Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $62.7660 (2.41%) ($61.4241 - $62.9739) on Fri. Jun. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $62.7660(2.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(85%)    VYM(74%)    IWD(71%)    XLF(71%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $58.84(-6.25%)
Resistance Level   $62.93
5 Day Moving Average   $61.9(1.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62(1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.93(-0.26%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170709

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_9_2017	65.77	62.93	62	61.9			62.77(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-18	-10000	9	-98	23.18	46%	-0.11	-48	0.91%	0	-0.1	38	0
2	Jun_8_2017	65.84	62.99	61.99	61.65			61.29(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10000	-7	-135	19.57	37%	-0.14	-46.9	0.86%	0	-1.5	34	0
3	Jun_7_2017	65.93	63.15	62.25	61.84			61.47(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-2	-113	22.94	36%	-0.14	-42.2	0.91%	0	-1.5	35	0
4	Jun_6_2017	66.02	63.26	62.53	61.91			62.35(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	-10000	2	-109	14.84	38%	-0.06	-44.4	0.9%	0	-0.9	35	0
5	Jun_5_2017	66.06	63.35	62.7	61.86			61.62(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-10	-123	12.55	35%	-0.14	-46.2	0.89%	0	-1.7	26	0

6	Jun_2_2017	66.15	63.46	62.97	62.13			61.51(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-10000	-9	-106	16.54	34%	-0.14	-45.5	0.89%	0	-2.1	32	0
7	Jun_1_2017	66.24	63.53	63.19	62.39			62.23(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-13	-102	17.98	40%	-0.12	-49.6	0.88%	0	-1.6	34	0
8	May_31_2017	66.32	63.62	63.33	62.75			61.84(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-36	-10000	-18	-91	16.09	36%	-0.12	-47.1	0.89%	0	-2.3	29	0
9	May_30_2017	66.4	63.71	63.58	63.25			62.1(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-25	-10000	-15	-56	14.53	35%	-0.2	-45	0.89%	0	-2.5	41	0
10	May_26_2017	66.53	63.81	63.83	63.67			62.95(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13	-10000	-9	-25	13.2	42%	-0.14	-37.5	0.91%	0	-1.7	42	0

11	May_25_2017	66.62	63.88	63.95	63.94			62.84(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-5	-10000	-5	-4	23.33	42%	-0.12	-24.3	0.92%	0	-2.2	46	0
12	May_24_2017	66.7	63.94	64.1	64.09			64(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10000	3	23	13.59	45%	-0.12	-21.4	0.9%	0	0.1	63	0
13	May_23_2017	66.78	63.97	64.13	64			64.34(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	1	22	9.09	45%	-0.04	-17.9	0.9%	0	0.7	54	0
14	May_22_2017	66.81	64	64.05	63.97			64.19(-0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	4	-10000	-2	20	10.34	42%	-0.09	-19.2	0.9%	0	0.4	54	0
15	May_19_2017	66.87	64.01	64.04	64.04			64.33(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	2	26	15.62	42%	-0.1	-26.9	0.92%	0	0.6	52	0

16	May_18_2017	66.94	63.99	63.97	63.97			63.55(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-10000	-5	16	14.11	39%	-0.12	-43.6	0.91%	0	-0.9	46	0
17	May_17_2017	67.02	64.03	63.89	64.11			63.57(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-1	-10000	-5	11	15.61	39%	-0.13	-58.4	0.92%	0	-0.9	46	0
18	May_16_2017	67.11	64.06	63.92	64.27			64.2(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	4	15	11.69	39%	-0.04	-71.6	0.92%	0	0.3	44	0
19	May_15_2017	67.14	64.1	63.86	64.14			64.52(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	3	-5	13.21	39%	-0.1	-82.1	0.93%	0	0.7	45	0
20	May_12_2017	67.21	64.14	63.86	64.05			64.02(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	-10000	3	-16	10.71	39%	-0.12	-90.8	0.91%	0	-0.2	46	0

21	May_11_2017	67.29	64.21	63.79	63.96			64.24(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	11	-18	11.97	39%	-0.12	-95.3	0.92%	0	0	51	0
22	May_10_2017	67.37	64.32	63.77	63.64			64.37(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	4	-42	18.26	39%	-0.1	-84.4	0.92%	0	0.1	49	0
23	May_9_2017	67.44	64.44	63.79	63.52			63.53(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-1	-46	10.72	38%	-0.12	-71.2	0.91%	0	-0.9	46	0
24	May_8_2017	67.52	64.6	63.93	63.54			64.06(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	1	-45	18.95	38%	-0.13	-61.2	0.92%	0	-0.5	42	0
25	May_5_2017	67.61	64.72	63.96	63.51			63.61(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-3	-60	18.74	36%		-57.8	0.92%	0	-0.9	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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