Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $18.6934 (0.2%) ($18.3437 - $18.7085) on Tue. Jul. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $18.6934(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)    XLB(83%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    VIXM(-34%)    SHY(-12%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $18.86
5 Day Moving Average   $18.69(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.77(-0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.86(-0.88%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2015	18.55		18.77	18.69			18.69(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	-10000	7	-63	51.24	52%	0	-8.4	0.75%	0	-0.9	44	0
2	Jul_6_2015	18.55		18.81	18.64			18.66(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10000	-7	-71	26.99	52%	0	-14.9	0.76%	0	-1.1	46	0
3	Jul_2_2015	18.55		18.83	18.69			18.73(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-4	-64	19.56	52%	0.05	-3.2	0.76%	0	-0.7	46	0
4	Jul_1_2015	18.54		18.86	18.72			18.82(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-17	-10000	-4	-55	42.55	52%	0	-3.2	0.76%	0	-0.2	45	0
5	Jun_30_2015	18.54	18.86	18.88	18.75			18.53(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-28	-10000	-18	-57	62.86	51%	0.05	2.1	0.73%	0	-1.8	41	0

6	Jun_29_2015	18.53	18.87	18.93	18.87			18.47(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-18	-10000	-18	-18	42.98	51%	0	23.2	0.75%	0	-2.2	48	0
7	Jun_26_2015	18.53	18.88	18.97	19			18.92(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	-10000	5	32	24.97	58%	0.05	42.4	0.69%	0	0.3	59	0
8	Jun_25_2015	18.52	18.88	18.98	18.97			18.86(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-9	29	35.51	53%	0.05	34.1	0.69%	0	-0.1	54	0
9	Jun_24_2015	18.51	18.87	18.98	19.03			18.97(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	1	61	21.56	53%	0.05	41.2	0.71%	0	0.6	60	0
10	Jun_23_2015	18.5	18.86	18.99	19.02			19.13(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	5	69	27.25	56%	0.11	36.7	0.71%	0	1.6	58	0

11	Jun_22_2015	18.48	18.83	18.95	18.99			19.1(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	6	63	33.05	56%	0.05	28.2	0.72%	0	1.7	61	0
12	Jun_19_2015	18.47	18.83	18.95	18.95			18.81(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	9	-10000	-5	50	38.24	55%	0.11	25	0.71%	0	-0.1	57	0
13	Jun_18_2015	18.45	18.82	18.91	18.98			19.13(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	3	70	56.98	60%	0.05	31.3	0.69%	0	2.1	67	0
14	Jun_17_2015	18.44	18.82	18.86	18.98			18.95(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	0	61	45.04	58%	0.05	42	0.68%	0	1.2	55	0
15	Jun_16_2015	18.43	18.8	18.84	18.96			18.98(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	9	67	29.43	61%	0.05	53.6	0.68%	0	1.4	55	0

16	Jun_15_2015	18.42	18.79	18.81	18.9			18.87(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	6	54	33.05	61%	0.05	50	0.7%	0	0.7	59	0
17	Jun_12_2015	18.41	18.78	18.79	18.86			18.95(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	6	36	34.29	65%	0.05	37.5	0.7%	0	1.4	53	0
18	Jun_11_2015	18.4	18.77	18.76	18.82			19.04(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	12	-10000	10	19	48.77	65%	0.11	44.1	0.74%	0	2.5	55	0
19	Jun_10_2015	18.38	18.75	18.73	18.75			18.96(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	2	-10000	4	-3	43.84	59%	0.05	41.5	0.75%	0	2.1	52	0
20	Jun_9_2015	18.37	18.75	18.71	18.72			18.7(0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	1	-14	25.32	56%	0	45.8	0.78%	0	-0.3	41	0

21	Jun_8_2015	18.37	18.75	18.7	18.72			18.65(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	0	-24	22.97	56%	0.05	47.9	0.78%	0	-0.9	45	0
22	Jun_5_2015	18.36	18.73	18.7	18.71			18.76(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	4	-19	42.57	56%	0.05	62.5	0.78%	0	0.3	53	0
23	Jun_4_2015	18.35	18.72	18.72	18.68			18.66(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-4	-29	30.44	56%	0.05	52.5	0.78%	0	-0.5	46	0
24	Jun_3_2015	18.34	18.71	18.74	18.71			18.82(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	1	-12	33.22	59%	0.05	49.3	0.77%	0	0.8	58	0
25	Jun_2_2015	18.33	18.69	18.75	18.7			18.66(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	1	-2	21.47	57%		46.7	0.77%	0	-0.2	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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