Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 6, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $66.4231 (0.73%) ($65.4497 - $66.4750) on Tue. Apr. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $66.4231(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(85%)    VYM(74%)    IWD(71%)    XLF(71%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $66.2(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.63(1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.69(1.12%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 0.94% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2017	68.59	65.69	65.63	66.2			66.42(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	7	22	12.97	38%	0.01	-52.1	0.9%	0	1.2	47	0
2	Apr_3_2017	68.58	65.71	65.52	66			65.94(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	10	15	13.13	41%	0.01	-50.4	0.9%	0	0.3	59	0
3	Mar_31_2017	68.57	65.79	65.51	65.7			66.05(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	-10000	8	-1	19.86	41%	0	-53.2	0.91%	0	0.3	52	0
4	Mar_30_2017	68.57	65.86	65.49	65.45			66.28(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	-10000	8	-13	15.91	41%	0.01	-51.4	0.92%	0	0.5	53	0
5	Mar_29_2017	68.56	65.92	65.49	65.2			66.3(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	6	-27	18.58	41%	0.01	-49.7	0.92%	0	0.4	52	0

6	Mar_28_2017	68.55	66.01	65.45	65.2			65.4(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-8	-10000	0	-32	27.92	38%	0.01	-48.8	0.9%	0	-0.6	50	0
7	Mar_27_2017	68.54	66.09	65.42	65.01			64.49(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10000	-10	-57	11.49	33%	0.01	-52.7	0.88%	0	-1.5	30	0
8	Mar_24_2017	68.53	66.23	65.55	65.29			64.79(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-8	-60	10.44	33%	0.01	-51.3	0.88%	0	-1.4	28	0
9	Mar_23_2017	68.52	66.34	65.66	65.52			65.04(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-7	-63	11.8	33%	0.03	-52.7	0.89%	0	-1.3	31	0
10	Mar_22_2017	68.5	66.45	65.74	65.72			65.31(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-8	-71	12.42	33%	0.01	-58.2	0.89%	0	-1.2	31	0

11	Mar_21_2017	68.49	66.54	65.76	65.95			65.4(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-19	-10000	2	-83	16.72	33%	0.03	-60.4	0.89%	0	-1.2	28	0
12	Mar_20_2017	68.47	66.67	65.93	65.88			65.91(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-21	-10000	1	-88	12.22	33%	0.01	-68.8	0.89%	0	-0.8	43	0
13	Mar_17_2017	68.46	66.76	66.1	65.85			65.96(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10000	1	-88	14.24	33%	0.01	-75.9	0.88%	0	-0.9	42	0
14	Mar_16_2017	68.45	66.86	66.25	65.81			66.01(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	-10000	1	-82	16.28	33%	0.01	-78.9	0.89%	0	-0.9	47	0
15	Mar_15_2017	68.44	67	66.42	65.78			66.48(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	-10000	7	-79	23.21	33%	0.01	-69.1	0.89%	0	-0.5	45	0

16	Mar_14_2017	68.43	67.13	66.59	65.57			65.03(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-15	-94	26.38	22%	0	-62.4	0.84%	0	-1.9	39	0
17	Mar_13_2017	68.43	67.33	66.81	66			65.77(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-14	-77	13.08	23%	0	-52.2	0.86%	0	-1.5	36	0
18	Mar_10_2017	68.43	67.48	66.96	66.4			65.76(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-13	-58	17.48	23%	0	-44.2	0.87%	0	-1.7	40	0
19	Mar_9_2017	68.43	67.62	67.08	66.77			65.86(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-10000	-13	-50	27.77	23%	-0.01	-37.1	0.88%	0	-1.8	38	0
20	Mar_8_2017	68.44	67.71	67.23	67.15			65.43(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-27	-10000	-20	-46	25.57	23%	0.01	-31.5	0.88%	0	-2.6	31	0

21	Mar_7_2017	68.43	67.83	67.42	67.74			67.17(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-6	-10000	1	-27	11.46	27%	0.03	-23.3	0.82%	0	-0.9	36	0
22	Mar_6_2017	68.41	67.89	67.5	67.72			67.77(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	4	-36	8.37	29%	0.04	-25.2	0.82%	0	-0.2	41	0
23	Mar_3_2017	68.38	67.94	67.48	67.61			67.62(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-8	-10000	7	-54	11.17	29%	0.03	-32.7	0.82%	0	-0.4	41	0
24	Mar_2_2017	68.36	67.98	67.51	67.43			67.75(-0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	3	-70	10.77	29%	0.03	-53.3	0.83%	0	-0.3	46	0
25	Mar_1_2017	68.34	67.99	67.61	67.34			68.39(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-8	-10000	10	-63	19	31%		-72	0.82%	0	0.5	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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