Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $68.4499 (2.25%) ($67.2137 - $68.6055) on Thu. Jan. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.89% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $68.4499(2.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    VYM(74%)    IVE(70%)    XLF(70%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.945% (StdDev 1.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

Resistance Level   $68.9
5 Day Moving Average   $68.15(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.51(-1.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.9(-0.65%)
To recent high   -12.5%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 3.4% (three month std-dev: 1.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_8_2015	76.21	68.9	69.51	68.15			68.45(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-6	-58	28.19	40%	-0.24	-23.5	1.89%	0	-0.2	54	0
2	Jan_7_2015	76.39	68.92	69.84	68.54			66.95(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-12	-27	31.19	37%	-0.25	-23.9	1.87%	0	-0.8	61	0
3	Jan_6_2015	76.58	68.99	70.26	69.33			66.8(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-10000	-14	18	41.88	37%	-0.25	-20.5	1.87%	0	-0.9	62	0
4	Jan_5_2015	76.77	69.2	70.77	70.27			67.8(-4.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	10	-10000	-10	71	45.4	37%	-0.23	-9	1.87%	0	-0.6	63	0
5	Jan_2_2015	76.95	69.4	70.99	70.96			70.73(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	-2	110	27.75	40%	-0.29	-7.8	1.8%	0	0.6	67	0

6	Dec_31_2014	77.17	69.46	70.76	71.07			70.4(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-10000	-4	122	21.54	39%	-0.18	-13.5	1.8%	0	0.4	66	0
7	Dec_30_2014	77.31	69.5	70.32	71.07			70.93(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-10000	0	119	19.15	38%	-0.18	-21.2	1.81%	0	0.6	57	0
8	Dec_29_2014	77.45	69.48	69.75	71.34			71.5(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	-0	108	18.22	38%	-0.18	-35	1.81%	0	0.8	61	0
9	Dec_26_2014	77.59	69.41	69.16	71.37			71.24(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	6	89	14.46	39%	-0.24	-47.8	1.81%	0	0.8	49	0
10	Dec_24_2014	77.78	69.58	68.7	71.01			71.26(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	10	59	14.05	38%	-0.17	-47.8	1.82%	0	0.6	46	0

11	Dec_23_2014	77.91	69.79	68.23	70.38			71.78(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	20	22	26.53	38%	-0.18	-47.7	1.81%	0	0.6	46	0
12	Dec_22_2014	78.05	70.03	67.88	69.11			70.92(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	-10000	20	-25	33.24	37%	-0.17	-50	1.81%	0	0.3	46	0
13	Dec_19_2014	78.18	70.35	67.56	67.89			71.65(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	21	-70	46.74	37%	-0.18	-51.3	1.81%	0	0.3	51	0
14	Dec_18_2014	78.32	70.58	67.4	66.64			69.43(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-21	-10000	9	-111	52.26	34%	-0.22	-54.7	1.76%	0	-0.3	46	0
15	Dec_17_2014	78.49	70.9	67.57	66.09			68.12(4.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-33	-10000	5	-146	62.47	32%	-0.25	-56.7	1.74%	0	-0.6	30	0

16	Dec_16_2014	78.69	71.28	67.95	65.81			65.41(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	-10000	-12	-189	57.28	29%	-0.28	-59.5	1.64%	0	-1.3	19	0
17	Dec_15_2014	78.91	71.82	68.57	66.49			64.84(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-59	-10000	-12	-198	47.48	29%	-0.29	-59.2	1.65%	0	-1.7	15	0
18	Dec_12_2014	79.14	72.4	69.19	67.14			65.42(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-69	-10000	-20	-217	50.05	28%	-0.3	-60.8	1.65%	0	-1.8	15	0
19	Dec_11_2014	79.38	72.93	69.74	68.24			66.66(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-68	-10000	-18	-218	35.55	29%	-0.26	-60.4	1.65%	0	-1.7	21	0
20	Dec_10_2014	79.59	73.44	70.59	69.27			66.7(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-65	-10000	-20	-198	44.53	29%	-0.28	-56.9	1.65%	0	-2	26	0

21	Dec_9_2014	79.81	73.98	71.55	70.42			68.82(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	-10000	-10	-168	33.67	31%	-0.23	-49.9	1.61%	0	-1.7	31	0
22	Dec_8_2014	79.99	74.4	72.41	70.97			68.08(-4.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-10000	-10	-148	41.19	30%	-0.24	-47.4	1.6%	0	-2.2	28	0
23	Dec_5_2014	80.18	74.9	73.42	71.51			70.95(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-31	-10000	1	-127	23.44	32%	-0.2	-47.9	1.54%	0	-1.6	32	0
24	Dec_4_2014	80.34	75.2	74.04	71.43			71.81(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	-10000	-13	-128	23.58	31%	-0.21	-50.8	1.54%	0	-1.4	39	0
25	Dec_3_2014	80.51	75.42	74.49	72.15			72.44(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-10000	-14	-111	31.55	31%		-46.3	1.54%	0	-1.3	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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