Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $71.6514 (3.2%) ($69.4459 - $71.7403) on Fri. Dec. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.81% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $71.6514(3.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    VYM(74%)    IVE(71%)    XLF(70%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.905% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.905% (StdDev 1.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.89(5.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.56(6.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.35(1.85%)
To recent high   -13.6%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 5.54% (three month std-dev: 1.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2014	78.18	70.35	67.56	67.89			71.65(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	21	-70	46.74	37%	-0.18	-51.3	1.81%	0	0.3	51	0
2	Dec_18_2014	78.32	70.58	67.4	66.64			69.43(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-21	-10000	9	-111	52.26	34%	-0.22	-54.7	1.76%	0	-0.3	46	0
3	Dec_17_2014	78.49	70.9	67.57	66.09			68.12(4.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-33	-10000	5	-146	62.47	32%	-0.25	-56.7	1.74%	0	-0.6	30	0
4	Dec_16_2014	78.69	71.28	67.95	65.81			65.41(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	-10000	-12	-189	57.28	29%	-0.28	-59.5	1.64%	0	-1.3	19	0
5	Dec_15_2014	78.91	71.82	68.57	66.49			64.84(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-59	-10000	-12	-198	47.48	29%	-0.29	-59.2	1.65%	0	-1.7	15	0

6	Dec_12_2014	79.14	72.4	69.19	67.14			65.42(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-69	-10000	-20	-217	50.05	28%	-0.3	-60.8	1.65%	0	-1.8	15	0
7	Dec_11_2014	79.38	72.93	69.74	68.24			66.66(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-68	-10000	-18	-218	35.55	29%	-0.26	-60.4	1.65%	0	-1.7	21	0
8	Dec_10_2014	79.59	73.44	70.59	69.27			66.7(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-65	-10000	-20	-198	44.53	29%	-0.28	-56.9	1.65%	0	-2	26	0
9	Dec_9_2014	79.81	73.98	71.55	70.42			68.82(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	-10000	-10	-168	33.67	31%	-0.23	-49.9	1.61%	0	-1.7	31	0
10	Dec_8_2014	79.99	74.4	72.41	70.97			68.08(-4.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-10000	-10	-148	41.19	30%	-0.24	-47.4	1.6%	0	-2.2	28	0

11	Dec_5_2014	80.18	74.9	73.42	71.51			70.95(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-31	-10000	1	-127	23.44	32%	-0.2	-47.9	1.54%	0	-1.6	32	0
12	Dec_4_2014	80.34	75.2	74.04	71.43			71.81(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	-10000	-13	-128	23.58	31%	-0.21	-50.8	1.54%	0	-1.4	39	0
13	Dec_3_2014	80.51	75.42	74.49	72.15			72.44(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-10000	-14	-111	31.55	31%	-0.19	-46.3	1.54%	0	-1.3	37	0
14	Dec_2_2014	80.66	75.55	74.85	72.93			71.56(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-21	-100	33.23	31%	-0.19	-41.3	1.53%	0	-1.9	31	0
15	Dec_1_2014	80.81	75.79	75.3	74.14			70.79(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-38	-10000	-26	-74	51.59	31%	-0.2	-24.9	1.53%	0	-2.6	29	0

16	Nov_28_2014	80.97	76.14	75.89	75.62			70.55(-6.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.3	-27	-10000	-23	-38	42.54	31%	-0.3	0	1.53%	0	-3.6	26	0
17	Nov_26_2014	81.21	76.43	76.45	76.96			75.39(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-2	-10000	-3	2	20.87	35%	-0.15	42.1	1.31%	0	-1.2	44	0
18	Nov_25_2014	81.33	76.47	76.57	77.13			76.35(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	5	-10000	2	13	22.55	36%	-0.14	57.1	1.31%	0	-0.1	54	0
19	Nov_24_2014	81.44	76.44	76.64	77.03			77.62(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	7	26	16.68	37%	-0.05	45.4	1.3%	0	1.2	67	0
20	Nov_21_2014	81.48	76.27	76.55	76.67			78.22(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	11	-10000	8	19	28.69	37%	-0.12	38.9	1.3%	0	2	59	0

21	Nov_20_2014	81.58	76.13	76.46	76.26			77.21(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	7	7	16.92	35%	-0.13	44.6	1.29%	0	1.3	49	0
22	Nov_19_2014	81.69	76.07	76.4	75.91			76.26(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-1	-10000	-1	-2	14.75	35%	-0.15	50.9	1.28%	0	0.2	53	0
23	Nov_18_2014	81.81	76.07	76.36	75.94			75.86(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-5	-3	19.68	34%	-0.15	70.2	1.28%	0	-0.1	50	0
24	Nov_17_2014	81.93	75.99	76.25	76.2			75.8(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-4	-2	12.22	34%	-0.16	93.8	1.29%	0	-0.2	51	0
25	Nov_14_2014	82.06	75.9	76.28	76.41			76.19(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-6	16	17.96	37%		95.4	1.32%	0	0.3	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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