Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $67.9500 (-0.49%) ($67.6136 - $68.1463) on Fri. Nov. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $67.9500(-0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    VYM(74%)    IWD(71%)    XLF(71%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.75(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.95(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.78(3.3%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2016	64.53	65.78	66.95	67.75			67.95(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	8	106	8.79	73%	0.12	44.2	1.26%	0	1.4	75	0
2	Nov_23_2016	64.45	65.62	66.76	67.4			68.29(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	8	111	11.46	73%	0.08	38.3	1.25%	0	1.8	74	0
3	Nov_22_2016	64.4	65.45	66.5	67.07			68.01(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	4	115	16.01	73%	0.06	32.5	1.25%	0	1.9	74	0
4	Nov_21_2016	64.36	65.29	66.18	66.89			68.04(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	-10000	13	118	16.88	73%	0.06	31.9	1.26%	0	2.3	68	0
5	Nov_18_2016	64.32	65.14	65.83	66.34			66.46(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	8	101	11.96	73%	0.06	24.2	1.23%	0	1.3	64	0

6	Nov_17_2016	64.28	65.09	65.54	66.02			66.19(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	0	75	10.34	73%	0.05	17.8	1.26%	0	1.1	57	0
7	Nov_16_2016	64.25	65.07	65.29	66.01			66.64(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	4	69	16.61	73%	0.08	19.7	1.25%	0	1.6	58	0
8	Nov_15_2016	64.2	65.03	64.97	65.84			67.11(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	-10000	11	55	19.23	73%	0.11	16.8	1.25%	0	2.2	59	0
9	Nov_14_2016	64.13	64.92	64.66	65.38			65.27(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	3	27	12.57	70%	0.05	-2.4	1.21%	0	0.4	50	0
10	Nov_11_2016	64.1	64.9	64.54	65.26			64.9(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-10000	8	16	17.66	72%	0.02	-18.7	1.21%	0	0	45	0

11	Nov_10_2016	64.09	64.91	64.52	64.94			66.11(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	9	-10000	12	-2	20.63	76%	0.05	-33.6	1.2%	0	1.5	51	0
12	Nov_9_2016	64.06	64.88	64.39	64.46			65.83(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	3	-10000	13	-29	25.99	76%	0.05	-54.4	1.2%	0	1.2	45	0
13	Nov_8_2016	64.03	64.87	64.3	63.98			64.77(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-13	-10000	3	-61	11.21	76%	0.03	-71.9	1.19%	0	-0.1	34	0
14	Nov_7_2016	64.01	64.94	64.32	63.85			64.69(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-15	-10000	3	-68	14.8	76%	0.03	-62.8	1.2%	0	-0.3	46	0
15	Nov_4_2016	63.99	65.05	64.37	63.73			63.32(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-8	-77	17.55	74%	0.03	-61.6	1.18%	0	-1.8	36	0

16	Nov_3_2016	63.97	65.19	64.6	64.03			63.67(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-7	-63	12.75	75%	0.03	-56.9	1.17%	0	-1.7	36	0
17	Nov_2_2016	63.95	65.32	64.84	64.3			63.42(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-10000	-9	-49	22.98	75%	0.03	-45.7	1.2%	0	-2.3	30	0
18	Nov_1_2016	63.93	65.47	65.11	64.66			64.13(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-5	-32	18.82	68%	0.03	-33.3	1.19%	0	-1.9	31	0
19	Oct_31_2016	63.91	65.54	65.22	64.85			64.12(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-10000	-6	-30	12.97	68%	0.03	-10.1	1.26%	0	-2.2	29	0
20	Oct_28_2016	63.89	65.64	65.32	65.11			64.82(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-4	-34	18.56	68%	0.02	24.7	1.26%	0	-1.5	27	0

21	Oct_27_2016	63.88	65.7	65.37	65.26			65(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-5	-33	14.21	68%	0.02	57.3	1.26%	0	-1.3	42	0
22	Oct_26_2016	63.87	65.7	65.43	65.46			65.24(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-4	-30	17.87	68%	0.02	79	1.27%	0	-0.9	41	0
23	Oct_25_2016	63.86	65.71	65.5	65.63			65.09(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-0	-25	13.23	64%	0.05	61.1	1.27%	0	-0.7	41	0
24	Oct_24_2016	63.83	65.6	65.61	65.65			65.39(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-3	-10000	2	-17	10.67	64%	0.06	52.2	1.29%	0	-0.2	53	0
25	Oct_21_2016	63.79	65.5	65.77	65.55			65.59(-0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	-10000	2	-15	14.24	64%		45.1	1.29%	0	0.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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