Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $77.6163 (-0.77%) ($77.2846 - $78.3852) on Mon. Nov. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $77.6163(-0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    XLB(69%)    XLF(69%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.03(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.64(1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.44(1.54%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_24_2014	81.44	76.44	76.64	77.03			77.62(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	7	26	16.68	37%	-0.05	45.4	1.3%	0	1.2	67	0
2	Nov_21_2014	81.48	76.27	76.55	76.67			78.22(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	11	-10000	8	19	28.69	37%	-0.12	38.9	1.3%	0	2	59	0
3	Nov_20_2014	81.58	76.13	76.46	76.26			77.21(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	7	7	16.92	35%	-0.13	44.6	1.29%	0	1.3	49	0
4	Nov_19_2014	81.69	76.07	76.4	75.91			76.26(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-1	-10000	-1	-2	14.75	35%	-0.15	50.9	1.28%	0	0.2	53	0
5	Nov_18_2014	81.81	76.07	76.36	75.94			75.86(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-5	-3	19.68	34%	-0.15	70.2	1.28%	0	-0.1	50	0

6	Nov_17_2014	81.93	75.99	76.25	76.2			75.8(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-4	-2	12.22	34%	-0.16	93.8	1.29%	0	-0.2	51	0
7	Nov_14_2014	82.06	75.9	76.28	76.41			76.19(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-6	16	17.96	37%	-0.15	95.4	1.32%	0	0.3	60	0
8	Nov_13_2014	82.18	75.76	76.38	76.69			75.42(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-10000	-5	35	31.59	37%	-0.15	86.4	1.31%	0	-0.3	50	0
9	Nov_12_2014	82.3	75.63	76.43	76.96			76.44(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	3	47	17.62	38%	-0.13	69.4	1.3%	0	0.5	52	0
10	Nov_11_2014	82.41	75.39	76.39	76.83			77.12(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	11	55	17.38	38%	-0.15	43	1.3%	0	0.9	60	0

11	Nov_10_2014	82.53	75.08	76.25	76.3			76.89(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	3	34	22.95	38%	-0.15	19.5	1.3%	0	0.9	53	0
12	Nov_7_2014	82.65	74.82	75.98	76.13			77.59(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	1	29	18.04	40%	-0.12	2.3	1.32%	0	1.4	62	0
13	Nov_6_2014	82.75	74.62	75.77	76.06			76.74(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	4	43	23.03	40%	-0.13	-8.6	1.31%	0	1.2	62	0
14	Nov_5_2014	82.86	74.51	75.67	75.86			75.79(1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10000	-1	55	27.45	38%	-0.13	-18.7	1.3%	0	0.7	62	0
15	Nov_4_2014	82.97	74.58	75.56	75.9			74.48(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-5	75	23.44	38%	-0.14	-19.6	1.3%	0	-0.1	63	0

16	Nov_3_2014	83.09	74.7	75.72	76.16			76.04(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	8	121	26.61	40%	-0.12	-21.7	1.3%	0	0.6	70	0
17	Oct_31_2014	83.19	74.7	75.5	75.76			77.26(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	7	123	20.27	39%	-0.1	-32.5	1.29%	0	1.2	70	0
18	Oct_30_2014	83.27	74.77	75.08	75.44			75.72(-0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	-10000	-1	108	18.8	36%	-0.12	-42.9	1.29%	0	0.4	56	0
19	Oct_29_2014	83.37	74.86	74.78	75.48			76(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	6	101	26.72	36%	-0.1	-44.8	1.29%	0	0.5	52	0
20	Oct_28_2014	83.45	74.96	74.32	75.18			75.75(2.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-1	52	23.62	36%	-0.12	-49.7	1.29%	0	0.3	43	0

21	Oct_27_2014	83.55	75.15	73.82	75.23			74.06(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	-10000	1	20	23.5	33%	-0.12	-46.8	1.25%	0	-0.4	41	0
22	Oct_24_2014	83.65	75.48	73.59	75.16			75.65(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	-10000	11	-17	25.26	34%	-0.11	-45.2	1.23%	0	0.1	41	0
23	Oct_23_2014	83.74	75.73	73.38	74.65			75.92(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	15	-59	26.56	34%	-0.1	-50.2	1.23%	0	0.1	42	0
24	Oct_22_2014	83.82	75.92	73.23	73.96			74.53(-1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-10000	15	-106	36.14	33%	-0.11	-56.6	1.21%	0	-0.4	38	0
25	Oct_21_2014	83.91	76.25	73.49	73.29			75.97(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	25	-134	31.36	34%		-62	1.19%	0	-0.1	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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