Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Tue. Jun. 11, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $57.1324 (2.58%) ($56.3628 - $57.3202) on Fri. Mar. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.31% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $57.1324(2.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    VYM(74%)    IWD(71%)    XLF(70%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -1.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.155% (StdDev 2.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.08(1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.19(3.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.68(6.43%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   20.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 3.65% (three month std-dev: 2.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2016	55.73	53.68	55.19	56.08			57.13(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	4	94	24.79	52%	-0.09	78.4	2.31%	0	1.8	63	0
2	Mar_10_2016	55.78	53.3	54.72	55.82			55.69(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	1	89	28.77	51%	-0.11	67	2.34%	0	1.2	64	0
3	Mar_9_2016	55.84	52.99	54.37	55.75			55.65(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-10000	4	90	25.47	51%	-0.11	57.9	2.34%	0	1.3	64	0
4	Mar_8_2016	55.9	52.7	54.02	55.52			54.76(-4.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	25	-10000	5	83	29.82	51%	-0.13	52.9	2.34%	0	1	58	0
5	Mar_7_2016	55.97	52.51	53.71	55.2			57.16(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	-10000	17	85	33.36	51%	-0.11	46.5	2.28%	0	2.3	73	0

6	Mar_4_2016	56.03	52.19	53.29	54.14			55.85(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	11	66	30.55	49%	-0.14	32	2.31%	0	2.1	72	0
7	Mar_3_2016	56.11	52	52.89	53.45			55.32(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	-10000	10	61	24.4	48%	-0.11	26.3	2.3%	0	2.2	74	0
8	Mar_2_2016	56.17	51.83	52.56	52.82			54.49(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	8	55	26.79	47%	-0.12	24.5	2.31%	0	2.1	71	0
9	Mar_1_2016	56.24	51.63	52.36	52.33			53.19(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	5	55	23.64	46%	-0.16	16.4	2.31%	0	1.4	67	0
10	Feb_29_2016	56.33	51.58	52.16	52			51.84(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-5	45	22.98	44%	-0.19	24.6	2.27%	0	0.2	55	0

11	Feb_26_2016	56.44	51.64	52.06	52.31			52.43(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	1	55	21.16	44%	-0.19	39.6	2.27%	0	0.7	56	0
12	Feb_25_2016	56.55	51.61	51.77	52.23			52.12(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	-0	38	18.59	44%	-0.18	50.7	2.28%	0	0.4	48	0
13	Feb_24_2016	56.65	51.52	51.53	52.24			52.08(1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-3	24	25.28	45%	-0.18	61.2	2.29%	0	0.5	47	0
14	Feb_23_2016	56.75	51.45	51.31	52.39			51.55(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	7	-10000	1	26	21.46	45%	-0.14	72.1	2.3%	0	0.1	55	0
15	Feb_22_2016	56.83	51.32	51.25	52.31			53.38(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	9	21	24.71	47%	-0.09	59.5	2.27%	0	1.6	52	0

16	Feb_19_2016	56.88	51.19	51.01	51.77			52.05(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	-10000	9	-4	25.13	45%	-0.07	51.3	2.24%	0	0.7	44	0
17	Feb_18_2016	56.92	51.04	51.01	51.23			52.17(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	9	-17	28.83	45%	-0.05	35.8	2.25%	0	0.9	51	0
18	Feb_17_2016	56.95	50.81	51.03	50.7			52.83(3.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	3	-10000	11	-21	29.28	45%	-0.04	12.9	2.26%	0	1.3	59	0
19	Feb_16_2016	56.97	50.61	50.8	50.09			51.15(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	1	-44	33.8	45%	-0.05	-3.1	2.21%	0	0.4	53	0
20	Feb_12_2016	57	50.54	50.91	50.06			50.65(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	-2	-29	25.78	44%	-0.11	-8.1	2.24%	0	0.1	59	0

21	Feb_11_2016	57.06	50.54	51.16	50.18			49.35(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-11	-19	47.99	42%	-0.12	-8.1	2.22%	0	-0.8	46	0
22	Feb_10_2016	57.13	50.57	51.42	50.8			49.56(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-10	13	30.22	42%	-0.14	-9	2.23%	0	-0.7	55	0
23	Feb_9_2016	57.21	50.62	51.53	51.39			49.76(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	10	-10000	-3	48	37.41	42%	-0.14	-13.6	2.23%	0	-0.6	59	0
24	Feb_8_2016	57.29	50.65	51.64	51.58			50.98(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-5	63	34.81	43%	-0.1	-25.3	2.22%	0	0.2	58	0
25	Feb_5_2016	57.35	50.66	51.45	51.87			51.25(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-7	68	30.24	43%		-31.6	2.22%	0	0.4	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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