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	11	87	91.03	49%	0	83.5	1.44%	0	2.1	67	0
9	Oct_27_2015	18.36	17.86	18.08	18.25			18.26(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	2	62	23.29	46%	0	74.8	1.41%	0	1.1	63	0
10	Oct_26_2015	18.36	17.8	18.02	18.22			18.37(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	6	61	19.89	46%	0	66.7	1.41%	0	1.5	68	0

11	Oct_23_2015	18.36	17.73	17.96	18.14			18.44(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	7	53	37.29	44%	-0.05	58.6	1.41%	0	2	67	0
12	Oct_22_2015	18.37	17.68	17.89	18.05			18.24(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	6	51	49.72	44%	0	56.8	1.41%	0	1.6	71	0
13	Oct_21_2015	18.37	17.62	17.85	17.98			17.95(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	8	55	23.73	43%	-0.05	48.9	1.4%	0	1.1	68	0
14	Oct_20_2015	18.38	17.59	17.83	17.88			18.08(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	7	54	19.45	43%	-0.05	32.4	1.39%	0	1.6	72	0
15	Oct_19_2015	18.39	17.55	17.78	17.79			17.98(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	3	53	26.56	43%	0	18.2	1.39%	0	1.5	76	0

16	Oct_16_2015	18.39	17.52	17.75	17.75			17.99(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	19	-10000	3	65	29.69	44%	-0.05	14.9	1.39%	0	1.7	77	0
17	Oct_15_2015	18.4	17.49	17.69	17.71			17.88(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	1	57	45.21	45%	-0.05	6.3	1.39%	0	1.6	60	0
18	Oct_14_2015	18.41	17.47	17.63	17.7			17.49(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-5	60	36.36	42%	-0.05	8.4	1.37%	0	0.1	59	0
19	Oct_13_2015	18.42	17.49	17.62	17.7			17.63(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	18	-10000	0	71	34.49	44%	-0.05	22.8	1.37%	0	0.5	58	0
20	Oct_12_2015	18.43	17.5	17.57	17.76			17.77(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	2	69	20.56	44%	-0.05	24.8	1.37%	0	1	62	0

21	Oct_9_2015	18.44	17.48	17.49	17.74			17.75(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	7	59	47.39	46%	-0.05	30.8	1.38%	0	1.1	54	0
22	Oct_8_2015	18.45	17.47	17.46	17.66			17.87(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	9	51	30.25	44%	-0.05	21.7	1.38%	0	1.6	61	0
23	Oct_7_2015	18.46	17.45	17.39	17.55			17.76(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	7	25	31.35	44%	-0.05	10.6	1.4%	0	1.3	50	0
24	Oct_6_2015	18.47	17.45	17.34	17.46			17.62(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	-10000	9	0	29.8	44%	-0.05	3.8	1.39%	0	0.8	43	0
25	Oct_5_2015	18.48	17.43	17.3	17.35			17.71(2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	3	-10000	12	-26	38.97	44%		-12.9	1.39%	0	1.2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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