Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $66.0017 (-1.76%) ($65.7719 - $67.1689) on Wed. Jul. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $66.0017(-1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    VYM(74%)    IVE(71%)    XLF(70%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $63.29(-4.11%)
Resistance Level   $67.48
5 Day Moving Average   $66.4(-0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.47(-0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.48(-2.19%)
To recent high   -11.1%
To recent low   0.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2015	70.04	67.48	66.47	66.4			66(-1.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-20	-10000	3	-88	12.71	27%	-0.07	-58.2	0.85%	0	-1.2	33	0
2	Jul_14_2015	70.09	67.65	66.64	66.31			67.18(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-25	-10000	2	-106	12.65	34%	-0.07	-60.7	0.89%	0	-0.4	35	0
3	Jul_13_2015	70.14	67.72	66.63	66.25			66.7(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-29	-10000	3	-125	14.36	34%	-0.07	-63.2	0.92%	0	-0.8	34	0
4	Jul_10_2015	70.19	67.83	66.8	66.17			66.24(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-10000	-6	-133	13.25	34%	-0.07	-68.3	0.92%	0	-1.3	38	0
5	Jul_9_2015	70.24	68.01	67	66.36			65.88(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-10000	-7	-133	11.96	37%	-0.1	-63.2	0.92%	0	-1.7	33	0

6	Jul_8_2015	70.31	68.21	67.32	66.56			65.54(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-42	-10000	-14	-125	16.52	37%	-0.11	-61.4	0.94%	0	-2.2	31	0
7	Jul_7_2015	70.39	68.41	67.71	66.99			66.89(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10000	-3	-101	20.69	40%	-0.04	-66.2	0.91%	0	-1.5	35	0
8	Jul_6_2015	70.42	68.52	67.94	67.07			66.29(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-10000	-15	-101	13.51	42%	-0.11	-72	0.9%	0	-2.3	36	0
9	Jul_2_2015	70.5	68.69	68.17	67.53			67.17(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-7	-77	9.7	44%	-0.06	-74.4	0.92%	0	-1.8	39	0
10	Jul_1_2015	70.54	68.8	68.37	67.76			66.88(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-29	-10000	-14	-74	13.91	44%	-0.06	-77.4	0.92%	0	-2.4	32	0

11	Jun_30_2015	70.58	68.96	68.6	68.2			67.74(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-11	-60	15.17	51%	-0.04	-73.1	0.9%	0	-1.7	34	0
12	Jun_29_2015	70.61	69.09	68.76	68.54			67.27(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-19	-10000	-12	-41	13.9	51%	-0.06	-65.3	0.94%	0	-2.7	39	0
13	Jun_26_2015	70.65	69.24	68.92	68.94			68.57(0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-4	-10000	1	-19	11.77	54%	-0.04	-73.2	0.91%	0	-1.2	46	0
14	Jun_25_2015	70.68	69.32	68.96	68.91			68.35(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-4	-29	8.69	54%	-0.01	-88.1	0.91%	0	-1.7	41	0
15	Jun_24_2015	70.69	69.41	69.09	69.05			69.05(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-4	-10000	-0	-15	6.8	57%	-0.03	-90.5	0.92%	0	-0.6	51	0

16	Jun_23_2015	70.71	69.49	69.18	69.06			69.48(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	1	-15	7.12	57%	0	-89	0.92%	0	-0	45	0
17	Jun_22_2015	70.71	69.54	69.14	69.02			69.26(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	3	-27	10.58	57%	0.03	-102.2	0.92%	0	-0.4	40	0
18	Jun_19_2015	70.69	69.66	69.13	68.92			68.42(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-3	-43	17.23	54%	0.03	-88.7	0.92%	0	-1.5	38	0
19	Jun_18_2015	70.67	69.83	69.13	69.01			69.06(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-4	-44	12.67	60%	0.04	-76	0.94%	0	-0.9	40	0
20	Jun_17_2015	70.64	69.95	69.25	69.14			69.1(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-5	-46	10.41	60%	0	-73.7	1%	0	-0.9	40	0

21	Jun_16_2015	70.64	70.05	69.34	69.31			69.27(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	-10000	1	-40	9.02	60%	0	-71.3	1%	0	-0.8	39	0
22	Jun_15_2015	70.64	70.2	69.45	69.29			68.74(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-2	-45	8.08	60%	0	-64.9	1.01%	0	-1.4	33	0
23	Jun_12_2015	70.64	70.37	69.58	69.37			68.9(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-4	-56	10.5	60%	0.01	-66.2	1.01%	0	-1.4	27	0
24	Jun_11_2015	70.63	70.53	69.71	69.5			69.68(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	3	-62	8.42	63%	0.01	-64.4	1.01%	0	-0.8	28	0
25	Jun_10_2015	70.62	70.64	69.76	69.38			69.99(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	0	-80	9.79	63%		-70.9	1%	0	-0.6	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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