Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 24, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $61.7855 (-1.29%) ($61.2226 - $62.7026) on Mon. Oct. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.99% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $61.7855(-1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    VYM(74%)    IWD(71%)    IVE(70%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.995% (StdDev 1.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $62.05(-0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.53(3.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.3(5.98%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   15.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 4.39% (three month std-dev: 1.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2015	63.03	58.3	59.53	62.05			61.79(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	-10000	7	168	21.75	46%	-0.16	51	1.99%	0	1.4	67	0
2	Oct_9_2015	63.13	58.03	58.81	61.64			62.59(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	-10000	15	147	25.99	46%	-0.16	47.6	1.99%	0	1.9	66	0
3	Oct_8_2015	63.23	57.73	58.18	60.71			63(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	-10000	25	124	27.07	45%	-0.14	38.3	1.99%	0	2.4	69	0
4	Oct_7_2015	63.32	57.43	57.49	59.25			61.82(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	34	-10000	22	69	40	45%	-0.14	21.7	1.98%	0	2.4	57	0
5	Oct_6_2015	63.41	57.18	56.89	58			61.05(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	23	-10000	24	21	27.47	45%	-0.19	2.2	1.98%	0	2.4	55	0

6	Oct_5_2015	63.53	57.02	56.43	56.64			59.72(3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	10	-10000	20	-22	23.81	43%	-0.19	-29.6	1.97%	0	2	58	0
7	Oct_2_2015	63.65	56.89	56.17	55.57			57.97(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2	-11	-10000	5	-57	19.93	41%	-0.24	-63.4	1.94%	0	0.9	55	0
8	Oct_1_2015	63.8	56.9	56.07	55.3			55.68(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-20	-10000	-3	-72	17.45	37%	-0.25	-67.3	1.86%	0	-1	44	0
9	Sep_30_2015	63.96	57.03	56.37	55.47			55.57(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-3	-62	16.13	37%	-0.27	-53.4	1.87%	0	-1.2	41	0
10	Sep_29_2015	64.13	57.15	56.68	55.62			54.29(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-10000	-10	-54	18.88	34%	-0.28	-37.1	1.84%	0	-2.4	36	0

11	Sep_28_2015	64.31	57.43	57	56.16			54.37(-3.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-10000	-12	-44	16.35	34%	-0.29	-4	1.85%	0	-2.7	32	0
12	Sep_25_2015	64.5	57.68	57.27	56.81			56.63(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-3	-26	15.83	35%	-0.25	24.1	1.79%	0	-1.1	46	0
13	Sep_24_2015	64.66	57.76	57.32	56.94			56.52(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-9	-31	18.91	35%	-0.26	22.4	1.8%	0	-1.3	41	0
14	Sep_23_2015	64.83	57.71	57.44	57.41			56.27(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-10	-21	13.98	35%	-0.26	8.8	1.79%	0	-1.4	41	0
15	Sep_22_2015	65	57.6	57.56	57.93			57.01(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2	-10000	-1	-3	17.05	36%	-0.26	-11.6	1.79%	0	-0.4	47	0

16	Sep_21_2015	65.17	57.48	57.7	57.97			57.62(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	-10000	4	-7	15.69	36%	-0.26	-33.3	1.8%	0	0.1	39	0
17	Sep_18_2015	65.34	57.46	57.69	57.77			57.29(-2.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	-10000	1	-24	21.24	36%	-0.26	-52	1.8%	0	-0.1	42	0
18	Sep_17_2015	65.51	57.55	57.8	57.74			58.84(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	5	-22	19.82	37%	-0.24	-60.5	1.77%	0	0.8	54	0
19	Sep_16_2015	65.67	57.62	57.73	57.5			58.87(2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10000	6	-14	17.22	37%	-0.23	-67.9	1.77%	0	0.7	64	0
20	Sep_15_2015	65.82	57.76	57.61	57.18			57.25(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-10000	-5	-6	14.82	35%	-0.24	-63.4	1.74%	0	-0.3	67	0

21	Sep_14_2015	65.98	58.01	57.85	57.41			56.62(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-4	33	12.48	35%	-0.27	-54	1.73%	0	-0.6	61	0
22	Sep_11_2015	66.16	58.29	58.12	57.59			57.12(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-5	51	13.34	34%	-0.26	-45.1	1.73%	0	-0.5	51	0
23	Sep_10_2015	66.33	58.55	58.21	57.85			57.63(0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-3	55	18.49	35%	-0.24	-38.5	1.73%	0	-0.4	46	0
24	Sep_9_2015	66.49	58.82	58.01	57.99			57.3(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-2	31	18.48	35%	-0.23	-30	1.73%	0	-0.5	41	0
25	Sep_8_2015	66.64	59.07	57.67	58.08			58.39(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	-6	-16	15.63	36%		-26.5	1.72%	0	-0.2	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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