Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $17.9623 (-2.14%) ($17.9623 - $18.2036) on Tue. Mar. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $17.9623(-2.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)    XLB(83%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    VIXM(-34%)    SHY(-12%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $18.37
5 Day Moving Average   $18.27(-1.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.35(-2.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.37(-2.22%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 0.65% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20150410

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2015	18.14	18.37	18.35	18.27			17.96(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-13	-10000	-9	-25	40.33	39%	0.06	38.5	1.07%	0	-3.4	38	0
2	Mar_9_2015	18.13	18.38	18.4	18.36			18.35(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-3	-7	21.66	42%	0.06	96.3	1.05%	0	-0.3	44	0
3	Mar_6_2015	18.12	18.37	18.41	18.39			18.27(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-2	-10000	-2	-3	60.4	42%	0.11	144.4	1.04%	0	-1	44	0
4	Mar_5_2015	18.1	18.36	18.42	18.39			18.41(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	0	-10000	0	1	20.4	43%	0.11	143.1	1.04%	0	0.4	49	0
5	Mar_4_2015	18.08	18.34	18.41	18.41			18.33(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-3	2	38.74	43%	0.11	119.5	1.05%	0	-0.1	55	0

6	Mar_3_2015	18.06	18.32	18.41	18.44			18.44(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-1	10	25.78	43%	0.06	114.3	1.05%	0	0.7	60	0
7	Mar_2_2015	18.05	18.28	18.42	18.45			18.5(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	2	23	22.05	45%	0.11	83.3	1.05%	0	1	69	0
8	Feb_27_2015	18.03	18.23	18.41	18.43			18.36(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-1	25	23.51	45%	0.06	53.9	1.04%	0	0.4	59	0
9	Feb_26_2015	18.02	18.19	18.42	18.44			18.43(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	3	40	27.2	45%	0.06	45.5	1.04%	0	0.7	67	0
10	Feb_25_2015	18.01	18.15	18.4	18.41			18.48(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	2	47	26.53	45%	0.11	37.3	1.04%	0	0.9	75	0

11	Feb_24_2015	17.99	18.12	18.38	18.41			18.48(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	0	53	27.59	45%	0.06	38.3	1.04%	0	1	72	0
12	Feb_23_2015	17.98	18.09	18.35	18.39			18.38(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	-10000	-1	68	19.18	45%	0.06	45.6	1.05%	0	0.9	77	0
13	Feb_20_2015	17.97	18.07	18.33	18.39			18.43(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	24	-10000	0	95	32.66	45%	0.06	52.5	1.05%	0	1.1	83	0
14	Feb_19_2015	17.96	18.05	18.3	18.4			18.29(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	1	112	17.51	45%	0.06	60.5	1.04%	0	0.7	68	0
15	Feb_18_2015	17.95	18.02	18.26	18.39			18.37(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	2	125	29.56	45%	0.06	56.2	1.04%	0	1.1	72	0

16	Feb_17_2015	17.94	17.98	18.22	18.37			18.48(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	-10000	7	130	14.52	45%	0.11	49.4	1.04%	0	1.6	63	0
17	Feb_13_2015	17.92	17.94	18.13	18.3			18.42(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	5	108	18.9	45%	0.06	38.9	1.03%	0	1.6	57	0
18	Feb_12_2015	17.91	17.9	18.03	18.25			18.44(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	8	87	33.01	45%	0.06	21.6	1.03%	0	1.9	59	0
19	Feb_11_2015	17.9	17.86	17.95	18.18			18.26(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	22	-10000	9	61	29.31	45%	0.06	8.9	1.02%	0	1.5	51	0
20	Feb_10_2015	17.89	17.84	17.87	18.1			18.26(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	6	42	32.28	45%	0	0.7	1.02%	0	1.7	59	0

21	Feb_9_2015	17.89	17.84	17.82	18.04			18.11(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	11	37	30.34	45%	0.06	-11.6	1.02%	0	1.2	59	0
22	Feb_6_2015	17.88	17.84	17.81	17.94			18.2(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	19	32	67.62	45%	0	-31.1	1.02%	0	1.5	58	0
23	Feb_5_2015	17.88	17.84	17.81	17.77			18.06(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	10	10	24.58	45%	0.06	-50.7	1.02%	0	0.9	60	0
24	Feb_4_2015	17.87	17.83	17.77	17.68			17.88(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	8	6	30.48	45%	0	-69.5	1.01%	0	0.2	53	0
25	Feb_3_2015	17.87	17.84	17.75	17.61			17.92(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	2	-20	53.74	45%		-92.7	1.01%	0	0.3	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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