Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $18.4151 (0%) ($18.3091 - $18.4605) on Tue. Apr. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $18.4151(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)    XLB(83%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    VIXM(-34%)    SHY(-12%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.37(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.33(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.37(0.25%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 0.87% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2015	18.28		18.33	18.37			18.42(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	8	-10000	3	24	26.4	52%	0	12.6	0.93%	0	0.3	47	0
2	Apr_13_2015	18.28		18.32	18.34			18.42(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	1	11	30.96	52%	0.05	12.6	0.95%	0	0.3	41	0
3	Apr_10_2015	18.27		18.3	18.33			18.35(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	1	-10	14.76	52%	0	12.6	0.95%	0	-0.1	35	0
4	Apr_9_2015	18.27	18.37	18.28	18.32			18.35(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	2	-21	20.79	50%	0	13.8	0.95%	0	-0.1	46	0
5	Apr_8_2015	18.27	18.36	18.28	18.3			18.32(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	2	-39	18.5	52%	0.05	2	0.97%	0	-0.2	41	0

6	Apr_7_2015	18.26	18.36	18.26	18.28			18.26(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-3	-47	18.15	54%	0	-11	0.99%	0	-0.4	43	0
7	Apr_6_2015	18.26	18.36	18.3	18.31			18.35(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	5	-39	15.79	51%	0	-11	0.99%	0	0	43	0
8	Apr_2_2015	18.26	18.36	18.33	18.26			18.32(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	4	-36	21.5	48%	0	-20.2	1.04%	0	-0.2	50	0
9	Apr_1_2015	18.26	18.35	18.34	18.22			18.23(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-10000	2	-45	26.66	48%	0.05	-26.9	1.04%	0	-0.6	45	0
10	Mar_31_2015	18.25	18.36	18.38	18.2			18.25(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10000	-4	-36	21.23	46%	0	-33	1.05%	0	-0.6	56	0

11	Mar_30_2015	18.25	18.36	18.4	18.24			18.38(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-8	-10000	-5	-15	35.27	46%	0	-28.2	1.05%	0	0.1	61	0
12	Mar_27_2015	18.25	18.37	18.42	18.29			18.11(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-13	-4	24.5	44%	0	-19.4	1.03%	0	-1.4	46	0
13	Mar_26_2015	18.25	18.39	18.45	18.41			18.14(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	1	-10000	-6	21	32.69	44%	0	-4.1	1.04%	0	-1.4	49	0
14	Mar_25_2015	18.25	18.4	18.48	18.47			18.15(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.9	2	-10000	-9	34	32.96	44%	0	9.8	1.04%	0	-1.5	46	0
15	Mar_24_2015	18.25	18.4	18.49	18.56			18.45(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-2	48	18.37	46%	0.05	28.3	1.02%	0	0.2	53	0

16	Mar_23_2015	18.24	18.42	18.44	18.58			18.6(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	1	39	21.46	46%	0	30.4	1.02%	0	1.1	53	0
17	Mar_20_2015	18.24	18.41	18.42	18.57			18.7(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	8	38	38.55	46%	0.05	31	1.01%	0	1.8	53	0
18	Mar_19_2015	18.23	18.41	18.42	18.57			18.45(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-10000	0	19	34.51	44%	0.05	19.5	1.01%	0	0.4	52	0
19	Mar_18_2015	18.22	18.39	18.37	18.5			18.63(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	12	25	47.86	48%	0.05	20.7	1%	0	1.6	54	0
20	Mar_17_2015	18.21	18.39	18.33	18.39			18.52(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	12	1	18.07	51%	0.11	5.3	1.04%	0	1.1	50	0

21	Mar_16_2015	18.19	18.37	18.32	18.28			18.57(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.1	-3	-10000	4	-22	32.23	50%	0.06	-5.3	1.08%	0	1.4	51	0
22	Mar_13_2015	18.18	18.37	18.32	18.24			18.34(-0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	1	-28	33.24	47%	0.06	-7	1.07%	0	-0.2	49	0
23	Mar_12_2015	18.17	18.36	18.32	18.23			18.47(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-7	-10000	2	-33	40.96	44%	0.11	2.8	1.08%	0	0.8	50	0
24	Mar_11_2015	18.15	18.35	18.31	18.21			18.08(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-6	-35	29.68	41%	0.06	12.7	1.07%	0	-2.1	44	0
25	Mar_10_2015	18.14	18.37	18.35	18.27			17.96(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-13	-10000	-9	-25	40.33	39%		38.5	1.07%	0	-3.4	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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