Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $17.8837 (2.27%) ($17.5705 - $17.9067) on Thu. Oct. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $17.8837(2.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-11%)    IGOV(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.71(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.69(1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.49(2.25%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_15_2015	18.4	17.49	17.69	17.71			17.88(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	1	57	45.21	45%	-0.05	6.3	1.39%	0	1.6	60	0
2	Oct_14_2015	18.41	17.47	17.63	17.7			17.49(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-5	60	36.36	42%	-0.05	8.4	1.37%	0	0.1	59	0
3	Oct_13_2015	18.42	17.49	17.62	17.7			17.63(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	18	-10000	0	71	34.49	44%	-0.05	22.8	1.37%	0	0.5	58	0
4	Oct_12_2015	18.43	17.5	17.57	17.76			17.77(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	2	69	20.56	44%	-0.05	24.8	1.37%	0	1	62	0
5	Oct_9_2015	18.44	17.48	17.49	17.74			17.75(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	7	59	47.39	46%	-0.05	30.8	1.38%	0	1.1	54	0

6	Oct_8_2015	18.45	17.47	17.46	17.66			17.87(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	9	51	30.25	44%	-0.05	21.7	1.38%	0	1.6	61	0
7	Oct_7_2015	18.46	17.45	17.39	17.55			17.76(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	7	25	31.35	44%	-0.05	10.6	1.4%	0	1.3	50	0
8	Oct_6_2015	18.47	17.45	17.34	17.46			17.62(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	-10000	9	0	29.8	44%	-0.05	3.8	1.39%	0	0.8	43	0
9	Oct_5_2015	18.48	17.43	17.3	17.35			17.71(2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	3	-10000	12	-26	38.97	44%	-0.05	-12.9	1.39%	0	1.2	46	0
10	Oct_2_2015	18.49	17.41	17.3	17.21			17.34(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-15	-10000	-2	-52	61.21	42%	-0.11	-46	1.38%	0	-0.3	46	0

11	Oct_1_2015	18.51	17.42	17.27	17.23			17.32(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	2	-55	39.41	44%	-0.05	-51.5	1.38%	0	-0.4	45	0
12	Sep_30_2015	18.52	17.43	17.3	17.2			17.31(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	-10000	1	-57	39.88	44%	-0.05	-61.1	1.39%	0	-0.5	47	0
13	Sep_29_2015	18.53	17.42	17.35	17.19			17.05(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-4	-50	39.21	40%	-0.11	-54.5	1.38%	0	-1.6	44	0
14	Sep_28_2015	18.55	17.46	17.42	17.24			17.02(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-10000	-8	-43	47.46	40%	-0.11	-39.7	1.41%	0	-2	39	0
15	Sep_25_2015	18.57	17.51	17.48	17.34			17.43(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	2	-20	45.02	42%	-0.05	-27.8	1.38%	0	-0.4	55	0

16	Sep_24_2015	18.58	17.54	17.49	17.32			17.17(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-8	-27	41.65	39%	-0.05	-37.8	1.37%	0	-1.5	44	0
17	Sep_23_2015	18.59	17.56	17.53	17.41			17.3(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-10	-15	28.34	39%	-0.05	-55.5	1.37%	0	-1.1	48	0
18	Sep_22_2015	18.6	17.56	17.55	17.53			17.29(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-8	7	53.08	41%	-0.11	-77	1.37%	0	-1	53	0
19	Sep_21_2015	18.62	17.55	17.59	17.63			17.51(1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-1	21	38.26	41%	-0.05	-97.4	1.38%	0	-0.1	45	0
20	Sep_18_2015	18.63	17.57	17.56	17.64			17.31(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-2	-10000	-4	4	69.29	41%	-0.05	-113.8	1.38%	0	-0.9	40	0

21	Sep_17_2015	18.64	17.63	17.59	17.69			17.65(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-10000	2	3	61.11	42%	0	-90.2	1.37%	0	0.1	43	0
22	Sep_16_2015	18.64	17.7	17.57	17.66			17.9(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-10000	8	-2	22.75	44%	-0.05	-71.1	1.36%	0	0.4	54	0
23	Sep_15_2015	18.65	17.75	17.57	17.56			17.79(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	2	-12	33.35	44%	0	-62.4	1.36%	0	0.1	62	0
24	Sep_14_2015	18.65	17.82	17.5	17.54			17.54(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	-10000	6	-1	25.86	42%	-0.05	-57.3	1.35%	0	-0.4	55	0
25	Sep_11_2015	18.66	17.9	17.54	17.47			17.58(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	0	-13	21.78	42%		-55.2	1.35%	0	-0.4	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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