Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $60.9824 (1.69%) ($60.5764 - $61.1761) on Mon. May. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $60.9824(1.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    VYM(74%)    IWD(71%)    XLF(70%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $61.05
5 Day Moving Average   $60.53(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60.33(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.05(-0.11%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   19.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2016	55.47	61.05	60.33	60.53			60.98(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	7	-54	13.73	74%	0.11	27.3	1.54%	0	-0.1	43	0
2	May_13_2016	55.41	60.99	60.43	60.21			59.97(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-1	-64	12.37	73%	0.05	25.9	1.53%	0	-0.9	45	0
3	May_12_2016	55.38	60.94	60.65	60.26			60.74(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	2	-60	12.48	75%	0.07	31.1	1.53%	0	-0.2	44	0
4	May_11_2016	55.34	60.89	60.79	60.18			60.58(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	3	-55	14.21	75%	0.13	40.1	1.56%	0	-0.3	49	0
5	May_10_2016	55.27	60.83	61.05	60.04			60.39(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-2	-51	10.35	75%	0.11	44.9	1.56%	0	-0.3	46	0

6	May_9_2016	55.21	60.78	61.22	60.11			59.35(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-12	-46	16.02	69%	0.11	51.3	1.55%	0	-1	45	0
7	May_6_2016	55.15	60.7	61.43	60.69			60.23(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-9	-17	12.55	69%	0.11	62.7	1.56%	0	-0.3	56	0
8	May_5_2016	55.09	60.59	61.6	61.1			60.36(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-8	16	14.35	65%	0.07	65.3	1.57%	0	-0.1	61	0
9	May_4_2016	55.05	60.41	61.68	61.5			59.88(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-14	36	18.61	65%	0.05	65.1	1.61%	0	-0.3	55	0
10	May_3_2016	55.02	60.28	61.86	62.19			60.75(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-6	77	16.16	68%	0.11	67.2	1.59%	0	0.2	59	0

11	May_2_2016	54.96	60.04	61.88	62.47			62.22(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	4	101	15.07	66%	0.15	64.1	1.61%	0	0.9	69	0
12	Apr_29_2016	54.88	59.73	61.64	62.26			62.28(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	-10000	2	104	24.11	68%	0.09	59.7	1.68%	0	1.1	75	0
13	Apr_28_2016	54.83	59.43	61.29	62.18			62.38(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	5	110	15.56	70%	0.11	58.9	1.71%	0	1.3	73	0
14	Apr_27_2016	54.77	59.16	61	61.89			63.33(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	-10000	7	119	21.96	70%	0.15	58.6	1.73%	0	1.8	82	0
15	Apr_26_2016	54.69	58.84	60.59	61.5			62.15(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	-10000	5	123	13.59	71%	0.11	57.1	1.72%	0	1.6	77	0

16	Apr_25_2016	54.63	58.57	60.27	61.22			61.17(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	-10000	6	133	17.23	66%	0.04	54.1	1.77%	0	1.3	78	0
17	Apr_22_2016	54.61	58.34	59.9	60.91			61.86(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	-10000	12	129	15.76	68%	0.05	47.2	1.87%	0	1.9	79	0
18	Apr_21_2016	54.58	58.09	59.47	60.26			60.97(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-10000	5	112	19.34	70%	0.02	37.8	1.93%	0	1.7	73	0
19	Apr_20_2016	54.57	57.87	59.02	59.96			61.33(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	-10000	7	101	21.09	67%	-0.02	33.3	1.96%	0	2.2	69	0
20	Apr_19_2016	54.58	57.68	58.56	59.55			60.79(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	6	88	17.34	65%	-0.02	35.2	1.99%	0	2.3	67	0

21	Apr_18_2016	54.59	57.54	58.03	59.19			59.6(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	8	73	20.69	64%	-0.04	39.4	2.01%	0	1.8	64	0
22	Apr_15_2016	54.61	57.47	57.67	58.74			58.63(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	4	55	14.22	61%	0.07	36.3	2.02%	0	1.1	62	0
23	Apr_14_2016	54.57	57.45	57.44	58.52			59.43(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	10	48	17.44	63%	-0.05	43.1	2.05%	0	1.8	64	0
24	Apr_13_2016	54.6	57.35	57.18	57.92			59.29(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	14	-10000	8	31	18.7	62%	-0.05	39.8	2.11%	0	2	65	0
25	Apr_12_2016	54.63	57.21	56.94	57.41			59.02(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	12	-10000	11	14	27.63	62%		37.8	2.14%	0	2	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.