Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $18.8445 (0.56%) ($18.7691 - $18.9124) on Tue. Dec. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $18.8445(0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)    XLB(83%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-36%)    VIXM(-35%)    SHY(-13%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.59(1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.38(2.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.4(2.42%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 1.47% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2014	17.62	18.4	18.38	18.59			18.84(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	24	22	18.63	52%	0.17	42.9	0.95%	0	1.6	58	0
2	Dec_22_2014	17.59	18.37	18.35	18.38			18.74(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	11	-10000	19	-12	15.82	51%	0.11	27.2	0.95%	0	1.5	58	0
3	Dec_19_2014	17.57	18.34	18.35	18.22			18.61(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	2	-10000	12	-29	39.89	51%	0.11	12.2	0.95%	0	1.1	59	0
4	Dec_18_2014	17.55	18.32	18.34	18.12			18.6(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2	-9	-10000	2	-43	37.52	52%	0.06	0	0.95%	0	1.2	56	0
5	Dec_17_2014	17.54	18.32	18.32	18.1			18.18(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	-6	-49	43.76	49%	0.06	-4	0.92%	0	-0.5	48	0

6	Dec_16_2014	17.53	18.29	18.35	18.15			17.77(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-26	-10000	-21	-42	36.96	45%	0.06	0.8	0.88%	0	-2.3	38	0
7	Dec_15_2014	17.52	18.29	18.41	18.32			17.95(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-16	-10000	-20	-2	37.32	46%	0.06	21.7	0.87%	0	-1.7	42	0
8	Dec_12_2014	17.51	18.31	18.44	18.48			18.11(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-2	-10000	-13	33	39.25	48%	0.06	43.1	0.86%	0	-1	51	0
9	Dec_11_2014	17.5	18.32	18.47	18.48			18.47(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	18	-10000	0	73	58.34	51%	0.06	57.8	0.82%	0	0.7	68	0
10	Dec_10_2014	17.49	18.3	18.45	18.48			18.43(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	21	-10000	0	82	51.75	51%	0.06	58.7	0.82%	0	0.6	67	0

11	Dec_9_2014	17.48	18.28	18.44	18.58			18.67(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	9	94	45.1	52%	0.11	64.2	0.81%	0	2	77	0
12	Dec_8_2014	17.46	18.26	18.4	18.51			18.71(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	33	-10000	13	91	42.99	52%	0.11	67.7	0.82%	0	2.5	81	0
13	Dec_5_2014	17.44	18.23	18.34	18.41			18.62(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	25	-10000	9	71	30.23	52%	0.06	69.5	0.82%	0	2.6	80	0
14	Dec_4_2014	17.43	18.2	18.29	18.34			18.46(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	4	56	17	50%	0.06	89.4	0.81%	0	2.2	70	0
15	Dec_3_2014	17.42	18.18	18.25	18.31			18.43(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-10000	4	48	14.47	50%	0.11	109.8	0.81%	0	2.3	68	0

16	Dec_2_2014	17.4	18.16	18.21	18.28			18.35(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	3	39	21.74	50%	0.06	132.7	0.81%	0	1.9	61	0
17	Dec_1_2014	17.39	18.14	18.18	18.28			18.17(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	8	-10000	0	30	27.34	48%	0.06	158.2	0.8%	0	0.3	46	0
18	Nov_28_2014	17.38	18.12	18.17	18.26			18.31(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	6	30	7.82	48%	0.12	167.2	0.8%	0	1.7	63	0
19	Nov_26_2014	17.36	18.09	18.15	18.22			18.29(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	7	21	8.75	48%	0.06	116	0.79%	0	1.2	63	0
20	Nov_25_2014	17.35	18.06	18.13	18.17			18.27(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	4	11	23.45	50%	0.06	106.3	0.79%	0	1.1	64	0

21	Nov_24_2014	17.34	18.03	18.12	18.14			18.28(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	7	13	18.72	50%	0.06	94	0.8%	0	1	72	0
22	Nov_21_2014	17.33	17.98	18.12	18.09			18.16(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	3	9	20.4	52%	0.06	91	0.8%	0	0.7	68	0
23	Nov_20_2014	17.32	17.94	18.12	18.07			18.07(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-1	11	16.08	52%	0.06	83.8	0.81%	0	0.4	68	0
24	Nov_19_2014	17.31	17.9	18.12	18.08			18.07(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-1	30	22.07	52%	0.06	82.1	0.81%	0	0.5	77	0
25	Nov_18_2014	17.3	17.85	18.11	18.09			18.11(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10000	-1	51	12.7	54%		85	0.81%	0	0.7	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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