Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $69.2554 (1.23%) ($68.7326 - $69.3176) on Mon. Jun. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $69.2554(1.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    VYM(74%)    IVE(70%)    XLF(70%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $67.77(-2.14%)
Resistance Level   $69.54
5 Day Moving Average   $69.02(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.14(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.54(-0.41%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2015	70.71	69.54	69.14	69.02			69.26(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	3	-27	10.58	57%	0.03	-102.2	0.92%	0	-0.4	40	0
2	Jun_19_2015	70.69	69.66	69.13	68.92			68.42(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-3	-43	17.23	54%	0.03	-88.7	0.92%	0	-1.5	38	0
3	Jun_18_2015	70.67	69.83	69.13	69.01			69.06(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-4	-44	12.67	60%	0.04	-76	0.94%	0	-0.9	40	0
4	Jun_17_2015	70.64	69.95	69.25	69.14			69.1(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-5	-46	10.41	60%	0	-73.7	1%	0	-0.9	40	0
5	Jun_16_2015	70.64	70.05	69.34	69.31			69.27(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	-10000	1	-40	9.02	60%	0	-71.3	1%	0	-0.8	39	0

6	Jun_15_2015	70.64	70.2	69.45	69.29			68.74(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-2	-45	8.08	60%	0	-64.9	1.01%	0	-1.4	33	0
7	Jun_12_2015	70.64	70.37	69.58	69.37			68.9(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-4	-56	10.5	60%	0.01	-66.2	1.01%	0	-1.4	27	0
8	Jun_11_2015	70.63	70.53	69.71	69.5			69.68(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	3	-62	8.42	63%	0.01	-64.4	1.01%	0	-0.8	28	0
9	Jun_10_2015	70.62	70.64	69.76	69.5			69.99(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	0	-80	9.79	63%	0.04	-70.9	1%	0	-0.6	38	0
10	Jun_9_2015	70.59	70.74	69.81	69.38			69.14(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-8	-89	11.03	61%	-0.03	-73.5	1.01%	0	-1.5	32	0

11	Jun_8_2015	70.61	70.88	69.96	69.65			69.15(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10000	-5	-89	9.71	61%	0.04	-79.7	1.01%	0	-1.6	26	0
12	Jun_5_2015	70.58	71.08	70.22	69.82			69.54(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-4	-84	18.96	57%	0.07	-78.1	1.04%	0	-1.4	29	0
13	Jun_4_2015	70.53	71.21	70.46	69.95			69.06(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-10000	-7	-80	15.95	57%	0.04	-88.8	1.04%	0	-2.1	28	0
14	Jun_3_2015	70.5	71.4	70.71	70.19			70.01(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-3	-74	8.64	60%	0.07	-97	1.02%	0	-1.5	32	0
15	Jun_2_2015	70.45	71.56	70.84	70.3			70.49(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	-1	-76	10.18	60%	0.07	-96.2	1.02%	0	-1.1	33	0

16	Jun_1_2015	70.4	71.73	71.01	70.33			70.01(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-10	-76	8.49	60%	0.03	-85.5	1.02%	0	-1.7	33	0
17	May_29_2015	70.38	71.94	71.23	70.69			70.19(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-10	-67	12.98	60%	0.03	-70.7	1.03%	0	-1.6	25	0
18	May_28_2015	70.36	72.13	71.41	71.07			70.27(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-6	-51	12.16	60%	0.04	-60.9	1.03%	0	-1.7	40	0
19	May_27_2015	70.33	72.33	71.59	71.3			70.54(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-4	-47	11.37	60%	0.06	-52.3	1.04%	0	-1.7	36	0
20	May_26_2015	70.29	72.49	71.76	71.44			70.67(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-9	-50	13.18	60%	0.03	-47.9	1.04%	0	-1.8	35	0

21	May_22_2015	70.27	72.63	71.89	71.76			71.81(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	-3	-50	6.36	64%	0.03	-45	1.03%	0	-0.9	35	0
22	May_21_2015	70.25	72.71	72.02	71.85			72.07(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	1	-52	10.09	64%	0.03	-42.6	1.04%	0	-0.7	35	0
23	May_20_2015	70.23	72.79	72.01	71.82			71.4(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-3	-70	12.62	64%	0	-44.5	1.04%	0	-1.5	31	0
24	May_19_2015	70.23	72.9	72.15	71.94			71.26(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-5	-78	13.92	64%	0	-48.7	1.04%	0	-1.9	29	0
25	May_18_2015	70.23	72.99	72.34	72.12			72.29(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10000	3	-73	7.23	68%		-43.6	1.03%	0	-0.9	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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