Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $70.1413 (-0.23%) ($69.8314 - $70.3292) on Wed. Jan. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $70.1413(-0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(85%)    VYM(74%)    IWD(71%)    XLF(71%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $68.71(-2.04%)
Resistance Level   $70.9
5 Day Moving Average   $70.15(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.43(-0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.9(-1.07%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 0.99% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_18_2017	67.16	70.9	70.43	70.15			70.14(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-8	-10000	3	-40	8.73	71%	0.09	-60.6	1.11%	0	-1.1	35	0
2	Jan_17_2017	67.1	70.98	70.56	70.05			70.3(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	-10000	0	-48	9.78	71%	0.12	-65.6	1.11%	0	-1	37	0
3	Jan_13_2017	67.02	71.04	70.61	70.04			69.87(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-7	-60	9.91	71%	0.09	-66	1.1%	0	-1.7	33	0
4	Jan_12_2017	66.96	71.12	70.72	70.32			70.08(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-6	-52	10.9	71%	0.07	-57.3	1.11%	0	-1.7	38	0
5	Jan_11_2017	66.91	71.25	70.83	70.55			70.37(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-5	-45	13.13	71%	0.07	-34.6	1.11%	0	-1.5	41	0

6	Jan_10_2017	66.86	71.33	70.98	70.76			69.62(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-17	-10000	-10	-36	9.66	73%	0.09	-13.3	1.11%	0	-2.7	32	0
7	Jan_9_2017	66.8	71.44	71.2	71.14			70.25(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-7	-10000	-3	-19	10.96	73%	0.07	18.6	1.12%	0	-2.4	33	0
8	Jan_6_2017	66.75	71.5	71.36	71.24			71.29(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	1	-11	7.41	78%	0.07	47.5	1.1%	0	-0.5	49	0
9	Jan_5_2017	66.7	71.49	71.38	71.18			71.22(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	1	-13	11.14	79%	0.11	57.6	1.1%	0	-0.6	50	0
10	Jan_4_2017	66.63	71.45	71.39	71.15			71.4(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-8	-10000	-3	-24	11.19	79%	0.11	101.7	1.12%	0	-0.1	36	0

11	Jan_3_2017	66.56	71.41	71.41	71.25			71.55(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-6	-10000	-1	-22	24.62	79%	0.15	127.5	1.13%	0	0.3	47	0
12	Dec_30_2016	66.46	71.34	71.43	71.28			70.75(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-5	-21	8.85	79%	0.12	119.8	1.12%	0	-1	44	0
13	Dec_29_2016	66.38	71.3	71.51	71.49			70.96(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5	-10000	-3	-12	6.7	79%	0.12	124.5	1.13%	0	-0.5	48	0
14	Dec_28_2016	66.3	71.24	71.55	71.6			71.1(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2	-10000	-1	-5	8.09	82%	0.12	123.4	1.13%	0	-0.2	53	0
15	Dec_27_2016	66.22	71.02	71.55	71.65			71.88(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	2	13	10.01	82%	0.18	68.4	1.23%	0	0.6	65	0

16	Dec_23_2016	66.1	70.79	71.7	71.58			71.72(-0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	-1	18	6.4	82%	0.15	56.7	1.23%	0	0.6	62	0
17	Dec_22_2016	66	70.61	71.69	71.61			71.79(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	2	31	10.97	82%	0.15	62	1.24%	0	0.7	67	0
18	Dec_21_2016	65.9	70.44	71.65	71.54			71.49(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	11	-10000	1	39	8.1	84%	0.15	64.3	1.24%	0	0.6	67	0
19	Dec_20_2016	65.8	70.27	71.61	71.5			71.38(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-6	43	8.98	84%	0.17	64.7	1.27%	0	0.6	68	0
20	Dec_19_2016	65.69	70.11	71.52	71.77			71.54(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-2	81	7.11	84%	0.14	75.9	1.28%	0	0.8	82	0

21	Dec_16_2016	65.6	69.87	71.43	71.84			71.87(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	28	-10000	1	110	17.86	84%	0.15	76.7	1.27%	0	1	77	0
22	Dec_15_2016	65.5	69.59	71.25	71.78			71.43(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-10000	0	121	20.25	84%	0.15	73.7	1.28%	0	0.9	68	0
23	Dec_14_2016	65.4	69.36	71.09	71.77			71.27(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	-10000	1	132	19.85	84%	0.14	74.7	1.29%	0	0.9	65	0
24	Dec_13_2016	65.31	69.15	70.93	71.71			72.72(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	-10000	10	149	16.03	81%	0.15	80.3	1.27%	0	1.8	74	0
25	Dec_12_2016	65.21	68.77	70.3	71.24			71.91(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	6	117	16.13	81%		77.1	1.32%	0	1.6	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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