Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $63.4555 (1.47%) ($62.6661 - $63.7249) on Thu. Aug. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $63.4555(1.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    VYM(74%)    IWD(71%)    XLF(70%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.1(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.45(1.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.77(1.09%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2016	61.34	62.77	62.45	63.1			63.46(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	6	32	17.43	59%	0.1	-13.4	1.3%	0	0.7	49	0
2	Aug_10_2016	61.28	62.8	62.29	62.84			62.54(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-10000	2	12	18.04	59%	0.08	-10.8	1.28%	0	-0.2	46	0
3	Aug_9_2016	61.23	62.87	62.23	62.78			63.22(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	-10000	11	0	11.13	59%	0.08	-6.2	1.29%	0	0.3	45	0
4	Aug_8_2016	61.18	62.93	62.15	62.35			63.56(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	-10000	15	-26	21.66	59%	0.08	-8.6	1.3%	0	0.6	46	0
5	Aug_5_2016	61.13	62.9	61.99	61.74			62.72(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-17	-10000	1	-71	11.43	57%	0.07	-26.9	1.3%	0	-0.2	39	0

6	Aug_4_2016	61.09	62.9	62.04	61.71			62.16(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-10000	1	-79	16.79	57%	0.08	-29.5	1.3%	0	-0.7	36	0
7	Aug_3_2016	61.04	62.91	62.14	61.67			62.25(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-21	-10000	2	-89	23.91	54%	0.1	-34.3	1.31%	0	-0.6	36	0
8	Aug_2_2016	60.98	62.94	62.29	61.61			61.07(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-7	-96	25.6	52%	0.07	-32	1.32%	0	-1.7	30	0
9	Aug_1_2016	60.94	63.03	62.58	61.91			60.52(-3.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-29	-10000	-8	-91	30.65	52%	0.07	-16.4	1.31%	0	-2.4	22	0
10	Jul_29_2016	60.9	63.2	62.97	62.24			62.58(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	-10000	-5	-72	16.5	57%	0.12	0	1.26%	0	-0.7	49	0

11	Jul_28_2016	60.83	63.24	63.13	62.42			61.95(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-7	-58	10.86	57%	0.1	1.5	1.25%	0	-1.5	46	0
12	Jul_27_2016	60.77	63.29	63.38	62.68			61.94(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-10000	-10	-34	16.18	59%	0.12	10.2	1.27%	0	-1.7	53	0
13	Jul_26_2016	60.7	63.3	63.59	63.07			62.55(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-7	-8	12.39	59%	0.1	13.7	1.28%	0	-0.9	51	0
14	Jul_25_2016	60.64	63.19	63.8	63.36			62.19(-1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-10	17	12.77	59%	0.1	7.6	1.3%	0	-0.9	52	0
15	Jul_22_2016	60.58	63.2	63.91	63.79			63.46(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-4	33	7.99	62%	0.15	18	1.28%	0	0.2	48	0

16	Jul_21_2016	60.49	63.22	63.87	63.96			63.26(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-5	37	9.26	62%	0.15	32.4	1.29%	0	0	50	0
17	Jul_20_2016	60.4	63.21	63.77	64.17			63.89(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-1	43	11.55	62%	0.17	43.8	1.29%	0	0.6	58	0
18	Jul_19_2016	60.3	63.18	63.66	64.2			63.98(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-3	51	6.99	64%	0.22	51.1	1.29%	0	0.7	65	0
19	Jul_18_2016	60.17	63.12	63.52	64.31			64.35(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	6	76	9.4	64%	0.2	59.1	1.31%	0	1.1	74	0
20	Jul_15_2016	60.05	63	63.44	64.05			64.3(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	7	78	9.13	64%	0.2	53.6	1.32%	0	1.2	60	0

21	Jul_14_2016	59.93	62.86	63.34	63.76			64.34(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	11	64	10.9	64%	0.22	37.3	1.34%	0	1.4	50	0
22	Jul_13_2016	59.8	62.73	63.18	63.31			64.01(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	6	44	12.55	64%	0.22	17.1	1.34%	0	1.2	53	0
23	Jul_12_2016	59.67	62.62	62.96	63.05			64.57(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	14	-10000	10	25	15.52	67%	0.18	0	1.33%	0	2	53	0
24	Jul_11_2016	59.56	62.49	62.51	62.62			63.01(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	-10000	-3	-14	9.75	65%	0.19	-16.9	1.35%	0	0.6	52	0
25	Jul_8_2016	59.45	62.44	62.41	62.76			62.89(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-2	-9	11.57	65%		-9.2	1.35%	0	0.5	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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