Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $65.7178 (1.44%) ($65.0189 - $65.9106) on Mon. Sep. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $65.7178(1.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(85%)    VYM(74%)    XLF(72%)    IWD(71%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.68(1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.98(2.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.43(5.27%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 2.98% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171025

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_25_2017	62.14	62.43	63.98	64.68			65.72(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	63	-10000	16	205	14.83	54%	0.03	72.1	0.76%	0	1.8	88	0
2	Sep_22_2017	62.12	62.13	63.59	64.28			64.78(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	59	-10000	11	201	14.65	51%	0.03	72.7	0.74%	0	1.5	88	0
3	Sep_21_2017	62.1	61.87	63.25	64.02			64.45(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	58	-10000	10	203	8.87	47%	0.02	73.1	0.74%	0	1.5	89	0
4	Sep_20_2017	62.09	61.63	62.99	63.79			64.44(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	61	-10000	11	211	18.27	45%	0.02	71.8	0.77%	0	1.7	89	0
5	Sep_19_2017	62.08	61.37	62.72	63.51			64(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	66	-10000	14	220	10.5	45%	0	68.1	0.78%	0	1.7	89	0

6	Sep_18_2017	62.08	61.11	62.41	63.16			63.74(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	-10000	15	212	12.58	45%	-0.02	59.1	0.79%	0	1.7	87	0
7	Sep_15_2017	62.09	60.89	62.08	62.78			63.47(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	62	-10000	18	194	13.07	48%	0	51.3	0.81%	0	1.8	81	0
8	Sep_14_2017	62.09	60.66	61.73	62.34			63.32(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	50	-10000	11	165	14.58	45%	-0.03	38.1	0.82%	0	2	82	0
9	Sep_13_2017	62.11	60.47	61.36	62.06			63.02(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	43	-10000	9	145	15.89	45%	-0.03	29	0.85%	0	2.2	81	0
10	Sep_12_2017	62.13	60.33	61.02	61.82			62.24(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	-10000	11	137	9.41	42%	-0.03	21	0.84%	0	1.9	80	0

11	Sep_11_2017	62.15	60.23	60.76	61.54			61.86(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	-10000	10	129	13.55	42%	-0.03	7.9	0.84%	0	1.8	80	0
12	Sep_8_2017	62.17	60.17	60.56	61.27			61.28(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	10	115	10.26	46%	-0.05	-8.6	0.88%	0	1.3	72	0
13	Sep_7_2017	62.2	60.16	60.4	61			61.93(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	41	-10000	17	111	8.64	45%	-0.03	-23.6	0.87%	0	2.1	83	0
14	Sep_6_2017	62.22	60.13	60.16	60.54			61.82(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	-10000	17	80	17.05	47%	-0.06	-46.4	0.89%	0	2	66	0
15	Sep_5_2017	62.26	60.12	59.9	60.09			60.83(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	9	39	18.11	44%	-0.08	-68.1	0.88%	0	0.9	51	0

16	Sep_1_2017	62.31	60.16	59.71	59.86			60.5(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	4	6	11.6	42%	-0.08	-69	0.88%	0	0.3	45	0
17	Aug_31_2017	62.36	60.24	59.59	59.75			59.92(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	2	-18	10.33	40%	-0.11	-69.9	0.88%	0	-0.3	37	0
18	Aug_30_2017	62.43	60.35	59.5	59.75			59.63(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	0	-46	8.66	38%	-0.11	-67.8	0.87%	0	-0.6	29	0
19	Aug_29_2017	62.5	60.52	59.52	59.71			59.6(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10000	2	-65	8.73	38%	-0.13	-62.3	0.89%	0	-0.7	24	0
20	Aug_28_2017	62.58	60.69	59.59	59.66			59.68(-0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	-10000	5	-81	9.96	38%	-0.11	-58.1	0.9%	0	-0.7	26	0

21	Aug_25_2017	62.65	60.87	59.67	59.53			59.94(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-10000	5	-105	8.22	36%	-0.11	-54.3	0.89%	0	-0.6	26	0
22	Aug_24_2017	62.72	61.03	59.75	59.4			59.68(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-10000	5	-127	10.39	36%	-0.1	-51.8	0.92%	0	-0.9	20	0
23	Aug_23_2017	62.78	61.2	59.89	59.26			59.64(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-39	-10000	-2	-150	11.53	36%	-0.11	-53.2	0.92%	0	-1	23	0
24	Aug_22_2017	62.85	61.36	60.1	59.3			59.38(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-47	-10000	-8	-164	15.17	36%	-0.11	-53.9	0.92%	0	-1.3	16	0
25	Aug_21_2017	62.92	61.53	60.34	59.51			58.99(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-53	-10000	-13	-171	10.38	36%		-51.1	0.91%	0	-1.8	10	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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