Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $59.2938 (0.47%) ($58.5741 - $59.4691) on Wed. Apr. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $59.2938(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    VYM(74%)    IWD(71%)    XLF(70%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.92(2.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.18(3.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.35(3.39%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   25%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160513

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_13_2016	54.6	57.35	57.18	57.92			59.29(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	14	-10000	8	31	18.7	62%	-0.05	39.8	2.11%	0	2	65	0
2	Apr_12_2016	54.63	57.21	56.94	57.41			59.02(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	12	-10000	11	14	27.63	62%	-0.04	37.8	2.14%	0	2	53	0
3	Apr_11_2016	54.65	57.09	56.71	56.71			57.31(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10000	5	-13	16.24	58%	-0.07	15.9	2.11%	0	0.3	40	0
4	Apr_8_2016	54.69	57.08	56.65	56.44			57.55(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-5	-10000	4	-30	17.67	58%	-0.07	13.8	2.13%	0	0.6	40	0
5	Apr_7_2016	54.73	56.99	56.59	56.2			56.41(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-2	-46	13.93	57%	-0.11	6.8	2.12%	0	-0.7	33	0

6	Apr_6_2016	54.79	56.96	56.62	56.33			56.75(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-10000	-1	-45	18.22	54%	-0.09	16.9	2.15%	0	-0.2	43	0
7	Apr_5_2016	54.84	56.87	56.74	56.41			55.55(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-5	-39	16.05	53%	-0.11	24.4	2.19%	0	-1.3	45	0
8	Apr_4_2016	54.9	56.96	57.02	56.71			55.93(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-3	-24	15.81	53%	-0.09	59.8	2.19%	0	-1.1	46	0
9	Apr_1_2016	54.95	56.97	57.29	56.87			56.34(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-2	-13	14.8	53%	-0.07	81.7	2.18%	0	-0.7	45	0
10	Mar_31_2016	54.99	56.93	57.49	57.02			57.11(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	1	3	14.05	53%	-0.07	96.6	2.19%	0	0.2	63	0

11	Mar_30_2016	55.03	56.81	57.55	56.95			57.13(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	-3	8	15.74	53%	-0.11	95.5	2.19%	0	0.3	64	0
12	Mar_29_2016	55.09	56.63	57.52	57.14			57.02(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-4	21	14.37	53%	-0.11	89.3	2.2%	0	0.3	68	0
13	Mar_28_2016	55.15	56.39	57.5	57.41			56.76(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-6	27	11.56	52%	-0.29	73.6	2.2%	0	0.2	49	0
14	Mar_24_2016	55.31	56.19	57.55	57.77			57.06(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-4	43	15.52	52%	-0.14	68.3	2.22%	0	0.4	57	0
15	Mar_23_2016	55.39	55.96	57.44	58.04			56.78(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-3	54	18.87	54%	-0.14	68.2	2.22%	0	0.4	59	0

16	Mar_22_2016	55.47	55.74	57.35	58.21			58.06(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	4	66	14.18	54%	-0.09	65.3	2.27%	0	1	68	0
17	Mar_21_2016	55.52	55.42	57.04	57.93			58.38(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	5	68	16.7	54%	-0.07	64.4	2.27%	0	1.3	74	0
18	Mar_18_2016	55.56	55.16	56.9	57.6			58.58(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	4	84	30.47	54%	-0.05	67	2.27%	0	1.5	78	0
19	Mar_17_2016	55.59	54.83	56.61	57.31			58.41(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	8	94	28.16	53%	-0.05	72.4	2.28%	0	1.6	73	0
20	Mar_16_2016	55.62	54.51	56.29	56.77			57.63(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	6	94	26.97	53%	-0.04	77.2	2.3%	0	1.5	73	0

21	Mar_15_2016	55.64	54.26	55.98	56.38			56.65(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	6	98	21.72	54%	-0.07	80.5	2.29%	0	1.2	71	0
22	Mar_14_2016	55.68	53.99	55.65	56			56.76(-0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	23	-10000	-1	93	21.78	54%	-0.09	77.7	2.31%	0	1.4	73	0
23	Mar_11_2016	55.73	53.68	55.19	56.08			57.13(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	4	94	24.79	52%	-0.09	78.4	2.31%	0	1.8	63	0
24	Mar_10_2016	55.78	53.3	54.72	55.82			55.69(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	1	89	28.77	51%	-0.11	67	2.34%	0	1.2	64	0
25	Mar_9_2016	55.84	52.99	54.37	55.75			55.65(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-10000	4	90	25.47	51%		57.9	2.34%	0	1.3	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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