Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $17.7134 (1.21%) ($17.3892 - $17.7210) on Fri. Jan. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $17.7134(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)    XLB(83%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    TLT(-35%)    SHY(-12%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.38(-24.46%)
Resistance Level   $18.35
5 Day Moving Average   $17.79(-0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.98(-1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.35(-3.47%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 2.34% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2015	17.84	18.35	17.98	17.79			17.71(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-10000	-12	-179	72.7	54%	0	-23.5	0.91%	0	-1.5	29	0
2	Jan_15_2015	17.84	18.38	18.08	17.89			17.5(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-60	-10000	-22	-174	47.15	49%	0.06	-21.1	0.9%	0	-2.1	23	0
3	Jan_14_2015	17.83	18.4	18.19	18.07			17.72(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-43	-10000	-11	-139	57.97	51%	0	-21.6	0.92%	0	-1.9	25	0
4	Jan_13_2015	17.83	18.42	18.3	18.07			17.98(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	0	-118	37.19	52%	0	-24.7	0.9%	0	-1.3	32	0
5	Jan_12_2015	17.83	18.43	18.39	18.16			18.04(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-6	-113	31.16	52%	0.06	-31.1	0.91%	0	-1.1	38	0

6	Jan_9_2015	17.82	18.45	18.47	18.21			18.19(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-11	-101	29.49	48%	0.06	-27.9	0.91%	0	-0.7	41	0
7	Jan_8_2015	17.81	18.46	18.53	18.3			18.44(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-5	-61	30.87	52%	0.06	-21.7	0.93%	0	-0.1	59	0
8	Jan_7_2015	17.8	18.47	18.57	18.34			18.17(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-16	-25	29.48	48%	0.11	-14.1	0.95%	0	-0.9	64	0
9	Jan_6_2015	17.78	18.5	18.64	18.48			17.98(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-9	-10000	-20	23	46.67	46%	0	3.8	0.96%	0	-1.5	55	0
10	Jan_5_2015	17.78	18.54	18.71	18.66			18.26(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	10	-10000	-13	78	41.24	48%	0.11	24.3	0.94%	0	-0.9	57	0

11	Jan_2_2015	17.76	18.55	18.75	18.77			18.65(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-10000	-3	113	32.91	54%	0.17	38.3	0.92%	0	0.3	54	0
12	Dec_31_2014	17.73	18.54	18.71	18.8			18.65(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	25	-10000	-5	113	24.26	52%	0.06	44.3	0.92%	0	0.4	55	0
13	Dec_30_2014	17.72	18.52	18.63	18.84			18.86(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	2	99	16.49	54%	0.17	49.1	0.92%	0	1.1	53	0
14	Dec_29_2014	17.69	18.49	18.54	18.82			18.88(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	7	73	17.97	54%	0.11	49.4	0.92%	0	1.3	52	0
15	Dec_26_2014	17.67	18.46	18.46	18.76			18.81(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	5	46	14.74	55%	0.17	49.7	0.92%	0	1.2	53	0

16	Dec_24_2014	17.64	18.43	18.43	18.72			18.81(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	15	42	7.94	53%	0.11	51.3	0.95%	0	1.4	56	0
17	Dec_23_2014	17.62	18.4	18.38	18.59			18.84(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	24	22	18.63	52%	0.17	42.9	0.95%	0	1.6	58	0
18	Dec_22_2014	17.59	18.37	18.35	18.38			18.74(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	11	-10000	19	-12	15.82	51%	0.11	27.2	0.95%	0	1.5	58	0
19	Dec_19_2014	17.57	18.34	18.35	18.22			18.61(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	2	-10000	12	-29	39.89	51%	0.11	12.2	0.95%	0	1.1	59	0
20	Dec_18_2014	17.55	18.32	18.34	18.12			18.6(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2	-9	-10000	2	-43	37.52	52%	0.06	0	0.95%	0	1.2	56	0

21	Dec_17_2014	17.54	18.32	18.32	18.1			18.18(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	-6	-49	43.76	49%	0.06	-4	0.92%	0	-0.5	48	0
22	Dec_16_2014	17.53	18.29	18.35	18.15			17.77(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-26	-10000	-21	-42	36.96	45%	0.06	0.8	0.88%	0	-2.3	38	0
23	Dec_15_2014	17.52	18.29	18.41	18.32			17.95(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-16	-10000	-20	-2	37.32	46%	0.06	21.7	0.87%	0	-1.7	42	0
24	Dec_12_2014	17.51	18.31	18.44	18.48			18.11(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-2	-10000	-13	33	39.25	48%	0.06	43.1	0.86%	0	-1	51	0
25	Dec_11_2014	17.5	18.32	18.47	18.58			18.47(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	18	-10000	0	73	58.34	51%		57.8	0.82%	0	0.7	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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