Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $18.2581 (-0.58%) ($18.1970 - $18.2963) on Tue. Oct. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $18.2581(-0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.25(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.08(0.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.86(2.23%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2015	18.36	17.86	18.08	18.25			18.26(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	2	62	23.29	46%	0	74.8	1.41%	0	1.1	63	0
2	Oct_26_2015	18.36	17.8	18.02	18.22			18.37(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	6	61	19.89	46%	0	66.7	1.41%	0	1.5	68	0
3	Oct_23_2015	18.36	17.73	17.96	18.14			18.44(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	7	53	37.29	44%	-0.05	58.6	1.41%	0	2	67	0
4	Oct_22_2015	18.37	17.68	17.89	18.05			18.24(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	6	51	49.72	44%	0	56.8	1.41%	0	1.6	71	0
5	Oct_21_2015	18.37	17.62	17.85	17.98			17.95(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	8	55	23.73	43%	-0.05	48.9	1.4%	0	1.1	68	0

6	Oct_20_2015	18.38	17.59	17.83	17.88			18.08(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	7	54	19.45	43%	-0.05	32.4	1.39%	0	1.6	72	0
7	Oct_19_2015	18.39	17.55	17.78	17.79			17.98(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	3	53	26.56	43%	0	18.2	1.39%	0	1.5	76	0
8	Oct_16_2015	18.39	17.52	17.75	17.75			17.99(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	19	-10000	3	65	29.69	44%	-0.05	14.9	1.39%	0	1.7	77	0
9	Oct_15_2015	18.4	17.49	17.69	17.71			17.88(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	1	57	45.21	45%	-0.05	6.3	1.39%	0	1.6	60	0
10	Oct_14_2015	18.41	17.47	17.63	17.7			17.49(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-5	60	36.36	42%	-0.05	8.4	1.37%	0	0.1	59	0

11	Oct_13_2015	18.42	17.49	17.62	17.7			17.63(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	18	-10000	0	71	34.49	44%	-0.05	22.8	1.37%	0	0.5	58	0
12	Oct_12_2015	18.43	17.5	17.57	17.76			17.77(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	2	69	20.56	44%	-0.05	24.8	1.37%	0	1	62	0
13	Oct_9_2015	18.44	17.48	17.49	17.74			17.75(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	7	59	47.39	46%	-0.05	30.8	1.38%	0	1.1	54	0
14	Oct_8_2015	18.45	17.47	17.46	17.66			17.87(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	9	51	30.25	44%	-0.05	21.7	1.38%	0	1.6	61	0
15	Oct_7_2015	18.46	17.45	17.39	17.55			17.76(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	7	25	31.35	44%	-0.05	10.6	1.4%	0	1.3	50	0

16	Oct_6_2015	18.47	17.45	17.34	17.46			17.62(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	-10000	9	0	29.8	44%	-0.05	3.8	1.39%	0	0.8	43	0
17	Oct_5_2015	18.48	17.43	17.3	17.35			17.71(2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	3	-10000	12	-26	38.97	44%	-0.05	-12.9	1.39%	0	1.2	46	0
18	Oct_2_2015	18.49	17.41	17.3	17.21			17.34(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-15	-10000	-2	-52	61.21	42%	-0.11	-46	1.38%	0	-0.3	46	0
19	Oct_1_2015	18.51	17.42	17.27	17.23			17.32(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	2	-55	39.41	44%	-0.05	-51.5	1.38%	0	-0.4	45	0
20	Sep_30_2015	18.52	17.43	17.3	17.2			17.31(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	-10000	1	-57	39.88	44%	-0.05	-61.1	1.39%	0	-0.5	47	0

21	Sep_29_2015	18.53	17.42	17.35	17.19			17.05(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-4	-50	39.21	40%	-0.11	-54.5	1.38%	0	-1.6	44	0
22	Sep_28_2015	18.55	17.46	17.42	17.24			17.02(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-10000	-8	-43	47.46	40%	-0.11	-39.7	1.41%	0	-2	39	0
23	Sep_25_2015	18.57	17.51	17.48	17.34			17.43(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	2	-20	45.02	42%	-0.05	-27.8	1.38%	0	-0.4	55	0
24	Sep_24_2015	18.58	17.54	17.49	17.32			17.17(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-8	-27	41.65	39%	-0.05	-37.8	1.37%	0	-1.5	44	0
25	Sep_23_2015	18.59	17.56	17.53	17.41			17.3(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-10	-15	28.34	39%		-55.5	1.37%	0	-1.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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