Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 10, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $62.1635 (-2.16%) ($62.0804 - $63.2892) on Fri. Jun. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $62.1635(-2.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    VYM(74%)    IWD(71%)    XLF(70%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.33(-1.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.54(-0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.85(0.51%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2016	57.25	61.85	62.54	63.33			62.16(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	23	-10000	4	79	14.49	82%	0.23	73.3	1.23%	0	0.3	60	0
2	Jun_9_2016	57.12	61.78	62.53	63.18			63.54(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	10	87	12.34	90%	0.3	70	1.2%	0	1.6	74	0
3	Jun_8_2016	56.95	61.63	62.38	62.8			64.03(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	-10000	12	83	18.13	76%	0.26	68.2	1.2%	0	2.3	80	0
4	Jun_7_2016	56.8	61.44	62.09	62.34			64.18(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	24	-10000	12	58	15.62	78%	0.14	62.8	1.32%	0	3	72	0
5	Jun_6_2016	56.72	61.19	61.75	61.84			62.75(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	4	35	18.22	76%	0.23	39.7	1.32%	0	2	67	0

6	Jun_3_2016	56.59	61.06	61.57	61.68			61.4(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-2	34	12.16	74%	0.19	24.1	1.3%	0	0.5	68	0
7	Jun_2_2016	56.48	61.01	61.51	61.78			61.64(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-3	38	12.85	77%	0.21	15.5	1.31%	0	0.9	59	0
8	Jun_1_2016	56.36	60.92	61.42	61.89			61.72(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	3	46	16.7	79%	0.21	-1.7	1.34%	0	1.1	61	0
9	May_31_2016	56.24	60.87	61.37	61.78			61.7(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	4	49	15.41	77%	0.3	-14.5	1.33%	0	1.2	62	0
10	May_27_2016	56.07	60.87	61.3	61.62			61.94(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	4	52	9.26	79%	0.18	-13.1	1.38%	0	1.3	72	0

11	May_26_2016	55.97	60.89	61.11	61.44			61.91(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	6	45	10.72	79%	0.16	-17	1.39%	0	1.2	61	0
12	May_25_2016	55.88	60.9	60.98	61.2			62.16(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	7	39	14.27	79%	0.13	-15.4	1.39%	0	1.3	62	0
13	May_24_2016	55.81	60.94	60.82	60.9			61.19(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	-0	30	11.3	77%	0.11	-14.7	1.38%	0	0.3	60	0
14	May_23_2016	55.75	60.98	60.73	60.91			60.89(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	-0	29	10.27	69%	0.09	-8.3	1.38%	0	-0.1	51	0
15	May_20_2016	55.7	60.99	60.59	60.93			61.05(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	5	13	9.83	72%	0.11	0	1.47%	0	0.1	42	0

16	May_19_2016	55.64	61.03	60.51	60.72			60.69(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2	-10000	-0	-9	16.85	72%	0.11	8.3	1.48%	0	-0.4	39	0
17	May_18_2016	55.58	61.04	60.47	60.73			60.68(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	0	-21	22.95	72%	0.09	15.9	1.49%	0	-0.4	38	0
18	May_17_2016	55.53	61.08	60.4	60.71			61.27(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	4	-41	15.84	74%	0.11	25.5	1.49%	0	0.2	36	0
19	May_16_2016	55.47	61.05	60.33	60.53			60.98(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	7	-54	13.73	74%	0.11	27.3	1.54%	0	-0.1	43	0
20	May_13_2016	55.41	60.99	60.43	60.21			59.97(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-1	-64	12.37	73%	0.05	25.9	1.53%	0	-0.9	45	0

21	May_12_2016	55.38	60.94	60.65	60.26			60.74(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	2	-60	12.48	75%	0.07	31.1	1.53%	0	-0.2	44	0
22	May_11_2016	55.34	60.89	60.79	60.18			60.58(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	3	-55	14.21	75%	0.13	40.1	1.56%	0	-0.3	49	0
23	May_10_2016	55.27	60.83	61.05	60.04			60.39(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-2	-51	10.35	75%	0.11	44.9	1.56%	0	-0.3	46	0
24	May_9_2016	55.21	60.78	61.22	60.11			59.35(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-12	-46	16.02	69%	0.11	51.3	1.55%	0	-1	45	0
25	May_6_2016	55.15	60.7	61.43	60.69			60.23(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-9	-17	12.55	69%		62.7	1.56%	0	-0.3	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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