Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $64.4549 (0.03%) ($64.1657 - $64.6140) on Thu. Sep. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $64.4549(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(85%)    VYM(74%)    XLF(72%)    IWD(71%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.02(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.25(1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.87(4.18%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 2.75% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2017	62.1	61.87	63.25	64.02			64.45(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	58	-10000	10	203	8.87	47%	0.02	73.1	0.74%	0	1.5	89	0
2	Sep_20_2017	62.09	61.63	62.99	63.79			64.44(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	61	-10000	11	211	18.27	45%	0.02	71.8	0.77%	0	1.7	89	0
3	Sep_19_2017	62.08	61.37	62.72	63.51			64(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	66	-10000	14	220	10.5	45%	0	68.1	0.78%	0	1.7	89	0
4	Sep_18_2017	62.08	61.11	62.41	63.16			63.74(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	-10000	15	212	12.58	45%	-0.02	59.1	0.79%	0	1.7	87	0
5	Sep_15_2017	62.09	60.89	62.08	62.78			63.47(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	62	-10000	18	194	13.07	48%	0	51.3	0.81%	0	1.8	81	0

6	Sep_14_2017	62.09	60.66	61.73	62.34			63.32(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	50	-10000	11	165	14.58	45%	-0.03	38.1	0.82%	0	2	82	0
7	Sep_13_2017	62.11	60.47	61.36	62.06			63.02(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	43	-10000	9	145	15.89	45%	-0.03	29	0.85%	0	2.2	81	0
8	Sep_12_2017	62.13	60.33	61.02	61.82			62.24(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	-10000	11	137	9.41	42%	-0.03	21	0.84%	0	1.9	80	0
9	Sep_11_2017	62.15	60.23	60.76	61.54			61.86(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	-10000	10	129	13.55	42%	-0.03	7.9	0.84%	0	1.8	80	0
10	Sep_8_2017	62.17	60.17	60.56	61.27			61.28(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	10	115	10.26	46%	-0.05	-8.6	0.88%	0	1.3	72	0

11	Sep_7_2017	62.2	60.16	60.4	61			61.93(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	41	-10000	17	111	8.64	45%	-0.03	-23.6	0.87%	0	2.1	83	0
12	Sep_6_2017	62.22	60.13	60.16	60.54			61.82(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	-10000	17	80	17.05	47%	-0.06	-46.4	0.89%	0	2	66	0
13	Sep_5_2017	62.26	60.12	59.9	60.09			60.83(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	9	39	18.11	44%	-0.08	-68.1	0.88%	0	0.9	51	0
14	Sep_1_2017	62.31	60.16	59.71	59.86			60.5(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	4	6	11.6	42%	-0.08	-69	0.88%	0	0.3	45	0
15	Aug_31_2017	62.36	60.24	59.59	59.75			59.92(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	2	-18	10.33	40%	-0.11	-69.9	0.88%	0	-0.3	37	0

16	Aug_30_2017	62.43	60.35	59.5	59.75			59.63(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	0	-46	8.66	38%	-0.11	-67.8	0.87%	0	-0.6	29	0
17	Aug_29_2017	62.5	60.52	59.52	59.71			59.6(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10000	2	-65	8.73	38%	-0.13	-62.3	0.89%	0	-0.7	24	0
18	Aug_28_2017	62.58	60.69	59.59	59.66			59.68(-0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	-10000	5	-81	9.96	38%	-0.11	-58.1	0.9%	0	-0.7	26	0
19	Aug_25_2017	62.65	60.87	59.67	59.53			59.94(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-10000	5	-105	8.22	36%	-0.11	-54.3	0.89%	0	-0.6	26	0
20	Aug_24_2017	62.72	61.03	59.75	59.4			59.68(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-10000	5	-127	10.39	36%	-0.1	-51.8	0.92%	0	-0.9	20	0

21	Aug_23_2017	62.78	61.2	59.89	59.26			59.64(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-39	-10000	-2	-150	11.53	36%	-0.11	-53.2	0.92%	0	-1	23	0
22	Aug_22_2017	62.85	61.36	60.1	59.3			59.38(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-47	-10000	-8	-164	15.17	36%	-0.11	-53.9	0.92%	0	-1.3	16	0
23	Aug_21_2017	62.92	61.53	60.34	59.51			58.99(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-53	-10000	-13	-171	10.38	36%	-0.11	-51.1	0.91%	0	-1.8	10	0
24	Aug_18_2017	62.99	61.68	60.64	59.85			59.3(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-10000	-11	-163	18.63	39%	-0.11	-50.7	0.93%	0	-1.8	10	0
25	Aug_17_2017	63.06	61.83	60.96	60.16			59(-1.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-52	-10000	-16	-159	14.8	37%		-49.7	0.92%	0	-2.4	9	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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