Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 29, 2017

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $65.6311 (0.55%) ($65.1105 - $65.7516) on Wed. Nov. 29, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $65.6311(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(85%)    VYM(74%)    XLF(72%)    IWD(71%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $65.91
5 Day Moving Average   $65.27(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.1(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.91(-0.42%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171229

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_29_2017	63.64		65.1	65.27			65.63(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	5	-99	13.6	60%	0.06	1.9	0.66%	0	-0.3	33	0
2	Nov_28_2017	63.6		65.09	65.15			65.27(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-10000	4	-136	12.11	60%	0.08	0	0.66%	0	-0.6	27	0
3	Nov_27_2017	63.55	65.91	65.22	65.06			64.77(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-42	-10000	-2	-161	10.6	58%	0.06	-1.3	0.65%	0	-1.1	21	0
4	Nov_24_2017	63.51	65.93	65.45	65.11			65.44(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-32	-10000	7	-148	4.99	61%	0.09	-1.3	0.64%	0	-0.5	45	0
5	Nov_22_2017	63.45	65.91	65.63	64.96			65.26(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	-10000	3	-145	9.31	61%	0.03	-7.5	0.64%	0	-0.6	45	0

6	Nov_21_2017	63.43	65.89	65.83	64.9			64.99(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-10000	-7	-142	8.46	61%	0.03	-11.8	0.64%	0	-0.8	42	0
7	Nov_20_2017	63.41	65.91	66.09	65.04			64.85(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-10000	-18	-112	7.79	61%	0.05	-11.8	0.64%	0	-1	48	0
8	Nov_17_2017	63.38	65.92	66.37	65.42			65(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-20	-53	9.17	56%	0.05	-5.1	0.64%	0	-0.9	51	0
9	Nov_16_2017	63.35	65.95	66.51	65.85			64.69(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-25	-6	12.51	53%	0.06	5.1	0.67%	0	-1.2	52	0
10	Nov_15_2017	63.31	65.99	66.68	66.41			64.95(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-3	-10000	-21	52	17.69	53%	0.06	18.4	0.68%	0	-1	55	0

11	Nov_14_2017	63.27	66.02	66.68	66.89			65.69(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	15	-10000	-18	114	16.53	57%	0.06	30.4	0.66%	0	-0.3	63	0
12	Nov_13_2017	63.23	66.03	66.83	67.28			66.77(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	34	-10000	-9	162	7.49	63%	0.09	41.9	0.63%	0	0.8	67	0
13	Nov_10_2017	63.17	65.98	66.7	67.47			67.15(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	55	-10000	9	193	10.53	59%	0.1	49	0.63%	0	1.2	72	0
14	Nov_9_2017	63.11	65.9	66.48	67.28			67.51(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	-10000	14	176	12.89	59%	0.11	46.4	0.64%	0	1.8	71	0
15	Nov_8_2017	63.04	65.8	66.22	66.98			67.31(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10000	10	148	14.25	59%	0.08	38	0.64%	0	1.8	70	0

16	Nov_7_2017	62.99	65.72	65.95	66.76			67.64(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	47	-10000	20	129	13.41	59%	0.08	34.5	0.64%	0	2.5	71	0
17	Nov_6_2017	62.94	65.62	65.69	66.33			67.72(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	39	-10000	23	87	19.1	59%	0.08	22.2	0.65%	0	3.2	64	0
18	Nov_3_2017	62.89	65.51	65.4	65.83			66.21(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	14	37	11.11	48%	0.06	0	0.59%	0	1.6	52	0
19	Nov_2_2017	62.85	65.51	65.3	65.57			66.02(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	12	9	11.33	48%	0.06	-20.9	0.62%	0	1.2	52	0
20	Nov_1_2017	62.81	65.48	65.21	65.33			66.21(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	7	-10000	15	-17	17.31	48%	0.03	-34.8	0.62%	0	1.7	54	0

21	Oct_31_2017	62.79	65.45	65.11	65.02			65.47(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-11	-10000	4	-56	9.65	43%	0.05	-57.8	0.6%	0	0	39	0
22	Oct_30_2017	62.76	65.48	65.14	64.95			65.26(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	3	-64	11.61	43%	0.03	-59.1	0.6%	0	-0.5	39	0
23	Oct_27_2017	62.74	65.51	65.19	64.9			64.92(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-4	-71	16.19	47%	0.06	-59.7	0.6%	0	-1.3	34	0
24	Oct_26_2017	62.7	65.57	65.27	64.98			64.8(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-4	-64	9.36	47%	0.05	-43.8	0.61%	0	-1.8	36	0
25	Oct_25_2017	62.67	65.63	65.36	65.06			64.67(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-10000	-8	-65	13.52	51%		-23.7	0.61%	0	-2.5	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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