Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $17.8190 (-1.09%) ($17.7511 - $17.9396) on Tue. Jan. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $17.8190(-1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)    XLB(83%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    TLT(-35%)    SHY(-12%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

Resistance Level   $18.09
5 Day Moving Average   $17.91(-0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.82(-0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.09(-1.5%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 1.99% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2015	17.86	18.09	17.82	17.91			17.82(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	-10000	4	-36	28.58	48%	0	-56.8	0.93%	0	-0.7	48	0
2	Jan_26_2015	17.86	18.14	17.84	17.88			18.02(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	7	-51	22.41	50%	0.06	-51.6	0.92%	0	-0.3	45	0
3	Jan_23_2015	17.85	18.18	17.85	17.82			17.92(-1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	11	-77	27.68	53%	0	-46	0.93%	0	-0.6	37	0
4	Jan_22_2015	17.85	18.22	17.85	17.73			18.12(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-19	-10000	10	-104	79.08	53%	0.06	-41.1	0.92%	0	-0.2	39	0
5	Jan_21_2015	17.84	18.25	17.89	17.65			17.68(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-10000	-8	-157	40.01	52%	0	-35.7	0.88%	0	-1.2	27	0

6	Jan_20_2015	17.84	18.3	17.92	17.71			17.64(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-10000	-10	-173	31.95	52%	0	-27.9	0.91%	0	-1.4	26	0
7	Jan_16_2015	17.84	18.35	17.98	17.79			17.71(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-10000	-12	-179	72.7	54%	0	-23.5	0.91%	0	-1.5	29	0
8	Jan_15_2015	17.84	18.38	18.08	17.89			17.5(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-60	-10000	-22	-174	47.15	49%	0.06	-21.1	0.9%	0	-2.1	23	0
9	Jan_14_2015	17.83	18.4	18.19	18.07			17.72(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-43	-10000	-11	-139	57.97	51%	0	-21.6	0.92%	0	-1.9	25	0
10	Jan_13_2015	17.83	18.42	18.3	18.07			17.98(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	0	-118	37.19	52%	0	-24.7	0.9%	0	-1.3	32	0

11	Jan_12_2015	17.83	18.43	18.39	18.16			18.04(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-6	-113	31.16	52%	0.06	-31.1	0.91%	0	-1.1	38	0
12	Jan_9_2015	17.82	18.45	18.47	18.21			18.19(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-11	-101	29.49	48%	0.06	-27.9	0.91%	0	-0.7	41	0
13	Jan_8_2015	17.81	18.46	18.53	18.3			18.44(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-5	-61	30.87	52%	0.06	-21.7	0.93%	0	-0.1	59	0
14	Jan_7_2015	17.8	18.47	18.57	18.34			18.17(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-16	-25	29.48	48%	0.11	-14.1	0.95%	0	-0.9	64	0
15	Jan_6_2015	17.78	18.5	18.64	18.48			17.98(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-9	-10000	-20	23	46.67	46%	0	3.8	0.96%	0	-1.5	55	0

16	Jan_5_2015	17.78	18.54	18.71	18.66			18.26(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	10	-10000	-13	78	41.24	48%	0.11	24.3	0.94%	0	-0.9	57	0
17	Jan_2_2015	17.76	18.55	18.75	18.77			18.65(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-10000	-3	113	32.91	54%	0.17	38.3	0.92%	0	0.3	54	0
18	Dec_31_2014	17.73	18.54	18.71	18.8			18.65(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	25	-10000	-5	113	24.26	52%	0.06	44.3	0.92%	0	0.4	55	0
19	Dec_30_2014	17.72	18.52	18.63	18.84			18.86(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	2	99	16.49	54%	0.17	49.1	0.92%	0	1.1	53	0
20	Dec_29_2014	17.69	18.49	18.54	18.82			18.88(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	7	73	17.97	54%	0.11	49.4	0.92%	0	1.3	52	0

21	Dec_26_2014	17.67	18.46	18.46	18.76			18.81(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	5	46	14.74	55%	0.17	49.7	0.92%	0	1.2	53	0
22	Dec_24_2014	17.64	18.43	18.43	18.72			18.81(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	15	42	7.94	53%	0.11	51.3	0.95%	0	1.4	56	0
23	Dec_23_2014	17.62	18.4	18.38	18.59			18.84(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	24	22	18.63	52%	0.17	42.9	0.95%	0	1.6	58	0
24	Dec_22_2014	17.59	18.37	18.35	18.38			18.74(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	11	-10000	19	-12	15.82	51%	0.11	27.2	0.95%	0	1.5	58	0
25	Dec_19_2014	17.57	18.34	18.34	18.22			18.61(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	2	-10000	12	-29	39.89	51%		12.2	0.95%	0	1.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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