Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $72.4371 (1.22%) ($71.7743 - $73.0116) on Wed. Dec. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $72.4371(1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    VYM(74%)    IVE(70%)    XLB(69%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $67.97(-6.17%)
Resistance Level   $75.42
5 Day Moving Average   $72.15(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.49(-2.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.42(-3.96%)
To recent high   -15.7%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 2.96% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2014	80.51	75.42	74.49	72.15			72.44(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-10000	-14	-111	31.55	31%	-0.19	-46.3	1.54%	0	-1.3	37	0
2	Dec_2_2014	80.66	75.55	74.85	72.93			71.56(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-21	-100	33.23	31%	-0.19	-41.3	1.53%	0	-1.9	31	0
3	Dec_1_2014	80.81	75.79	75.3	74.14			70.79(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-38	-10000	-26	-74	51.59	31%	-0.2	-24.9	1.53%	0	-2.6	29	0
4	Nov_28_2014	80.97	76.14	75.89	75.62			70.55(-6.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.3	-27	-10000	-23	-38	42.54	31%	-0.3	0	1.53%	0	-3.6	26	0
5	Nov_26_2014	81.21	76.43	76.45	76.96			75.39(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-2	-10000	-3	2	20.87	35%	-0.15	42.1	1.31%	0	-1.2	44	0

6	Nov_25_2014	81.33	76.47	76.57	77.13			76.35(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	5	-10000	2	13	22.55	36%	-0.14	57.1	1.31%	0	-0.1	54	0
7	Nov_24_2014	81.44	76.44	76.64	77.03			77.62(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	7	26	16.68	37%	-0.05	45.4	1.3%	0	1.2	67	0
8	Nov_21_2014	81.48	76.27	76.55	76.67			78.22(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	11	-10000	8	19	28.69	37%	-0.12	38.9	1.3%	0	2	59	0
9	Nov_20_2014	81.58	76.13	76.46	76.26			77.21(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	7	7	16.92	35%	-0.13	44.6	1.29%	0	1.3	49	0
10	Nov_19_2014	81.69	76.07	76.4	75.91			76.26(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-1	-10000	-1	-2	14.75	35%	-0.15	50.9	1.28%	0	0.2	53	0

11	Nov_18_2014	81.81	76.07	76.36	75.94			75.86(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-5	-3	19.68	34%	-0.15	70.2	1.28%	0	-0.1	50	0
12	Nov_17_2014	81.93	75.99	76.25	76.2			75.8(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-4	-2	12.22	34%	-0.16	93.8	1.29%	0	-0.2	51	0
13	Nov_14_2014	82.06	75.9	76.28	76.41			76.19(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-6	16	17.96	37%	-0.15	95.4	1.32%	0	0.3	60	0
14	Nov_13_2014	82.18	75.76	76.38	76.69			75.42(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-10000	-5	35	31.59	37%	-0.15	86.4	1.31%	0	-0.3	50	0
15	Nov_12_2014	82.3	75.63	76.43	76.96			76.44(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	3	47	17.62	38%	-0.13	69.4	1.3%	0	0.5	52	0

16	Nov_11_2014	82.41	75.39	76.39	76.83			77.12(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	11	55	17.38	38%	-0.15	43	1.3%	0	0.9	60	0
17	Nov_10_2014	82.53	75.08	76.25	76.3			76.89(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	3	34	22.95	38%	-0.15	19.5	1.3%	0	0.9	53	0
18	Nov_7_2014	82.65	74.82	75.98	76.13			77.59(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	1	29	18.04	40%	-0.12	2.3	1.32%	0	1.4	62	0
19	Nov_6_2014	82.75	74.62	75.77	76.06			76.74(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	4	43	23.03	40%	-0.13	-8.6	1.31%	0	1.2	62	0
20	Nov_5_2014	82.86	74.51	75.67	75.86			75.79(1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10000	-1	55	27.45	38%	-0.13	-18.7	1.3%	0	0.7	62	0

21	Nov_4_2014	82.97	74.58	75.56	75.9			74.48(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-5	75	23.44	38%	-0.14	-19.6	1.3%	0	-0.1	63	0
22	Nov_3_2014	83.09	74.7	75.72	76.16			76.04(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	8	121	26.61	40%	-0.12	-21.7	1.3%	0	0.6	70	0
23	Oct_31_2014	83.19	74.7	75.5	75.76			77.26(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	7	123	20.27	39%	-0.1	-32.5	1.29%	0	1.2	70	0
24	Oct_30_2014	83.27	74.77	75.08	75.44			75.72(-0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	-10000	-1	108	18.8	36%	-0.12	-42.9	1.29%	0	0.4	56	0
25	Oct_29_2014	83.37	74.86	74.78	75.48			76(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	6	101	26.72	36%		-44.8	1.29%	0	0.5	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.