Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $68.8612 (1.47%) ($68.3420 - $69.2641) on Fri. Mar. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $68.8612(1.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    VYM(74%)    IVE(70%)    XLF(70%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.99(1.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.49(2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.81(0.07%)
To recent high   -5.9%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 2.57% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150420

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2015	70.61	68.81	67.49	67.99			68.86(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	10	-35	22.61	58%	-0.1	-58.8	1.46%	0	0	43	0
2	Mar_19_2015	70.68	68.93	67.41	67.49			67.86(-1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	5	-65	23.24	60%	-0.11	-63.1	1.46%	0	-0.6	35	0
3	Mar_18_2015	70.76	69.13	67.55	67.24			68.96(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-13	-10000	8	-77	27.75	65%	-0.1	-60.9	1.51%	0	-0.1	37	0
4	Mar_17_2015	70.83	69.28	67.61	66.86			67.01(-0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-26	-10000	1	-105	13.94	66%	-0.11	-59.5	1.48%	0	-1.1	17	0
5	Mar_16_2015	70.91	69.58	67.9	66.83			67.27(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-2	-110	16.95	66%	-0.11	-57	1.57%	0	-1.1	22	0

6	Mar_13_2015	70.99	69.86	68.14	66.93			66.37(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-35	-10000	-7	-119	21.01	66%	-0.14	-51.1	1.56%	0	-1.6	16	0
7	Mar_12_2015	71.09	70.13	68.53	67.32			66.62(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-38	-10000	-11	-117	19.24	63%	-0.13	-49.5	1.57%	0	-1.8	15	0
8	Mar_11_2015	71.18	70.35	68.93	67.9			67.04(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-11	-107	13.05	63%	-0.13	-44.9	1.59%	0	-1.8	15	0
9	Mar_10_2015	71.27	70.56	69.42	68.48			66.85(-1.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-32	-10000	-12	-93	19.03	58%	-0.1	-40.8	1.59%	0	-2.3	12	0
10	Mar_9_2015	71.34	70.79	69.9	69.12			67.79(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-25	-10000	-7	-80	17.44	58%	-0.07	-29.7	1.63%	0	-2.2	12	0

11	Mar_6_2015	71.39	70.97	70.26	69.52			68.28(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-24	-10000	-7	-74	19.18	53%	-0.07	-11	1.7%	0	-2.3	16	0
12	Mar_5_2015	71.44	71.12	70.61	69.91			69.53(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-4	-63	11.24	55%	-0.03	18.1	1.7%	0	-1.6	39	0
13	Mar_4_2015	71.46	71.16	70.85	70.13			69.94(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-6	-53	16.6	55%	0	41.8	1.7%	0	-1.3	49	0
14	Mar_3_2015	71.46	71.22	71.09	70.52			70.04(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-5	-37	12.35	55%	-0.03	66.4	1.71%	0	-1.3	46	0
15	Mar_2_2015	71.48	71.2	71.39	70.82			69.78(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-5	-20	17.98	55%	-0.06	72.8	1.71%	0	-1.5	44	0

16	Feb_27_2015	71.52	71.1	71.72	71.13			70.27(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-4	-3	13.36	48%	-0.07	58.9	1.87%	0	-0.6	48	0
17	Feb_26_2015	71.57	70.95	71.86	71.4			70.58(-1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-4	6	19.35	48%	-0.1	46.9	1.89%	0	-0.2	50	0
18	Feb_25_2015	71.64	70.76	71.88	71.67			71.92(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	-1	17	16.03	47%	-0.08	39.8	1.88%	0	0.6	66	0
19	Feb_24_2015	71.7	70.62	71.8	71.75			71.53(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-5	17	15.43	47%	-0.08	46.6	1.89%	0	0.5	53	0
20	Feb_23_2015	71.76	70.5	71.76	72.08			71.33(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-5	33	19.68	47%	-0.1	57.5	1.89%	0	0.4	63	0

21	Feb_20_2015	71.83	70.35	71.74	72.41			71.62(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	1	60	25.64	48%	-0.1	69.2	1.9%	0	0.7	73	0
22	Feb_19_2015	71.9	70.2	71.68	72.37			71.97(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	4	80	23.87	48%	-0.1	77.2	1.91%	0	0.9	76	0
23	Feb_18_2015	71.97	70.02	71.49	72.08			72.31(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	4	89	19.38	48%	-0.11	80.8	1.91%	0	1.2	79	0
24	Feb_17_2015	72.05	69.76	71.37	71.83			73.18(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	6	94	22.13	48%	-0.25	79.3	1.9%	0	1.8	64	0
25	Feb_13_2015	72.23	69.44	70.97	71.4			72.96(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	6	87	31.19	47%		75	1.89%	0	1.9	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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